TCG STRAT · Magic: the Gathering
SEALED · COMMANDER DECK ID a3f58133…
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Witherbloom Pestilence
SECRETS OF STRIXHAVEN COMMANDER · SOC
Commander Deck

Is Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Witherbloom Pestilence Worth Opening?

VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-08-09 · 170 DAYS TRACKED
NEUTRAL Coin flip.
EV RATIO · MEDIAN ÷ MARKET SCALE 50%—150%
99.1% $-0.46 vs box · median EV minus market
100%
DECK PRICE $51.39 TCGplayer market
SINGLES VALUE $50.93 sum of deck singles
ALL-TIME RANGE $70 / $42 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
TCGplayerBuy · $51.39 → Card Kingdom↗ Affiliate links — a few cents support the data. How we make money.
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D
+2.3%
30D
+11.5%
90D
-15.5%
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
▼ Crack EV currently sits $0.46 below box price — sealed has the edge today.
FIXED CONTENTS
Every copy of this deck contains the same cards, worth $50.93 in singles against a sealed price of $51.39.
No pull-rate variance — the contents are fixed, so the $-0.46 market-price edge holds if you buy to break the deck for parts, before fees and the value of playing it intact.
CONCENTRATION · JACKPOT RISK top 3 cards
36%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
VALUE BY RARITY Where the deck's value sits
Rare / Mythic $39.24 77%
Commons & Uncommons $7.42 15%
Wildcard / Treatment $3.03 6%
Lands $1.24 2%
Bonus Sheet $0.00 0%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY RARITY Most valuable cards in the deck
MIN CARD VALUE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
!
HIGH column may include placeholder listings — read MARKET as the signal.
HIGH ≥ $500 is flagged. MARKET reflects closed sales; HIGH is the top active listing, which can be set arbitrarily.
DATEMARKETLOWMIDHIGH !
2026-08-09 $51.39 $44.00 $59.96 $999.99
2026-08-07 $51.12 $44.00 $59.45 $999.99
2026-08-06 $51.12 $44.93 $59.45 $999.99
2026-08-02 $50.13 $44.93 $59.95 $999.99
2026-08-01 $50.13 $44.94 $59.95 $999.99
2026-07-31 $49.74 $44.95 $59.95 $999.99
2026-07-29 $49.65 $45.00 $59.96 $999.99
2026-07-28 $49.67 $45.00 $59.96 $999.99
2026-07-27 $49.59 $45.05 $58.95 $999.99
2026-07-26 $49.59 $45.05 $58.95 $999.99
2026-07-25 $49.59 $45.05 $59.46 $999.99
2026-07-24 $49.43 $45.05 $59.46 $999.99
2026-07-23 $49.83 $45.05 $59.46 $999.99
2026-07-22 $49.96 $45.05 $59.38 $999.99
2026-07-21 $50.78 $45.05 $58.73 $999.99
2026-07-20 $51.44 $44.99 $58.50 $999.99
2026-07-19 $52.30 $44.99 $58.95 $999.99
2026-07-18 $53.54 $44.99 $58.73 $999.99
2026-07-17 $53.54 $44.99 $58.50 $999.99
2026-07-16 $53.54 $45.05 $59.81 $999.99
2026-07-15 $53.90 $45.05 $59.95 $999.99
2026-07-14 $53.90 $48.61 $59.96 $999.99
2026-07-13 $54.38 $48.61 $59.96 $999.99
2026-07-11 $54.38 $48.61 $59.96 $999.99
2026-07-08 $54.97 $45.00 $59.98 $999.99
2026-07-07 $54.11 $45.00 $59.96 $999.99
2026-07-06 $53.63 $45.00 $59.95 $999.99
2026-07-05 $53.63 $45.00 $59.95 $999.99
2026-07-04 $53.63 $45.00 $59.45 $999.99
2026-07-03 $53.43 $48.61 $59.95 $999.99
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-08-09 NEUTRAL
SECRETS OF STRIXHAVEN COMMANDER · COMMANDER DECK
99.1%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $50.93 · Box Price $51.39
7D +2.3%
30D +11.5%
90D -15.5%
PREVIEW · POSTED TO X, BLUESKY, REDDIT
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-08-09 read, not whatever the page says next week.

A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.

𝕏Post to X ☁Bluesky r/Reddit ↓Download PNG

About Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Witherbloom Pestilence

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Witherbloom Pestilence currently sells for $51.39 at market, down 6.5% over 30 days and down 3.2% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $69.99 (2026-01-30); low: $41.72 (2026-05-25).

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Witherbloom Pestilence FAQ

Is Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Witherbloom Pestilence worth opening?

Coin flip. Median crack value is $50.93 against a $51.39 box price (0.99× EV ratio), as of 2026-08-09.

What is the best card you can pull from Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck - Witherbloom Pestilence?

The top pull by value is Ohran Frostfang (about $6.81), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.

HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates

Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.

Price data

TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.

Median EV

Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.

Outcome range

P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.

Serialized inserts

Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.

Tracked since

170 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-08-09.