SEALED · BOOSTER CASE
Is Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 219 DAYS TRACKED CRACK Open it.
BOX PRICE $226.74 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $292.49 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $331 / $178 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 133 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D +0.5%
30D +8.1%
90D +31.1%
As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case box price and crack EV, last 219 days: box from $177.62 to $330.65, EV from $217.37 to $863.22.
▲
Crack EV has held above box price for the last 133 days.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
18
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Bonus Sheet Reprint from outside the set
1
Killian, Decisive Mentor
1
Scriv, The Obligator
1
Eiganjo Dynastorian // Replenish
1
Forum Filibuster
1
Herald Of Amity
1
Changing Loyalty
1
Coercive Impetus
1
Intermediate Chirography
1
Eclipsed Steppe
1
Turbulent Moor
1
Umbral Expanse
5
Fabled Passage
1
Eldrazi Conscription
1
Ajani'S Chosen
1
Angelic Destiny
1
Archon Of Sun'S Grace
1
Armored Skyhunter
1
Combat Calligrapher
1
Eidolon Of Countless Battles
1
Firemane Commando
1
Gift Of Immortality
1
Kor Spiritdancer
1
Mangara, The Diplomat
1
Nils, Discipline Enforcer
1
Pearl Ear, Imperial Advisor
1
Promise Of Loyalty
1
Redemption Arc
1
Shielded By Faith
1
Songbirds' Blessing
1
Sram, Senior Edificer
1
Starfield Mystic
1
Winds Of Rath
1
Doomwake Giant
1
Ghoulish Impetus
1
Keen Duelist
1
Anguished Unmaking
1
Breena, The Demagogue
1
Eriette Of The Charmed Apple
1
Inkshield
1
Shadrix Silverquill
1
Tomik, Wielder Of Law
1
Vanishing Verse
1
Caves Of Koilos
1
Desolate Mire
5
Exotic Orchard
1
Fetid Heath
1
Isolated Chapel
1
Shineshadow Snarl
1
Temple Of Silence
1
War Room
1
Flickering Ward
1
Fallen Ideal
1
Screams From Within
5
Arcane Signet
5
Sol Ring
5
Command Tower
1
Forum Of Amity
5
Terramorphic Expanse
1
Chains Of Custody
1
Darksteel Mutation
1
Ghostly Prison
1
Martial Impetus
1
Raffine'S Guidance
1
Sage'S Reverie
2
Secret Rendezvous
1
Sentinel'S Eyes
1
Sheltered By Ghosts
1
Spirit Mantle
1
Transcendent Envoy
1
Animate Dead
1
Hateful Eidolon
1
Parasitic Impetus
1
Fracture
1
Killian, Ink Duelist
3
Fellwar Stone
1
Talisman Of Hierarchy
1
Arcane Lighthouse
2
Bojuka Bog
4
Path Of Ancestry
1
Silverquill Campus
5
Study Hall
1
Sunlit Marsh
19
Plains
16
Swamp
1
Rootha, Mastering The Moment
1
Inspired Skypainter // Maestro'S Gift
1
Abstract Performance
1
Dirgur Focusmage // Braingeyser
1
Leitmotif Composer
1
Furygale Flocking
1
Prismari Pianist
1
Renegade Bull
1
Coastal Peak
1
Scorched Geyser
1
Turbulent Springs
1
Faerie Mastermind
1
Chain Reaction
1
Determined Iteration
1
Harmonic Prodigy
1
Archmage Emeritus
1
Brazen Borrower // Petty Theft
1
Curiosity Crafter
1
Replication Technique
1
Rite Of Replication
1
Thunderclap Drake
1
Blasphemous Act
1
Chaos Warp
1
Creative Technique
1
Cursed Mirror
1
Dance With Calamity
1
Goldspan Dragon
1
Manaform Hellkite
1
Mirrorwing Dragon
1
Plargg And Nassari
1
Redoubled Stormsinger
1
Rionya, Fire Dancer
1
Rousing Refrain
1
Surge To Victory
1
Twinflame
1
Volcanic Salvo
1
Brudiclad, Telchor Engineer
1
Galazeth Prismari
1
Magma Opus
1
Prismari Command
1
Veyran, Voice Of Duality
1
Solemn Simulacrum
1
Cascade Bluffs
1
Ferrous Lake
1
Frostboil Snarl
1
Hall Of Oracles
1
Restless Spire
1
Shivan Reef
1
Sulfur Falls
1
Temple Of Epiphany
1
Prismari Charm
1
Spectacle Summit
1
Aether Gale
1
Arcane Denial
1
Deep Analysis
1
Reality Shift
1
Resculpt
1
Treasure Cruise
1
Abrade
1
Big Score
1
Mana Geyser
1
Storm Kiln Artist
1
Throes Of Chaos
1
Volcanic Torrent
1
Expressive Iteration
1
Rootha, Mercurial Artist
1
Stormcatch Mentor
1
Lightning Greaves
1
Talisman Of Creativity
1
Molten Tributary
1
Mystic Sanctuary
1
Prismari Campus
2
Reliquary Tower
2
Temple Of The False God
13
Mountain
1
Dina, Essence Brewer
1
Gorma, The Gullet
1
Merchant Of Venom
1
Defiling Daemogoth
1
Ominous Harvest
1
Feral Appetite
1
