TCG STRAT · Magic: the Gathering
SEALED · STARTER DECK
Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2]
SECRETS OF STRIXHAVEN · SOS
Starter Deck

Is Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2] Worth Opening?

VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 205 DAYS TRACKED
FAVORED Slight crack.
EV RATIO · MEDIAN ÷ MARKET SCALE 0.50×—1.50×
1.07× +$1.79 vs box · median EV minus market
1.00×
BOX PRICE $24.09 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $25.88 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $56 / $22 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 71 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D
-8.0%
30D
-27.4%
90D
-16.5%

As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Commission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.

GLOSSARY What these terms mean
EV
Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
EV ratio
Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
Crack EV
The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
Median crack
The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
Spread
The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
Bid value
What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
Offer gap
The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
Playable
A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
Lane
A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
SECRETS OF STRIXHAVEN · SEALED LINEUPEV ratio · tap to open
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price

Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2] box price and crack EV, last 205 days: box from $22.28 to $56.44, EV from $24.91 to $49.03.

Crack EV has held above box price for the last 71 days — it first crossed on 2026-07-14.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
11
Land Basic or showcase land
2
Angelic Destiny
3
Entity Tracker
2
Silent Hallcreeper
2
Enduring Innocence
2
Lost In The Maze
2
Valgavoth'S Lair
2
Temple Of Enlightenment
4
Sheltered By Ghosts
3
Gremlin Tamer
4
Ethereal Armor
2
Feather Of Flight
3
Banishing Light
4
Optimistic Scavenger
3
Shardmage'S Rescue
4
Tranquil Cove
18
Plains
3
Zoraline, Cosmos Caller
3
Essence Channeler
3
Amalia Benavides Aguirre
3
Case Of The Uneaten Feast
2
Haliya, Guided By Light
2
Temple Of Silence
4
Deep Cavern Bat
2
Nowhere To Run
2
Fiendish Panda
3
Starscape Cleric
2
Requiting Hex
1
Mudflat Village
2
Silverquill Charm
3
Foolish Fate
4
Scoured Barrens
8
Swamp
CONCENTRATION · JACKPOT RISK top 3 cards
70%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Bonus Sheet $25.88 100%
Lands $0.00 0%
Commons & Uncommons $0.00 0%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
DATEMARKETLOWMIDHIGH
2026-09-22 $24.09 $24.09 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-21 $24.05 $24.05 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-20 $24.02 $23.91 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-19 $23.88 $23.88 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-18 $23.88 $23.77 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-17 $23.77 $23.77 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-16 $23.74 $23.74 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-15 $23.74 $23.63 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-14 $23.36 $23.36 $34.98 $59.99
2026-09-13 $23.22 $23.22 $34.95 $59.99
2026-09-12 $23.22 $23.22 $34.95 $59.99
2026-09-11 $23.22 $23.22 $34.95 $59.99
2026-09-10 $23.22 $23.22 $34.95 $59.99
2026-09-08 $23.08 $23.08 $34.95 $59.99
2026-09-07 $22.86 $22.86 $34.95 $59.99
2026-09-06 $22.86 $22.86 $34.47 $59.99
2026-09-05 $22.86 $22.86 $34.47 $59.99
2026-09-04 $22.75 $22.64 $34.47 $59.99
2026-09-03 $22.64 $22.53 $34.47 $59.99
2026-09-02 $22.53 $22.51 $33.99 $59.99
2026-09-01 $22.51 $21.50 $33.99 $59.99
2026-08-31 $22.38 $21.50 $33.99 $59.99
2026-08-30 $22.28 $21.50 $33.00 $59.99
2026-08-29 $22.28 $21.50 $33.00 $59.99
2026-08-28 $22.56 $21.50 $32.00 $59.99
2026-08-27 $22.58 $21.50 $32.00 $59.99
2026-08-26 $22.58 $21.50 $32.00 $59.99
2026-08-25 $22.58 $21.50 $32.00 $59.99
2026-08-24 $22.61 $21.50 $32.00 $59.99
2026-08-23 $22.84 $21.50 $32.00 $59.99
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-22 FAVORED
SECRETS OF STRIXHAVEN · STARTER DECK
107.4%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $25.88 · Box Price $24.09
PREVIEW · POSTED TO X, BLUESKY, REDDIT
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-22 read, not whatever the page says next week.

A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.

SECOND SIGNAL

What You'd Actually Get: Cash-Out Value

bids as of 2026-09-22

Second signal — separate from the FAVORED verdict above: what vendors pay in cash today, not what the cards list for.

Cracking Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2] is worth $25.88 at market prices, but selling the contents to vendor buylists today nets about $29.06 in instant cash — -12% of the market number survives the cash-out.

Unusual state: instant cash-out currently sits above the box price itself. Windows like this tend to close fast — vendors adjust bids daily.

Based on live bids covering 100% of the EV-relevant cards. Market data and analysis, not financial advice.

PRODUCT DETAILS

About Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2]

Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2] currently sells for $24.09 at market, up 5.5% over 30 days and down 6.1% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $56.44 (2026-03-13); low: $22.28 (2026-08-29).

COMMON QUESTIONS

Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2] FAQ

Is Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2] worth opening?

Slight crack. Median crack value is $25.88 against a $24.09 box price (1.07× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-22.

What is the best card you can pull from Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2]?

The top pull by value is Enduring Innocence (about $3.66), with roughly a 200.0% chance per box.

Can you profit by cracking Secrets of Strixhaven Theme Decks [Set of 2] and selling the cards?

Right now, selling the contents straight to vendor buylists nets about $29.06 against a $24.09 box price — roughly $4.97 above the product before your time. That is unusual and tends to close quickly. Market data, not financial advice.

HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates

Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.

Price data

TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.

Median EV

Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.

Outcome range

P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.

Serialized inserts

Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.

Tracked since

205 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.