Innistrad: Midnight Hunt Sealed · Booster pack

Is Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Draft Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Innistrad: Midnight HuntMID

TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $6.27

1-year range $4.28$6.27 At the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.24×

EV $1.48, $4.79 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $6.27 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $4.98, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Draft Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $1.48, or 0.24× the $6.27 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $1.48 vs $6.27 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.11 of the $1.48 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 423.6% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$4.79 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6$8

$0.11 7.7%

$1.04 70.5%

$0.05 3.5%

$0.27 18.3%

$1.48 100%

−$4.79 card value below the pack price

Pack price$6.27

Wildcard / Treatment2 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons11 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $6.27

Wildcard / Treatment$0.11 · 7.7%

Rare / Mythic$1.04 · 70.5%

Commons & Uncommons$0.05 · 3.5%

Lands$0.27 · 18.3%

Pack EV$1.48

$4.79 under price

About Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Draft Booster Pack

At $6.27 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $4.28 to $6.27.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

Uncommon 2 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 1.7 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.3 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common9 per pack

Uncommon2 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard1.7 per pack

Traditional Foil0.3 per pack

Land1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.00 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	2	$0.11	$0.06	7.7%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$1.04	$1.04	70.5%
Commons & UncommonsEleven per pack	11	$0.05	$0.00	3.5%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.27	$0.27	18.3%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$1.48	$0.10	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.11
7.7%
2 cards per pack · $0.06 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$1.04
70.5%
1 card per pack · $1.04 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.05
3.5%
11 cards per pack · $0.00 per card · Eleven per pack
Lands$0.27
18.3%
1 card per pack · $0.27 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 15 cards$1.48

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$1.48Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$3.40High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $3.40

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Draft Booster Pack

The Meathook Massacre is the best pull at $27.57. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Innistrad: Midnight Hunt prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	The Meathook MassacreMain set · Nonfoil · MID #112	Mythic	$27.57	0.01	1 in 145 packs	$0.19	12.8%
2	SwampShowcase · Nonfoil · MID #273	Common	$1.32	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.13	8.8%
3	SwampShowcase · Nonfoil · MID #272	Common	$0.89	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.09	6.1%
4	Unnatural GrowthMain set · Nonfoil · MID #206	Rare	$4.20	0.01	1 in 73 packs	$0.06	4.1%
5	Haunted RidgeMain set · Nonfoil · MID #263	Rare	$6.21	0.01	1 in 109 packs	$0.06	4.1%
6	IslandShowcase · Nonfoil · MID #270	Common	$0.50	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.05	3.4%
7	Deserted BeachMain set · Nonfoil · MID #260	Rare	$4.16	0.01	1 in 109 packs	$0.04	2.7%
8	Shipwreck MarshMain set · Nonfoil · MID #267	Rare	$3.86	0.01	1 in 109 packs	$0.04	2.7%
These eight together		$0.66, 44.6% of pack EV. The other $0.82 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 The Meathook Massacre

MID #112

Nonfoil

$27.57

EV $0.19 · 1 in 145 packs

#2 Swamp

MID #273

Nonfoil

$1.32

Showcase

EV $0.13 · 1 in 10 packs

#3 Swamp

MID #272

Nonfoil

$0.89

Showcase

EV $0.09 · 1 in 10 packs

#4 Unnatural Growth

MID #206

Nonfoil

$4.20

EV $0.06 · 1 in 73 packs

#5 Haunted Ridge

MID #263

Nonfoil

$6.21

EV $0.06 · 1 in 109 packs

#6 Island

MID #270

Nonfoil

$0.50

Showcase

EV $0.05 · 1 in 10 packs

#7 Deserted Beach

MID #260

Nonfoil

$4.16

EV $0.04 · 1 in 109 packs

#8 Shipwreck Marsh

MID #267

Nonfoil

$3.86

EV $0.04 · 1 in 109 packs

1
The Meathook Massacre
MID #112Nonfoil
$27.57 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 145 packs
$0.1912.8% of EV
2
Swamp
MID #273NonfoilShowcase
$1.32 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.138.8% of EV
3
Swamp
MID #272NonfoilShowcase
$0.89 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.096.1% of EV
4
Unnatural Growth
MID #206Nonfoil
$4.20 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 73 packs
$0.064.1% of EV
5
Haunted Ridge
MID #263Nonfoil
$6.21 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 109 packs
$0.064.1% of EV
6
Island
MID #270NonfoilShowcase
$0.50 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.053.4% of EV
7
Deserted Beach
MID #260Nonfoil
$4.16 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 109 packs
$0.042.7% of EV
8
Shipwreck Marsh
MID #267Nonfoil
$3.86 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 109 packs
$0.042.7% of EV

These eight together$0.66, 44.6% of pack EV

All Innistrad: Midnight Hunt prices

Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Draft Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$2$4$6Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$6.27Crack EV$1.48Mana Pool$4.981Y low $4.28

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 9, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 228 days.

Now: $6.27; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $6.27; At the 1-year high
1-year low: $4.28; Today is 46.5% higher

The Innistrad: Midnight Hunt lineup

Every Innistrad: Midnight Hunt product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.24×

The Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Draft Booster Pack sells for $6.27 and carries $1.48 in expected card value at market, a 0.24× ratio and $4.79 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.24×

Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Draft Booster Pack FAQ