TCG STRAT · Magic: the Gathering
SEALED · COLLECTOR BOOSTER BOX ID 11421e60…
The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: TALES OF MIDDLE-EARTH · LTR
Collector Booster Box
12 packs

Is The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display Worth Opening?

VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-08-09 · 774 DAYS TRACKED
SKIP Pass.
EV RATIO · MEDIAN ÷ MARKET SCALE 50%—150%
10.5% $-5,215.61 vs box · median EV minus market
100%
BOX PRICE $5,828.60 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $612.99 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $5,829 / $442 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
TCGplayerBuy · $5,828.60 → Card Kingdom↗ Affiliate links — a few cents support the data. How we make money.
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D
+0.9%
30D
+2.4%
90D
+12.4%
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: TALES OF MIDDLE-EARTH · SEALED LINEUPEV ratio · click to compare
Bundle
146%$374.53
CRACK
Bundle
119%$552.98
CRACK
Draft Booster Box
67%$424.93
SKIP
Collector Booster Box
65%$2,097.59
SKIP
Booster Box
62%$249.29
SKIP
Set Booster Box
62%$475.58
SKIP
Collector Booster Box · THIS
10%$5,828.60
SKIP
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
▼ Crack EV currently sits $5,215.61 below box price — sealed has the edge today.
WHAT YOU'LL ACTUALLY OPEN
Half of all boxes open between $507.78 and $726.31.
One in four cracks below $507.78. One in four clears $726.31. The box costs $5,828.60, so the median crack puts you down$5,215.61.
VOLATILITY · OUTCOME SPREAD
±18%
σ ≈ $162
LOW $508
1-in-4 below
TYPICAL $613
median crack
HIGH $726
1-in-4 above
BOX $5,829
you pay
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 DISPLAY = 12 PACKS
×1
↑ one pack 17 slots per pack
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
1
Uncommon
5
Rare or Mythic 1 per pack
1
Wildcard Any rarity or treatment
9
Traditional Foil Any rarity, foil
1
Borderlessscene
CONCENTRATION · BALANCED top 3 cards
13%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Bonus Sheet $280.78 45%
Wildcard / Treatment $218.74 35%
Rare / Mythic $69.39 11%
Commons & Uncommons $46.07 7%
Lands $11.91 2%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
MIN CARD VALUE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
!
HIGH column may include placeholder listings — read MARKET as the signal.
HIGH ≥ $500 is flagged. MARKET reflects closed sales; HIGH is the top active listing, which can be set arbitrarily.
DATEMARKETLOWMIDHIGH !
2026-08-09 $5,828.60 $6,455.99 $10,000.00 $169,420.69
2026-08-07 $5,828.60 $6,498.98 $10,000.00 $169,420.69
2026-08-06 $5,828.60 $6,788.70 $10,000.00 $169,420.69
2026-08-05 $5,828.60 $6,788.81 $10,225.00 $169,420.69
2026-08-01 $5,729.40 $5,980.00 $10,475.00 $169,420.69
2026-07-28 $5,729.40 $6,969.68 $11,999.99 $169,420.69
2026-07-27 $5,729.40 $7,000.00 $10,935.00 $169,420.69
2026-07-26 $5,729.40 $7,000.00 $10,935.00 $169,420.69
2026-07-25 $5,729.40 $7,000.00 $11,467.50 $169,420.69
2026-07-24 $5,729.40 $7,000.00 $11,467.50 $169,420.69
2026-07-23 $5,729.40 $7,200.00 $12,049.99 $169,420.69
2026-07-22 $5,729.40 $7,200.00 $15,049.47 $169,420.69
2026-07-21 $5,729.40 $7,200.00 $15,049.47 $169,420.69
2026-07-20 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $15,049.47 $169,420.69
2026-07-19 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $15,049.47 $169,420.69
2026-07-18 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $13,998.95 $169,420.69
2026-07-17 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $11,999.99 $169,420.69
2026-07-16 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $11,999.99 $169,420.69
2026-07-15 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $11,999.99 $169,420.69
2026-07-14 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $12,049.99 $169,420.69
2026-07-13 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $13,998.95 $129,000.00
2026-07-12 $5,579.40 $7,200.00 $13,998.95 $129,000.00
2026-07-11 $5,579.40 $7,600.00 $13,998.95 $129,000.00
2026-07-10 $5,579.40 $7,600.00 $13,998.95 $129,000.00
2026-07-09 $5,579.40 $7,600.00 $13,050.00 $129,000.00
2026-07-08 $5,357.43 $7,600.00 $13,050.00 $129,000.00
2026-07-07 $5,357.43 $7,600.00 $18,998.95 $129,000.00
2026-07-06 $5,357.43 $7,597.21 $12,099.99 $129,000.00
2026-07-05 $5,357.43 $9,075.01 $18,998.95 $129,000.00
2026-07-04 $5,357.43 $9,075.00 $18,998.98 $169,420.69
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-08-09 SKIP
THE LORD OF THE RINGS: TALES OF MIDDLE-EARTH · COLLECTOR BOOSTER BOX
10.5%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $612.99 · Box Price $5,828.60
7D +0.9%
30D +2.4%
90D +12.4%
PREVIEW · POSTED TO X, BLUESKY, REDDIT
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-08-09 read, not whatever the page says next week.

A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.

𝕏Post to X ☁Bluesky r/Reddit ↓Download PNG

About The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display contains 12 packs of 21 cards each.

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display currently sells for $5,828.60 at market, up 4.5% over 30 days and up 98.4% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $5,828.60 (2026-08-05); low: $441.61 (2024-07-03).

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display FAQ

Is The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display worth opening?

Pass. Median crack value is $612.99 against a $5,828.60 box price (0.11× EV ratio), as of 2026-08-09.

How many packs are in The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display?

The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display contains 12 packs of 21 cards each. That is 252 cards per box.

What is the best card you can pull from The Lord of the Rings: Tales of Middle-earth - Special Edition Collector Booster Display?

The top pull by value is Ancient Tomb (about $182.95), with roughly a 19.7% chance per box.

HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates

Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.

Price data

TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.

Median EV

Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.

Outcome range

P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.

Serialized inserts

Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.

Tracked since

774 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-08-09.