Pest Rescuer
1
Ribtruss Roaster
1
Eccentric Pestfinder // Turn Stones
1
Immoral Bargain
1
Turbulent Fen
1
Ophiomancer
1
Toxic Deluge
1
Tendershoot Dryad
1
Blight Mound
1
Bloodghast
1
Final Act
1
Jadar, Ghoulcaller Of Nephalia
1
Nether Traitor
1
Priest Of Forgotten Gods
1
Smothering Abomination
1
Veinwitch Coven
1
Witch Of The Moors
1
Woe Strider
1
Yahenni, Undying Partisan
1
Awakening Zone
1
Blossoming Bogbeast
1
Gilded Goose
1
Mycoloth
1
Ohran Frostfang
1
Pest Infestation
1
Trudge Garden
1
Assassin'S Trophy
1
Beledros Witherbloom
1
Casualties Of War
1
Creakwood Liege
1
Culling Ritual
1
Gyome, Master Chef
1
Mazirek, Kraul Death Priest
1
Wight Of The Reliquary
1
Witherbloom Command
1
Festering Thicket
1
Grim Backwoods
1
High Market
1
Llanowar Wastes
1
Necroblossom Snarl
1
Temple Of Malady
1
Twilight Mire
1
Vernal Fen
1
Viridescent Bog
1
Teacher'S Pest
1
Witherbloom Charm
1
Titan'S Grave
1
Blood Artist
1
Infernal Grasp
1
Morbid Opportunist
1
Night'S Whisper
1
Pawn Of Ulamog
1
Plumb The Forbidden
1
Umbral Collar Zealot
1
Viscera Seer
1
Zulaport Cutthroat
1
Cultivate
1
Elvish Mystic
1
Sakura Tribe Elder
1
Springbloom Druid
1
Deadly Brew
1
Dina, Soul Steeper
1
Moldervine Reclamation
1
Mortality Spear
1
Haywire Mite
1
Haunted Mire
1
Witherbloom Campus
14
Forest
1
Quintorius, History Chaser
1
Excava, The Risen Past
1
Augusta, Order Returned
1
Ceaseless Conflict
1
Vanguard Of The Restless
1
Advanced Reconstruction
1
Fateful Tempest
1
Naktamun Lorespinner // Wheel Of Fortune
1
Relic Retriever
1
Spirit Of Resilience
1
Turbulent Steppe
1
Moonshaker Cavalry
1
Staff Of The Storyteller
1
Wave Of Reckoning
1
Angel Of Indemnity
1
Ao, The Dawn Sky
1
Archaeomancer'S Map
1
Claim Jumper
1
Drumbellower
1
Guardian Of Faith
1
Guardian Scalelord
1
Karmic Guide
1
Monologue Tax
1
Remorseful Cleric
1
Selfless Spirit
1
Serra Paragon
1
Sevinne'S Reclamation
1
Skyclave Apparition
1
Sun Titan
1
Tocasia'S Welcome
1
Tragic Arrogance
1
White Orchid Phantom
1
Atsushi, The Blazing Sky
1
Conspiracy Theorist
1
Laelia, The Blade Reforged
1
Balefire Liege
1
Hofri Ghostforge
1
Quintorius, Loremaster
1
Venerable Warsinger
1
Bitterthorn, Nissa'S Animus
1
Currency Converter
1
Battlefield Forge
1
Clifftop Retreat
1
Emeria, The Sky Ruin
1
Furycalm Snarl
1
Glittering Massif
1
Lotus Field
1
Radiant Summit
1
Rugged Prairie
1
Sunscorched Divide
1
Temple Of Triumph
1
Primary Research
1
Seize The Spoils
1
Lorehold Charm
1
Fields Of Strife
1
Kami Of Ancient Law
1
Path To Exile
1
Swords To Plowshares
1
Teshar, Ancestor'S Apostle
1
Anger
1
Faithless Looting
1
Squee, Goblin Nabob
1
Quintorius, Field Historian
1
Rip Apart
1
Containment Construct
1
Millikin
1
Mind Stone
1
Patchwork Banner
1
Perpetual Timepiece
1
Lorehold Campus
1
Mistveil Plains
1
Sacred Peaks
1
Zimone, Infinite Analyst
1
Primo, The Unbounded
1
Owlin Spiralmancer
1
Expansion Algorithm
1
Nexus Mentality
1
Kinetic Ooze
1
Lattice Library
1
Nev, The Practical Dean
1
Yavimaya Bloomsage // Channel
1
Striding Shotcaller // Run The Play
1
Brass Infiniscope
1
Turbulent Wilderness
1
Commander'S Insight
1
Ingenious Prodigy
1
Pull From Tomorrow
1
Benevolent Hydra
1
Unbound Flourishing
1
Curse Of The Swine
1
Deekah, Fractal Theorist
1
Entrancing Melody
1
Perplexing Test
1
Stroke Of Genius
1
Zimone'S Hypothesis
1
Animist'S Awakening
1
Forgotten Ancient
1
Fractal Harness
1
Goldvein Hydra
1
Guardian Augmenter
1
Hardened Scales
1
Lifeblood Hydra
1
Mana Bloom
1
Open The Way
1
Ozolith, The Shattered Spire
1
Primal Might
1
Primordial Hydra
1
Silkguard
1
Steelbane Hydra
1
Altered Ego
1
Biomass Mutation
1
The Goose Mother
1
Hydroid Krasis
1
Oversimplify
1
Quandrix Command
1
Tanazir Quandrix
1
Zimone, All Questioning
1
Astral Cornucopia
1
Elementalist'S Palette
1
Hangarback Walker
1
Stonecoil Serpent
1
Alchemist'S Refuge
1
Flooded Grove
1
Oran Rief, The Vastwood
1
Overflowing Basin
1
Rain Slicked Copse
1
Sodden Verdure
1
Temple Of Mystery
1
Vineglimmer Snarl
1
Yavimaya Coast
1
Quandrix Charm
1
Paradox Gardens
1
