EV $0.35 · 1 in 135 packs
Outlaws of Thunder Junction Sealed · Booster pack
Is Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $6.74
1-year range $4.58$7.20 6.4% below the 1-year high
Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price HOLD
0.79×
EV $5.30, $1.44 less card value than the pack costs.
TCGplayer, $6.74 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $4.90, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)
Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 8, 2026, before shipping.
Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot
Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $5.30, or 0.79× the $6.74 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.
EV per pack $5.30 vs $6.74 paid per pack
Wildcard and foil, per pack $1.94 of the $5.30 in each pack
Break-even sell-through 127.2% of market value covers the pack
Card value below price −$1.44 before fees and shipping
$0$2$4$6$8 Pack price$6.74
$1.94 36.6%
$1.89 35.7%
$0.38 7.2%
$0.01 0.2%
$1.08 20.4%
$5.30 100%
−$1.44 card value below the pack price
Wildcard / Treatment3 slots per pack
Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack
Commons & Uncommons8 slots per pack
Lands1 slots per pack
BreakingNews1 slots per pack
Pack EVSum of every slot
Pack price $6.74
Wildcard / Treatment$1.94 · 36.6%
Rare / Mythic$1.89 · 35.7%
Commons & Uncommons$0.38 · 7.2%
Lands$0.01 · 0.2%
BreakingNews$1.08 · 20.4%
Pack EV$5.30
$1.44 under price
About Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack
At $6.74 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $4.58 to $7.20.
What’s in the pack
14 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations Common 5 per pack
Uncommon 3 per pack
Rare or Mythic 1 per pack
Wildcard 2 per pack
Traditional Foil 1 per pack
Land 1 per pack
Breakingnews 1 per pack
Common5 per pack
Uncommon3 per pack
Rare or Mythic1 per pack
Wildcard2 per pack
Traditional Foil1 per pack
Land1 per pack
Breakingnews1 per pack
14 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.
Where your value comes from
The 14 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.05 apiece.
| Slot | Cards | EV per pack | Per card | Share of pack EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots | 3 | $1.94 | $0.65 | 36.6% |
| Rare / MythicOne per pack | 1 | $1.89 | $1.89 | 35.7% |
| Commons & UncommonsEight per pack | 8 | $0.38 | $0.05 | 7.2% |
| LandsBasic or showcase land | 1 | $0.01 | $0.01 | 0.2% |
| Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| BreakingNews | 1 | $1.08 | $1.08 | 20.4% |
| Pack total, 14 cards | 14 | $5.30 | $0.38 | 100% |
Wildcard / Treatment$1.94
3 cards per pack · $0.65 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$1.89
1 card per pack · $1.89 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.38
8 cards per pack · $0.05 per card · Eight per pack
Lands$0.01
1 card per pack · $0.01 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
BreakingNews$1.08
1 card per pack · $1.08 per card
- Pack total, 14 cards$5.30
Outcome rangeOne pack
Likely range for one pack
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$5.30Equals the pack EV
Middle half spans$11.20High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.
How we price a packMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$0.00 to $11.20
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Pack price
Best Pulls in Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack
Mana Drain (Showcase) is the best pull at $47.42. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mana DrainShowcase · Nonfoil · OTP #11 | Mythic | $47.42 | 0.01 | 1 in 135 packs | $0.35 | 6.6% |
| 2 | Bristly Bill, Spine SowerMain set · Nonfoil · OTJ #157 | Mythic | $34.10 | 0.01 | 1 in 129 packs | $0.26 | 4.9% |
| 3 | Vaultborn TyrantMain set · Nonfoil · BIG #20 | Mythic | $39.99 | 0.01 | 1 in 163 packs | $0.25 | 4.7% |
| 4 | Terror of the PeaksMain set · Nonfoil · OTJ #149 | Mythic | $30.61 | 0.01 | 1 in 129 packs | $0.24 | 4.5% |
| 5 | Lively DirgeMain set · Nonfoil · OTJ #93 | Uncommon | $5.49 | 0.03 | 1 in 31 packs | $0.18 | 3.4% |
| 6 | Simulacrum SynthesizerMain set · Nonfoil · BIG #6 | Mythic | $25.02 | 0.01 | 1 in 163 packs | $0.15 | 2.8% |
| 7 | Sword of Wealth and PowerMain set · Nonfoil · BIG #26 | Mythic | $20.39 | 0.01 | 1 in 163 packs | $0.13 | 2.5% |
| 8 | Generous PlundererMain set · Nonfoil · BIG #11 | Mythic | $18.88 | 0.01 | 1 in 163 packs | $0.12 | 2.3% |
| These eight together | $1.68, 31.7% of pack EV. The other $3.62 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $0.26 · 1 in 129 packs
EV $0.25 · 1 in 163 packs
EV $0.24 · 1 in 129 packs
EV $0.18 · 1 in 31 packs
EV $0.15 · 1 in 163 packs
EV $0.13 · 1 in 163 packs
EV $0.12 · 1 in 163 packs
- 1
$0.356.6% of EV
- 2
$0.264.9% of EV
- 3
$0.254.7% of EV
- 4
$0.244.5% of EV
- 5
$0.183.4% of EV
- 6
$0.152.8% of EV
- 7
$0.132.5% of EV
- 8
$0.122.3% of EV
These eight together$1.68, 31.7% of pack EV
All Outlaws of Thunder Junction pricesOutlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.
