SEALED · BOOSTER CASE
Is Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck Case Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-23 · 561 DAYS TRACKED CRACK Open it.
BOX PRICE $275.80 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $334.78 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $288 / $133 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 165 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D +4.2%
30D +19.2%
90D +41.2%
As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck Case box price and crack EV, last 561 days: box from $132.64 to $288.40, EV from $140.05 to $338.59.
▲
Crack EV has held above box price for the last 165 days — it first crossed on 2025-12-07.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
24
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Felothar The Steadfast
1
Betor, Ancestor'S Voice
1
Protector Of The Wastes
1
Reunion Of The House
1
Jaws Of Defeat
1
Tip The Scales
1
Will Of The Abzan
1
Arbor Adherent
1
Canopy Gargantuan
1
Rampart Architect
1
Tree Of Redemption
1
Ikra Shidiqi, The Usurper
1
Baldin, Century Herdmaster
1
Expel The Interlopers
1
Indomitable Ancients
1
Rhox Faithmender
1
Shalai, Voice Of Plenty
1
Wakestone Gargoyle
1
Wall Of Reverence
1
Welcoming Vampire
1
Zetalpa, Primal Dawn
1
Arasta Of The Endless Web
1
Assault Formation
1
Hornet Nest
1
Seedborn Muse
1
Sylvan Caryatid
1
Towering Titan
1
Anguished Unmaking
1
Dragonlord Dromoka
1
Faeburrow Elder
1
Shadrix Silverquill
1
Sidar Kondo Of Jamuraa
1
Colfenor'S Urn
1
Staff Of Compleation
1
Weathered Sentinels
1
Canopy Vista
5
Exotic Orchard
1
Fortified Village
2
Isolated Chapel
1
Sungrass Prairie
1
Sunpetal Grove
2
Temple Of Malady
1
Temple Of Plenty
2
Temple Of Silence
1
Twilight Mire
5
Arcane Signet
5
Sol Ring
5
Command Tower
1
Nyx Fleece Ram
1
Slaughter The Strong
3
Swords To Plowshares
1
Wall Of Omens
1
Wingmantle Chaplain
1
Behind The Scenes
1
Blight Pile
1
Feed The Swarm
1
Infernal Grasp
1
Wall Of Limbs
1
Arboreal Grazer
1
Axebane Guardian
1
Carven Caryatid
3
Evolving Wilds
1
Jaddi Offshoot
1
Overgrown Battlement
1
Sandsteppe Citadel
1
Tower Defense
1
Wall Of Blossoms
1
Wall Of Roots
1
Despark
1
Indulging Patrician
1
Crashing Drawbridge
1
Orzhov Signet
1
Selesnya Signet
1
Swiftfoot Boots
1
Walking Bulwark
1
Access Tunnel
2
Bojuka Bog
4
Path Of Ancestry
1
Radiant Grove
15
Plains
15
Swamp
18
Forest
1
Shiko And Narset, Unified
1
Elsha, Threefold Master
1
Aligned Heart
1
Tempest Technique
1
Adaptive Training Post
1
Transcendent Dragon
1
Voracious Bibliophile
1
Caldera Pyremaw
1
Will Of The Jeskai
1
Vanquish The Horde
1
Narset'S Reversal
1
Dismantling Wave
1
Mangara, The Diplomat
1
Monastery Mentor
1
Ancestral Vision
1
Archmage Emeritus
1
Baral'S Expertise
1
Curse Of The Swine
1
Haughty Djinn
1
Lier, Disciple Of The Drowned
1
Rite Of Replication
1
Sublime Epiphany
1
Electrodominance
1
Manaform Hellkite
1
Baral And Kari Zev
1
Magma Opus
1
Prismari Command
1
Time Wipe
1
Velomachus Lorehold
1
Veyran, Voice Of Duality
1
Whirlwind Of Thought
1
Adarkar Wastes
2
Battlefield Forge
1
Cascade Bluffs
2
Clifftop Retreat
1
Ferrous Lake
1
Glacial Fortress
1
Prairie Stream
1
Rugged Prairie
2
Shivan Reef
1
Skycloud Expanse
2
Sulfur Falls
1
Temple Of Enlightenment
1
Temple Of Epiphany
2
Temple Of Triumph
1
Young Pyromancer
1
Goblin Electromancer
1
Ghostly Prison
1
Compulsive Research
1
Consider
1
Deep Analysis
1
Frantic Search
1
Opt
1
Ponder
1
Pongify
1
Preordain
1
Think Twice
2
Abrade
1
Big Score
1
Curse Of Opulence
1
Faithless Looting
1
Guttersnipe
1
Mana Geyser
1
Shiny Impetus
1
Storm Kiln Artist
1
Mystic Monastery
1
Expressive Iteration
1
Third Path Iconoclast
1
Azorius Signet
1
Boros Signet
3
Fellwar Stone
1
Izzet Signet
1
Talisman Of Progress
1
Ash Barrens
1
Reliquary Tower
16
Mountain
1
Teval, The Balanced Scale
1
Kotis, Sibsig Champion
1
Diviner Of Mist
1
Afterlife From The Loam
1
Teval'S Judgment
1
Welcome The Dead
1
Floral Evoker
1
Steward Of The Harvest
1
Will Of The Sultai
