Not Worth Opening
652 tracked sealed products cost more than the median crack value of the cards inside — cracking these loses money on median. Showing the 65 worst. Updated daily.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
| Product image | PRODUCT | BOX PRICE | MEDIAN EV | EV RATIO | VERDICT | WHY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Hope's Crusaders TSP · Time Spiral | $38.00 | $0.51 | 0.01× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Lofty Heights 9ED · Ninth Edition | $30.00 | $0.67 | 0.02× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Azorius Ascendant DIS · Dissension | $18.23 | $0.51 | 0.03× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Two-Player Starter Deck 6ED · Classic Sixth Edition | $145.01 | $4.15 | 0.03× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Molimo's Might 10E · Tenth Edition | $45.00 | $1.59 | 0.04× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Wicked Big MRD · Mirrodin | $28.56 | $1.19 | 0.04× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Unraveling Mind PLC · Planar Chaos | $46.99 | $2.04 | 0.04× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Starter Deck 5ED · Fifth Edition | $131.79 | $6.16 | 0.05× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Way Wild 7ED · Seventh Edition | $49.95 | $2.69 | 0.05× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Rebel's Call MMQ · Mercadian Masques | $60.00 | $3.83 | 0.06× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Endless March PLC · Planar Chaos | $25.94 | $1.68 | 0.06× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Rakdos Bloodsport DIS · Dissension | $23.99 | $2.34 | 0.10× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Cho-Manno's Resolve 10E · Tenth Edition | $21.00 | $2.12 | 0.10× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Infestation 7ED · Seventh Edition | $38.00 | $4.93 | 0.13× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Charge of the Boros RAV · Ravnica: City of Guilds | $55.00 | $7.15 | 0.13× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Morph Mayhem Theme Deck LGN · Legions | $28.49 | $4.40 | 0.15× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Heavy Duty Theme Deck INV · Invasion | $53.98 | $8.79 | 0.16× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Ixidor's Legacy PLC · Planar Chaos | $31.26 | $5.42 | 0.17× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Celestial Assault ONS · Onslaught | $45.00 | $8.16 | 0.18× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Superabundance EVE · Eventide | $49.99 | $9.28 | 0.19× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Spirit Flames SOK · Saviors of Kamigawa | $19.83 | $3.84 | 0.19× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Gruul Wilding GPT · Guildpact | $16.67 | $3.45 | 0.21× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Sleeper USG · Urza's Saga | $63.78 | $13.36 | 0.21× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Goblin Mob SCG · Scourge | $195.00 | $45.55 | 0.23× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Sunburst Theme Deck 5DN · Fifth Dawn | — | $12.88 | 0.23× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Dead Again 9ED · Ninth Edition | $50.00 | $11.80 | 0.24× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Edge of Eternities Commander Decks [Set of 2] EOC · Edge of Eternities Commander | $88.89 | $62.32 | 0.70× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Painbow DMC · Dominaria United Commander | $114.36 | $80.44 | 0.70× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Elven Empire Commander Deck KHC · Kaldheim Commander | $179.30 | $126.23 | 0.70× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Goblin Fire P02 · Portal Second Age | $99.95 | $70.42 | 0.70× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Buckle Up (Minimal Packaging) NEC · Neon Dynasty Commander | $87.07 | $61.50 | 0.71× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Party Time Commander Deck (Minimal Packaging) CLB · Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate | $160.11 | $114.39 | 0.71× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Hail, Caesar Commander Deck PIP · Fallout | $116.30 | $84.62 | 0.73× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Tombstone USG · Urza's Saga | $51.78 | $37.81 | 0.73× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Explorers of the Deep LCC · The Lost Caverns of Ixalan Commander | $94.48 | $69.31 | 0.73× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Necron Dynasties Commander Deck 40K · Warhammer 40,000 Commander | $358.73 | $264.47 | 0.74× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | FINAL FANTASY XIV Scions & Spellcraft FIC · Final Fantasy Commander | $63.84 | $47.17 | 0.74× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Planar Portal Commander Deck AFC · Forgotten Realms Commander | $139.57 | $103.31 | 0.74× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | Temur Roar TDC · Tarkir: Dragonstorm Commander | $88.02 | $65.40 | 0.74× | SKIP | EV trails box price by 25%+. Buy singles. |
 | FINAL FANTASY VI Revival Trance FIC · Final Fantasy Commander | $34.84 | $26.24 | 0.75× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | The Nightstalkers P02 · Portal Second Age | $59.95 | $45.54 | 0.76× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Lifegain SOS · Secrets of Strixhaven | $13.08 | $9.98 | 0.76× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | First Flight SCD · Starter Commander Decks | $27.66 | $21.25 | 0.77× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Eternal Might DRC · Aetherdrift Commander | $37.51 | $29.09 | 0.78× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Commander Decks [Set of 2] NEC · Neon Dynasty Commander | $183.76 | $142.53 | 0.78× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Commander Deck [Set of 2] KHC · Kaldheim Commander | $254.55 | $197.65 | 0.78× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Truth Seekers SOK · Saviors of Kamigawa | $25.99 | $20.25 | 0.78× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | FINAL FANTASY VII Limit Break FIC · Final Fantasy Commander | $55.64 | $43.38 | 0.78× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Blight Curse ECC · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander | $33.85 | $26.63 | 0.79× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Counter Intelligence EOC · Edge of Eternities Commander | $43.85 | $34.68 | 0.79× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Exit from Exile Commander Deck CLB · Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate | $173.59 | $137.96 | 0.79× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | The Ruinous Powers Commander Deck 40K · Warhammer 40,000 Commander | $232.33 | $185.40 | 0.80× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Grand Larceny OTC · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander | $200.10 | $160.31 | 0.80× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Growing Threat MOC · March of the Machine Commander | $86.86 | $70.34 | 0.81× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Peace Offering BLC · Bloomburrow Commander | $98.06 | $79.66 | 0.81× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Commander Deck Display CLB · Commander Legends: Battle for Baldur's Gate | $704.69 | $572.55 | 0.81× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Food and Fellowship LTC · Tales of Middle-earth Commander | $108.35 | $88.46 | 0.82× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Nature's Assault P02 · Portal Second Age | $54.97 | $44.93 | 0.82× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | The Hosts of Mordor LTC · Tales of Middle-earth Commander | $129.12 | $106.21 | 0.82× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | FINAL FANTASY Commander Deck Display FIC · Final Fantasy Commander | $193.65 | $159.67 | 0.82× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | "Shamanism" MOR · Morningtide | — | $41.38 | 0.83× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Endless Punishment DSC · Duskmourn: House of Horror Commander | $233.10 | $193.14 | 0.83× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Chaos Incarnate SCD · Starter Commander Decks | $39.40 | $32.72 | 0.83× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Wilds of Eldraine Commander Decks [Set of 2] WOC · Wilds of Eldraine Commander | $329.32 | $274.19 | 0.83× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |
 | Draconic Rage Commander Deck AFC · Forgotten Realms Commander | $124.31 | $103.92 | 0.84× | HOLD | EV trails box price; sealed has more upside. |