SEALED · COMMANDER DECK
![Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/496045_400w.jpg)
Is Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2] Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 775 DAYS TRACKED HOLD Keep it sealed.
BOX PRICE $329.32 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $274.19 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $329 / $74 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D +0.6%
30D +1.9%
90D -11.3%
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GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2] box price and crack EV, last 775 days: box from $74.17 to $329.32, EV from $176.38 to $325.87.
▼
Crack EV currently sits $55.13 below box price — sealed has the edge today.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
15
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Bonus Sheet Reprint from outside the set
1
Tegwyll, Duke Of Splendor
1
Alela, Cunning Conqueror
1
Archmage Of Echoes
1
Malleable Impostor
1
Misleading Signpost
1
Shadow Puppeteers
1
Blightwing Bandit
1
Faerie Bladecrafter
1
Nettling Nuisance
1
Tegwyll'S Scouring
1
Brazen Borrower // Petty Theft
1
Faerie Formation
1
Glen Elendra Archmage
1
Hullbreaker Horror
1
Illusionist'S Gambit
1
Midnight Clock
1
Perplexing Test
1
Reflections Of Littjara
1
Scion Of Oona
1
Sower Of Temptation
1
Theoretical Duplication
1
Kindred Dominance
1
Nightmare Unmaking
1
Puppeteer Clique
1
Rankle, Master Of Pranks
1
Thrilling Encore
1
Glen Elendra Liege
1
Nymris, Oona'S Trickster
1
Oona, Queen Of The Fae
1
Choked Estuary
1
Darkwater Catacombs
1
Exotic Orchard
1
Secluded Glen
1
Sunken Hollow
1
Temple Of Deceit
1
Mocking Sprite
1
Picklock Prankster // Free The Fae
1
Spell Stutter
1
Obyra, Dreaming Duelist
1
Spellscorn Coven // Take It Back
1
Arcane Denial
1
Cloud Of Faeries
1
Consider
1
Distant Melody
1
Fact Or Fiction
1
Faerie Seer
1
Frantic Search
1
Hypnotic Sprite // Mesmeric Glare
1
Keep Watch
1
Nightveil Sprite
1
Opt
1
Quickling
1
Reality Shift
1
Reconnaissance Mission
1
Repulse
1
Run Away Together
1
Snap
1
Reckless Spite
1
Halo Forager
2
Arcane Signet
1
Dimir Signet
1
Fellwar Stone
1
Mind Stone
2
Sol Ring
1
Talisman Of Dominance
1
Wayfarer'S Bauble
1
Bojuka Bog
2
Command Tower
1
Dimir Aqueduct
1
Faerie Conclave
1
Path Of Ancestry
1
Tainted Isle
1
Temple Of The False God
12
Swamp
1
Ellivere Of The Wild Court
1
Gylwain, Casting Director
1
Liberated Livestock
1
Ox Drover
1
Songbirds' Blessing
1
Unfinished Business
1
Giant Inheritance
1
Knickknack Ouphe
1
Loamcrafter Faun
1
Timber Paladin
1
Ajani'S Chosen
1
Angelic Destiny
1
Archon Of Sun'S Grace
1
Austere Command
1
Celestial Archon
1
Daybreak Coronet
1
Eidolon Of Countless Battles
1
Kor Spiritdancer
1
Mantle Of The Ancients
1
Realm Cloaked Giant // Cast Off
1
Retether
1
Shalai, Voice Of Plenty
1
Starfield Mystic
1
Sun Titan
1
Timely Ward
1
Tithe Taker
1
Umbra Mystic
1
Winds Of Rath
1
Bear Umbra
1
Eidolon Of Blossoms
1
Enchantress'S Presence
1
Indomitable Might
1
Rishkar'S Expertise
1
Sanctum Weaver
1
Setessan Champion
1
Verdant Embrace
1
Canopy Vista
1
Castle Ardenvale
1
Fortified Village
1
Hall Of Heliod'S Generosity
1
Sungrass Prairie
1
Temple Of Plenty
1
Danitha Capashen, Paragon
1
Ethereal Armor
1
Generous Gift
1
Sage'S Reverie
1
Spectral Steel
1
Swords To Plowshares
1
Transcendent Envoy
1
Ancestral Mask
1
Aura Gnarlid
1
Careful Cultivation
1
Destiny Spinner
1
Fertile Ground
1
Kenrith'S Transformation
1
Paradise Druid
1
Snake Umbra
1
Sylvan Ranger
1
Utopia Sprawl
1
Warbriar Blessing
1
Jukai Naturalist
1
Pollenbright Wings
1
Siona, Captain Of The Pyleas
1
Krosan Verge
1
Vitu Ghazi, The City Tree
1
Tanglespan Lookout
1
Syr Armont, The Redeemer
15
Forest
14
Plains
CONCENTRATION · BALANCED top 3 cards
16%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $225.47 82%
Commons & Uncommons $42.20 15%
Lands $6.52 2%
Bonus Sheet $0.00 0%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | $329.32 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-12 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-11 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-10 | $322.97 | $449.70 | $449.99 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-08 | $310.30 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $310.30 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $310.30 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $310.30 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $310.30 | $449.70 | $450.00 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $310.30 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.71 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.71 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.71 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.71 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.71 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-23 | $305.17 | $449.70 | $449.71 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-22 | $299.91 | $449.70 | $450.00 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-21 | $295.45 | $449.70 | $450.00 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-20 | $295.45 | $449.70 | $449.85 | $499.99 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-22 HOLD
WILDS OF ELDRAINE COMMANDER · COMMANDER DECK
83.3%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $274.19 · Box Price $329.32 7D +0.6%
30D +1.9%
90D -11.3%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-22 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2]
Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2] currently sells for $329.32 at market, up 7.9% over 30 days and up 22.8% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $329.32 (2026-09-22); low: $74.17 (2024-10-04).
COMMON QUESTIONS
Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2] FAQ
Is Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2] worth opening?
Keep it sealed. Median crack value is $274.19 against a $329.32 box price (0.83× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-22.
What is the best card you can pull from Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2]?
The top pull by value is Bear Umbra (about $15.38), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
775 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.