1
Colossal Grave Reaver
1
Gravecrawler
1
Life From The Loam
1
Casualties Of War
1
Amphin Mutineer
1
River Kelpie
1
Dauthi Voidwalker
1
Disciple Of Bolas
1
Junji, The Midnight Sky
1
Lethal Scheme
1
Living Death
1
Lord Of The Forsaken
1
Necromantic Selection
1
Necropolis Fiend
1
Noxious Gearhulk
1
Ob Nixilis, The Fallen
1
Tasigur, The Golden Fang
1
Woe Strider
1
Avenger Of Zendikar
1
Conduit Of Worlds
1
Multani, Yavimaya'S Avatar
1
Shigeki, Jukai Visionary
1
Consuming Aberration
1
Jarad, Golgari Lich Lord
1
Lord Of Extinction
1
Meren Of Clan Nel Toth
1
Command Beacon
1
Crypt Of Agadeem
1
Darkwater Catacombs
1
Dreamroot Cascade
1
Drownyard Temple
1
Fetid Pools
1
Llanowar Wastes
1
Sunken Hollow
1
Essence Anchor
1
Forbidden Alchemy
1
Hedron Crab
1
Treasure Cruise
1
Wonder
1
Phyrexian Reclamation
1
Reassembling Skeleton
1
Stitcher'S Supplier
1
Victimize
1
Kishla Skimmer
1
Crawling Sensation
1
Cultivate
2
Farseek
1
Grapple With The Past
1
Harrow
1
Opulent Palace
1
Rampant Growth
1
Sakura Tribe Elder
1
Satyr Wayfinder
1
Springbloom Druid
1
Tear Asunder
1
Timeless Witness
1
Grisly Salvage
1
Nyx Weaver
1
Putrefy
1
Skull Prophet
1
Millikin
1
Cephalid Coliseum
1
Contaminated Aquifer
1
Golgari Rot Farm
1
Haunted Mire
1
Memorial To Folly
2
Terramorphic Expanse
1
Zurgo Stormrender
1
Neriv, Crackling Vanguard
1
Ainok Strike Leader
1
Ironwill Forger
1
Will Of The Mardu
1
Bone Devourer
1
Within Range
1
Goldlust Triad
1
Infantry Shield
1
Redoubled Stormsinger
1
Adeline, Resplendent Cathar
1
Angel Of Invention
1
Commander'S Insignia
1
Divine Visitation
1
Emeria Angel
1
Grand Crescendo
1
Hero Of Bladehold
1
Hour Of Reckoning
1
Legion Loyalty
1
Selfless Spirit
1
Sun Titan
1
Tocasia'S Welcome
1
Twilight Drover
1
Chittering Witch
1
Eliminate The Competition
1
Gix, Yawgmoth Praetor
1
Mindblade Render
1
Ophiomancer
1
Yahenni, Undying Partisan
1
Grenzo, Havoc Raiser
1
Legion Warboss
1
Ogre Battledriver
1
Siege Gang Commander
1
Tempt With Vengeance
1
Kaya, Geist Hunter
1
Blade Of Selves
1
Idol Of Oblivion
1
Myr Battlesphere
1
Solemn Simulacrum
1
Canyon Slough
1
Castle Ardenvale
1
Castle Embereth
1
Caves Of Koilos
1
Dragonskull Summit
1
Fetid Heath
1
Shattered Sanctum
1
Smoldering Marsh
1
Vault Of The Archangel
1
Windbrisk Heights
1
Shadow Summoning
1
Lightning Greaves
1
Skullclamp
1
Goldnight Commander
1
Lingering Souls
1
Release The Dogs
1
Stroke Of Midnight
1
Bastion Of Remembrance
1
Bitter Triumph
1
Deadly Dispute
1
Morbid Opportunist
1
Viscera Seer
1
Beetleback Chief
1
Loyal Apprentice
1
Nomad Outpost
1
Aron, Benalia'S Ruin
1
Thalisse, Reverent Medium
1
Talisman Of Conviction
1
Talisman Of Hierarchy
1
Wayfarer'S Bauble
1
Eshki, Temur'S Roar
1
Ureni Of The Unwritten
1
Deceptive Frostkite
1
Hammerhead Tyrant
1
Will Of The Temur
1
Parapet Thrasher
1
Thundermane Dragon
1
Zenith Festival
1
Become The Avalanche
1
Broodcaller Scourge
1
Keiga, The Tide Star
1
Reflections Of Littjara
1
Atsushi, The Blazing Sky
1
Blasphemous Act
1
Chaos Warp
1
Dragonmaster Outcast
1
Gadrak, The Crown Scourge
1
Glorybringer
1
Hellkite Courser
1
Lathliss, Dragon Queen
1
Leyline Tyrant
1
Nesting Dragon
1
Nogi, Draco Zealot
1
Opportunistic Dragon
1
Scourge Of The Throne
1
Skarrgan Hellkite
1
Spit Flame
1
Storm'S Wrath
1
Stormbreath Dragon
1
Taurean Mauler
1
Territorial Hellkite
1
Thunderbreak Regent
1
Vengeful Ancestor
1
Verix Bladewing
1
Frontier Siege
1
Selvala'S Stampede
1
Atarka, World Render
1
Dragonlord Atarka
1
Harbinger Of The Hunt
1
Sarkhan, Soul Aflame
1
Temur Ascendancy
1
Dragon'S Hoard
1
Steel Hellkite
1
Cinder Glade
1
Flooded Grove
1
Haven Of The Spirit Dragon
1
Karplusan Forest
1
Kessig Wolf Run
1
Mossfire Valley
1
Mosswort Bridge
1
Rockfall Vale
1
Rootbound Crag
1
Sheltered Thicket
1
Temple Of Abandon
1
Temple Of Mystery
1
Yavimaya Coast
1
Dragon Tempest
1
Breaching Dragonstorm
1
Stormshriek Feral // Flush Out
1
Encroaching Dragonstorm
1
Draconic Lore
1
Rapid Hybridization
1
Reality Shift
1
Dragonlord'S Servant
1