$2$4$6Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$6.74Crack EV$5.30Mana Pool$4.901Y high $7.201Y low $4.58
Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed
Crack EV has held below pack price for 227 days.
- Now
- $6.74
- TCGplayer market
- 1-year high
- $7.20
- 6.8% above today
- 1-year low
- $4.58
- Today is 47.2% higher
The Outlaws of Thunder Junction lineup
Every Outlaws of Thunder Junction product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.
Crack or keep sealed
EV Notes
Verdict: Hold 0.79×
The Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack sells for $6.74 and carries $5.30 in expected card value at market, a 0.79× ratio and $1.44 less than the pack costs.
Five-tier verdictEV ratio
Crack 1.10× and up Open it.
Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.
Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.
Hold 0.75× to 0.90× This pack, 0.79×
Skip under 0.75× Pass.
Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack FAQ
Is Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack worth opening?
Keep it sealed. Mean expected value is $5.30 against a $6.74 pack price (0.79× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-08.
How many packs are in Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack?
Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack contains 1 pack.
What is the best card you can pull from Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack?
The top pull by value is Mana Drain (about $47.42), with roughly a 0.7% chance per pack.
Details and daily prices
Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Play Booster Pack currently sells for $6.74 at market, down 0.9% over 30 days and down 1.6% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $7.20 (2026-09-19); low: $3.56 (2024-09-03).
897 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-11-08.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | $6.74 | $4.99 | $7.20 | $20.00 |
| 2026-11-07 | $6.77 | $4.99 | $7.20 | $20.00 |
| 2026-11-06 | $6.70 | $4.29 | $7.21 | $20.00 |
| 2026-11-05 | $6.76 | $4.29 | $7.16 | $20.00 |
| 2026-11-04 | $6.80 | $4.75 | $7.16 | $20.00 |
| 2026-11-03 | $6.88 | $4.75 | $7.16 | $20.00 |
| 2026-11-02 | $6.98 | $4.75 | $7.16 | $20.00 |
| 2026-11-01 | $6.98 | $4.75 | $7.18 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-31 | $7.02 | $4.75 | $7.20 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-30 | $6.99 | $4.29 | $7.25 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-29 | $7.05 | $4.29 | $7.25 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-28 | $6.91 | $4.75 | $7.26 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-27 | $6.91 | $4.75 | $7.26 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-26 | $6.97 | $4.75 | $7.26 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-25 | $6.97 | $4.75 | $7.26 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-24 | $7.03 | $4.75 | $7.26 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-23 | $7.03 | $4.29 | $7.26 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | $7.04 | $4.29 | $7.26 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | $7.03 | $4.75 | $7.29 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | $6.94 | $4.75 | $7.31 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | $6.94 | $4.75 | $7.31 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | $6.94 | $4.75 | $7.32 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | $6.94 | $4.29 | $7.32 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | $6.94 | $4.29 | $7.33 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | $6.92 | $4.29 | $7.34 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | $6.93 | $4.75 | $7.35 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | $6.84 | $4.99 | $7.42 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | $6.79 | $4.99 | $7.43 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | $6.80 | $4.99 | $7.43 | $20.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | $6.80 | $4.99 | $7.43 | $20.00 |