VERDICT NEUTRAL Coin flip.
EV RATIO · MEDIAN ÷ MARKET SCALE 50%—150%
—%
DECK PRICE — TCGplayer market
SINGLES VALUE $26.48 sum of deck singles
ALL-TIME RANGE — / — box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
LORWYN ECLIPSED · SEALED LINEUPEV ratio · click to compare
CRACK-OR-HOLD Crack EV Box price
FIXED CONTENTS
Every copy of this deck contains the same cards, worth $26.48 in singles
.
CONCENTRATION · JACKPOT RISK top 3 cards
60%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
VALUE BY RARITY Where the deck's value sits
Bonus Sheet $25.34 96%
Commons & Uncommons $1.14 4%
Lands $0.00 0%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY RARITY Most valuable cards in the deck
MIN CARD VALUE
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX NEUTRAL
LORWYN ECLIPSED · STARTER DECK —%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $26.48 · Box Price — 7D +7.6%
30D -13.0%
90D +11.5%
PREVIEW · POSTED TO X, BLUESKY, REDDIT SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS Share today's read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull ratesOfficial Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price dataTCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EVMonte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome rangeP25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized insertsExcluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked sinceDaily snapshots.