Rapacious Dragon
1
Beast Within
1
Elemental Bond
1
Frontier Bivouac
1
Kodama'S Reach
1
Migration Path
1
Talisman Of Creativity
1
Talisman Of Impulse
CONCENTRATION · BALANCED top 3 cards
12%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $209.86 63%
Commons & Uncommons $96.89 29%
Wildcard / Treatment $19.68 6%
Lands $8.35 2%
Bonus Sheet $0.00 0%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | $275.80 | $257.00 | $299.89 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | $277.14 | $257.00 | $290.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | $277.64 | $253.79 | $294.95 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | $278.77 | $253.79 | $290.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | $277.41 | $257.00 | $290.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | $277.41 | $257.00 | $294.95 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | $277.93 | $263.99 | $299.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | $277.38 | $263.99 | $299.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | $277.38 | $263.99 | $295.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | $275.55 | $263.99 | $300.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | $275.55 | $263.99 | $300.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | $274.79 | $263.99 | $299.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | $273.88 | $263.99 | $299.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | $270.26 | $263.99 | $299.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | $269.31 | $263.99 | $299.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | $269.26 | $263.99 | $299.94 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | $269.08 | $263.99 | $299.89 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | $269.08 | $263.99 | $294.95 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | $269.39 | $260.56 | $290.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | $269.27 | $260.56 | $299.89 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | $269.08 | $260.56 | $290.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | $268.93 | $260.56 | $294.95 | $520.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | $269.78 | $249.99 | $290.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | $270.02 | $249.99 | $290.00 | $520.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | $270.17 | $249.99 | $289.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | $269.67 | $249.99 | $289.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | $269.67 | $249.99 | $289.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | $269.29 | $249.99 | $289.99 | $520.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | $268.93 | $249.99 | $286.61 | $520.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | $268.93 | $249.99 | $286.61 | $520.00 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-23 CRACK
TARKIR: DRAGONSTORM COMMANDER · BOOSTER CASE
120.7%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $334.78 · Box Price $275.80 7D +4.2%
30D +19.2%
90D +41.2%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-23 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck Case
Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck Case currently sells for $275.80 at market, up 2.6% over 30 days and up 30.5% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $288.40 (2025-04-01); low: $132.64 (2025-12-22).
COMMON QUESTIONS
Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck Case FAQ
Is Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck Case worth opening?
Open it. Median crack value is $334.78 against a $275.80 box price (1.21× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-23.
What is the best card you can pull from Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander Deck Case?
The top pull by value is Seedborn Muse (about $18.49), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
561 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-23.