Shards of Alara Sealed · Booster pack

Is Shards of Alara - Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Shards of AlaraALA

TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $23.23

1-year range $20.50$23.83 2.5% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.16×

EV $3.83, $19.40 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $23.23 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $22.44, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Shards of Alara - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $3.83, or 0.16× the $23.23 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $3.83 vs $23.23 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.70 of the $3.83 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 606.8% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$19.40 before fees and shipping

$0$5$10$15$20$25

$0.70 18.2%

$1.91 50.0%

$1.12 29.3%

$0.09 2.5%

$3.83 100%

−$19.40 card value below the pack price

Pack price$23.23

Wildcard / Treatment1 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons12 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $23.23

Wildcard / Treatment$0.70 · 18.2%

Rare / Mythic$1.91 · 50.0%

Commons & Uncommons$1.12 · 29.3%

Lands$0.09 · 2.5%

Pack EV$3.83

$19.40 under price

About Shards of Alara - Booster Pack

At $23.23 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $20.50 to $23.83.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common9 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

Land1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.09 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	1	$0.70	$0.70	18.2%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$1.91	$1.91	50.0%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	12	$1.12	$0.09	29.3%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.09	$0.09	2.5%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$3.83	$0.26	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.70
18.2%
1 card per pack · $0.70 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$1.91
50.0%
1 card per pack · $1.91 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$1.12
29.3%
12 cards per pack · $0.09 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.09
2.5%
1 card per pack · $0.09 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 15 cards$3.83

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$3.83Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$8.44High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $8.44

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Shards of Alara - Booster Pack

Relic of Progenitus is the best pull at $7.63. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Shards of Alara prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Relic of ProgenitusMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #218	Common	$7.63	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.74	19.3%
2	Tezzeret the SeekerMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #60	Mythic	$36.82	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.30	7.8%
3	Ad NauseamMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #63	Rare	$10.59	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.18	4.7%
4	Etherium SculptorMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #42	Common	$1.52	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.15	3.9%
5	Memory ErosionMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #50	Rare	$7.12	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.12	3.1%
6	Ad NauseamMain set · Foil · ALA #63	Rare	$181.99	0.00	1 in 1,793 packs	$0.10	2.6%
7	DeathgreeterMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #71	Common	$1.03	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.10	2.6%
8	Ethersworn CanonistMain set · Nonfoil · ALA #10	Rare	$5.22	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.09	2.3%
These eight together		$1.78, 46.5% of pack EV. The other $2.05 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Relic of Progenitus

ALA #218

Nonfoil

$7.63

EV $0.74 · 1 in 10 packs

#2 Tezzeret the Seeker

ALA #60

Nonfoil

$36.82

EV $0.30 · 1 in 121 packs

#3 Ad Nauseam

ALA #63

Nonfoil

$10.59

EV $0.18 · 1 in 60 packs

#4 Etherium Sculptor

ALA #42

Nonfoil

$1.52

EV $0.15 · 1 in 10 packs

#5 Memory Erosion

ALA #50

Nonfoil

$7.12

EV $0.12 · 1 in 60 packs

#6 Ad Nauseam

ALA #63

Foil

$181.99

EV $0.10 · 1 in 1,793 packs

#7 Deathgreeter

ALA #71

Nonfoil

$1.03

EV $0.10 · 1 in 10 packs

#8 Ethersworn Canonist

ALA #10

Nonfoil

$5.22

EV $0.09 · 1 in 60 packs

1
Relic of Progenitus
ALA #218Nonfoil
$7.63 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.7419.3% of EV
2
Tezzeret the Seeker
ALA #60Nonfoil
$36.82 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.307.8% of EV
3
Ad Nauseam
ALA #63Nonfoil
$10.59 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.184.7% of EV
4
Etherium Sculptor
ALA #42Nonfoil
$1.52 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.153.9% of EV
5
Memory Erosion
ALA #50Nonfoil
$7.12 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.123.1% of EV
6
Ad Nauseam
ALA #63Foil
$181.99 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 1,793 packs
$0.102.6% of EV
7
Deathgreeter
ALA #71Nonfoil
$1.03 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.102.6% of EV
8
Ethersworn Canonist
ALA #10Nonfoil
$5.22 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.092.3% of EV

These eight together$1.78, 46.5% of pack EV

All Shards of Alara prices

Shards of Alara - Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$-0$10$20Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$23.23Crack EV$3.83Mana Pool$22.441Y high $23.831Y low $20.50

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 8, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 238 days.

Now: $23.23; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $23.83; 2.6% above today
1-year low: $20.50; Today is 13.3% higher

The Shards of Alara lineup

Every Shards of Alara product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.16×

The Shards of Alara - Booster Pack sells for $23.23 and carries $3.83 in expected card value at market, a 0.16× ratio and $19.40 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.16×

Shards of Alara - Booster Pack FAQ