SEALED · COMMANDER DECK
![Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/609612_400w.jpg)
Is Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2] Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-23 · 591 DAYS TRACKED NEUTRAL Coin flip.
BOX PRICE $68.53 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $66.23 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $122 / $57 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D +0.9%
30D -7.1%
90D +11.7%
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GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2] box price and crack EV, last 591 days: box from $57.27 to $121.86, EV from $58.89 to $106.27.
▼
Crack EV currently sits $2.30 below box price — sealed has the edge today.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
11
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Saheeli, Radiant Creator
1
Pia Nalaar, Chief Mechanic
1
Territorial Aetherkite
1
Nissa, Worldsoul Speaker
1
Peema Trailblazer
1
Rampaging Aetherhood
1
Adaptive Omnitool
1
Aetherflux Conduit
1
Aetheric Amplifier
1
Stridehangar Automaton
1
Chain Reaction
1
Chaos Warp
1
Druid Of Purification
1
Chromatic Lantern
1
Duplicant
1
Academy Ruins
1
Aethersquall Ancient
1
Aethertide Whale
1
Confiscation Coup
1
Disallow
1
Midnight Clock
1
One With The Machine
1
Sai, Master Thopterist
1
Thopter Spy Network
1
Blasphemous Act
1
Combustible Gearhulk
1
Lightning Runner
1
Pia And Kiran Nalaar
1
Aetherwind Basker
1
Architect Of The Untamed
1
Bootleggers' Stash
1
Elder Gargaroth
1
Aetherworks Marvel
1
Conjurer'S Closet
1
Cultivator'S Caravan
1
Panharmonicon
1
Retrofitter Foundry
1
Solemn Simulacrum
1
Triplicate Titan
2
Exotic Orchard
1
Frostboil Snarl
1
Karplusan Forest
1
Overflowing Basin
1
Rootbound Crag
1
Sheltered Thicket
1
Shivan Reef
1
Spire Of Industry
1
Sulfur Falls
1
Temple Of Epiphany
1
Treasure Vault
1
Vineglimmer Snarl
1
Yavimaya Coast
1
Reality Shift
2
Arcane Signet
1
Lightning Greaves
2
Sol Ring
2
Command Tower
1
Arcane Denial
1
Bespoke Battlewagon
1
Era Of Innovation
1
Glimmer Of Genius
1
Whirler Rogue
1
Loyal Apprentice
1
Reckless Fireweaver
1
Attune With Aether
1
Explosive Vegetation
1
Peema Aether Seer
1
Servant Of The Conduit
1
Rogue Refiner
1
Saheeli, Sublime Artificer
1
Whirler Virtuoso
2
Commander'S Sphere
1
Decoction Module
1
Ornithopter Of Paradise
1
Solar Transformer
1
Soul Guide Lantern
1
Talisman Of Curiosity
1
Aether Hub
2
Evolving Wilds
1
Frontier Bivouac
2
Path Of Ancestry
1
Slagwoods Bridge
1
Tanglepool Bridge
5
Mountain
6
Forest
1
Temmet, Naktamun'S Will
1
Hashaton, Scarab'S Fist
1
On Wings Of Gold
1
Priest Of The Crossing
1
Renewed Solidarity
1
Wizened Mentor
1
Prophet Of The Scarab
1
Rhet Tomb Mystic
1
Lost Monarch Of Ifnir
1
Accursed Duneyard
1
Commence The Endgame
1
Cryptbreaker
1
Grave Titan
1
Gravecrawler
1
Midnight Reaper
1
Zombie Master
1
Angel Of Sanctions
1
God Eternal Oketra
1
Timeless Dragon
1
Champion Of Wits
1
Forgotten Creation
1
Pull From Tomorrow
1
Vizier Of Many Faces
1
Archfiend Of Ifnir
1
Cemetery Reaper
1
Crowded Crypt
1
Damn
1
Dread Summons
1
Dreadhorde Invasion
1
Liliana, Death'S Majesty
1
Plague Belcher
1
Rot Hulk
1
The Scarab God
1
God Pharaoh'S Gift
1
Maskwood Nexus
1
Adarkar Wastes
1
Caves Of Koilos
1
Drowned Catacomb
1
Fetid Pools
1
Glacial Fortress
1
Isolated Chapel
1
Prairie Stream
1
Sunken Hollow
1
Temple Of Deceit
1
Temple Of Silence
1
Underground River
1
Unholy Grotto
1
Swords To Plowshares
1
Corpse Augur
1
Corpse Knight
1
Binding Mummy
1
Cast Out
1
Eternal Skylord
1
Fleshbag Marauder
1
Gempalm Polluter
1
Lord Of The Accursed
1
Twisted Abomination
1
Undead Augur
1
Despark
1
Gleaming Overseer
1
Lazotep Chancellor
1
Wayward Servant
1
Bontu'S Monument
1
Dimir Signet
1
Gate To The Afterlife
1
Orzhov Signet
1
Talisman Of Dominance
1
Talisman Of Hierarchy
1
Arcane Sanctum
1
Ash Barrens
1
Desert Of The Glorified
