Shown with one Booster Pack $19.69 per pack at the box price

Shards of Alara Sealed · Booster display

Is Shards of Alara - Booster Box Worth Opening?

36 packsShards of AlaraALA

TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $708.75

1-year range $702.66$719.73 1.5% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of box price SKIP

0.19×

EV $137.72, $571.03 less card value than the box costs.

TCGplayer, $708.75, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $772.99 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 9, 2026, before shipping.

Shards of Alara - Booster Box Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one box at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $137.72, or 0.19× the $708.75 the box costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $3.83 vs $19.69 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.70 of the $3.83 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 514.6% of market value covers the box

Card value below price −$571.03 before fees and shipping

$0$200$400$600$800

$25.15 18.3%

$68.59 49.8%

$40.60 29.5%

$3.38 2.5%

$137.72 100%

−$571.03 card value below the box price

Box price$708.75

Wildcard / Treatment36 slots per box

Rare / Mythic36 slots per box

Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box

Lands36 slots per box

Box EVSum of every slot

Box price $708.75

Wildcard / Treatment$25.15 · 18.3%

Rare / Mythic$68.59 · 49.8%

Commons & Uncommons$40.60 · 29.5%

Lands$3.38 · 2.5%

Box EV$137.72

$571.03 under price

About Shards of Alara - Booster Box

Shards of Alara - Booster Box contains 36 packs. At $708.75 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $702.66 to $719.73.

What’s in the box

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

324 per box

Uncommon 3 per pack

108 per box

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

36 per box

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

27.9 per box

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

8.1 per box

Land 1 per pack

36 per box

Common9 per pack

324per box

Uncommon3 per pack

108per box

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

36per box

Wildcard0.8 per pack

27.9per box

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

8.1per box

Land1 per pack

36per box

Valued slots15 per pack · 540 per box

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 540.0 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.09 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per box	Per card	Share of box EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	36.0	$25.15	$0.70	18.3%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	36	$68.59	$1.91	49.8%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	432	$40.60	$0.09	29.5%
LandsBasic or showcase land	36	$3.38	$0.09	2.5%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Box total, 540.0 cards	540.0	$137.72	$0.26	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$25.15
18.3%
36.0 cards per box · $0.70 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$68.59
49.8%
36 cards per box · $1.91 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$40.60
29.5%
432 cards per box · $0.09 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$3.38
2.5%
36 cards per box · $0.09 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per box · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Box total, 540.0 cards$137.72

Outcome rangeOne box

Likely range for one box

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single box at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$137.72Equals the box EV

Middle half spans$55.04High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened boxes.

How we price a box

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$110.20 to $165.24

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Box price

Best Pulls in Shards of Alara - Booster Box

Relic of Progenitus is the best pull at $7.63. Pulls are expected copies per box; EV is pulls times market price.

All Shards of Alara prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Relic of ProgenitusMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #218	Common	$7.63	3.48		$26.58	19.3%
2	Tezzeret the SeekerMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #60	Mythic	$35.76	0.30	1 in 3 boxes	$10.64	7.7%
3	Ad NauseamMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #63	Rare	$10.59	0.60	1 in 2 boxes	$6.30	4.6%
4	Etherium SculptorMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #42	Common	$1.52	3.48		$5.30	3.8%
5	Memory ErosionMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #50	Rare	$7.12	0.60	1 in 2 boxes	$4.24	3.1%
6	Ad NauseamMain set · Foil · ALA #63	Rare	$181.99	0.02	1 in 50 boxes	$3.65	2.7%
7	DeathgreeterMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #71	Common	$1.02	3.48		$3.55	2.6%
8	Ethersworn CanonistMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #10	Rare	$5.28	0.60	1 in 2 boxes	$3.14	2.3%
These eight together		$63.40, 46.0% of box EV. The other $74.32 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Relic of Progenitus

ALA #218

Nonfoil

$7.63

EV $26.58 · 3.48 per box

#2 Tezzeret the Seeker

ALA #60

Nonfoil

$35.76

EV $10.64 · 1 in 3 boxes

#3 Ad Nauseam

ALA #63

Nonfoil

$10.59

EV $6.30 · 1 in 2 boxes

#4 Etherium Sculptor

ALA #42

Nonfoil

$1.52

EV $5.30 · 3.48 per box

#5 Memory Erosion

ALA #50

Nonfoil

$7.12

EV $4.24 · 1 in 2 boxes

#6 Ad Nauseam

ALA #63

Foil

$181.99

EV $3.65 · 1 in 50 boxes

#7 Deathgreeter

ALA #71

Nonfoil

$1.02

EV $3.55 · 3.48 per box

#8 Ethersworn Canonist

ALA #10

Nonfoil

$5.28

EV $3.14 · 1 in 2 boxes

1
Relic of Progenitus
ALA #218Nonfoil
$7.63 market · 3.48 per box
$26.5819.3% of EV
2
Tezzeret the Seeker
ALA #60Nonfoil
$35.76 market · 0.30 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$10.647.7% of EV
3
Ad Nauseam
ALA #63Nonfoil
$10.59 market · 0.60 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$6.304.6% of EV
4
Etherium Sculptor
ALA #42Nonfoil
$1.52 market · 3.48 per box
$5.303.8% of EV
5
Memory Erosion
ALA #50Nonfoil
$7.12 market · 0.60 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$4.243.1% of EV
6
Ad Nauseam
ALA #63Foil
$181.99 market · 0.02 per box · 1 in 50 boxes
$3.652.7% of EV
7
Deathgreeter
ALA #71Nonfoil
$1.02 market · 3.48 per box
$3.552.6% of EV
8
Ethersworn Canonist
ALA #10Nonfoil
$5.28 market · 0.60 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$3.142.3% of EV

These eight together$63.40, 46.0% of box EV

All Shards of Alara prices

Shards of Alara - Booster Box Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed box, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$250$500$750Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBox price$708.75Crack EV$137.72Mana Pool$772.991Y high $719.731Y low $702.66

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 9, 2026

Crack EV has held below box price for 239 days.

Now: $708.75; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $719.73; 1.5% above today
1-year low: $702.66; Today is 0.9% higher

The Shards of Alara lineup

Every Shards of Alara product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.19×

The Shards of Alara - Booster Box sells for $708.75 and carries $137.72 in expected card value at market, a 0.19× ratio and $571.03 less than the box costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This box, 0.19×

Shards of Alara - Booster Box FAQ