Rapid Hybridization
1
Beast Within
1
Kami Of Whispered Hopes
1
Nature'S Lore
1
Three Visits
1
Tyvar'S Stand
1
Decisive Denial
1
Eureka Moment
1
Quandrix Apprentice
1
Troyan, Gutsy Explorer
1
Zimone, Quandrix Prodigy
1
Opal Palace
1
Quandrix Campus
1
Rogue'S Passage
1
Tangled Islet
CONCENTRATION · BALANCED top 3 cards
14%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $204.81 70%
Commons & Uncommons $69.77 24%
Lands $14.43 5%
Wildcard / Treatment $3.48 1%
Bonus Sheet $0.00 0%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | $226.74 | $214.95 | $275.74 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $225.73 | $214.99 | $275.40 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $225.73 | $214.99 | $277.48 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $216.88 | $214.99 | $265.44 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $213.53 | $214.99 | $260.79 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $212.93 | $214.95 | $257.25 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $211.93 | $214.95 | $254.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-15 | $211.93 | $214.95 | $259.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-14 | $210.61 | $214.95 | $269.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-13 | $208.45 | $214.95 | $274.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-12 | $208.45 | $214.95 | $277.48 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-11 | $201.66 | $214.95 | $274.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-10 | $197.82 | $214.95 | $272.49 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-09 | $194.66 | $214.95 | $269.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-08 | $194.66 | $214.95 | $272.49 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $194.31 | $190.00 | $259.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $195.43 | $172.01 | $252.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $196.59 | $172.01 | $250.00 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $196.59 | $190.00 | $250.00 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $196.67 | $190.00 | $254.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $196.67 | $190.00 | $259.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $198.17 | $190.00 | $259.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $197.45 | $190.00 | $259.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $197.32 | $189.95 | $252.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $196.36 | $190.00 | $252.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $194.39 | $190.00 | $252.43 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $194.01 | $190.00 | $249.98 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | $194.01 | $190.00 | $249.98 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $193.16 | $190.00 | $249.96 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $193.10 | $190.00 | $249.73 | $499.99 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-22 CRACK
SECRETS OF STRIXHAVEN COMMANDER · BOOSTER CASE
137.0%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $292.49 · Box Price $226.74 7D +0.5%
30D +8.1%
90D +31.1%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-22 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case currently sells for $226.74 at market, up 17.4% over 30 days and up 15.0% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $330.65 (2026-01-30); low: $177.62 (2026-05-13).
COMMON QUESTIONS
Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case FAQ
Is Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case worth opening?
Open it. Median crack value is $292.49 against a $226.74 box price (1.37× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-22.
What is the best card you can pull from Secrets of Strixhaven Commander Deck Case?
The top pull by value is Land Tax (about $17.77), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
219 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.