1
Desert Of The Mindful
1
Desert Of The True
1
Orzhov Basilica
1
Terramorphic Expanse
5
Plains
5
Swamp
CONCENTRATION · JACKPOT RISK top 3 cards
24%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $44.30 67%
Commons & Uncommons $18.73 28%
Bonus Sheet $3.20 5%
Wildcard / Treatment $0.00 0%
Lands $0.00 0%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | $68.53 | $54.95 | $82.59 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-22 | $68.53 | $54.95 | $82.59 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $68.53 | $54.95 | $82.94 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $68.74 | $54.95 | $83.95 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $68.74 | $54.95 | $84.95 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $69.06 | $54.95 | $84.97 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $69.06 | $54.96 | $84.99 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $69.06 | $54.96 | $83.97 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-15 | $68.78 | $54.96 | $83.97 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-14 | $68.78 | $63.72 | $84.99 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-13 | $68.53 | $63.72 | $98.00 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-12 | $68.24 | $63.72 | $98.00 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-11 | $67.96 | $63.72 | $91.50 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-10 | $67.03 | $63.72 | $84.97 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-08 | $66.44 | $63.72 | $84.97 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $66.14 | $63.72 | $84.97 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $66.14 | $63.72 | $84.95 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $65.78 | $63.72 | $84.95 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $65.49 | $63.72 | $84.99 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $65.21 | $63.72 | $88.96 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $65.21 | $63.72 | $88.96 | $194.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $64.97 | $63.72 | $88.96 | $194.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $64.85 | $63.72 | $92.92 | $194.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $63.87 | $63.72 | $92.92 | $194.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $63.87 | $63.72 | $92.92 | $194.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $63.04 | $63.00 | $92.92 | $194.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $63.04 | $63.00 | $92.92 | $194.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | $63.04 | $63.00 | $92.92 | $194.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $63.04 | $63.00 | $95.46 | $194.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $63.07 | $63.00 | $98.92 | $194.99 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-23 NEUTRAL
AETHERDRIFT COMMANDER · COMMANDER DECK
96.6%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $66.23 · Box Price $68.53 7D +0.9%
30D -7.1%
90D +11.7%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-23 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2]
Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2] currently sells for $68.53 at market, up 8.7% over 30 days and up 1.0% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $121.86 (2025-02-11); low: $57.27 (2026-05-18).
COMMON QUESTIONS
Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2] FAQ
Is Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2] worth opening?
Coin flip. Median crack value is $66.23 against a $68.53 box price (0.97× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-23.
What is the best card you can pull from Aetherdrift Commander Decks [Set of 2]?
The top pull by value is Panharmonicon (about $5.55), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
591 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-23.