EV $2.43 · 0.87 per bundle
Dragons of Tarkir Sealed · Bundle
Is Dragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $107.71
1-year range $101.68$117.58 8.4% below the 1-year high
Value gaugeCard value per dollar of bundle price SKIP
0.13×
EV $13.68, $94.03 less card value than the bundle costs.
TCGplayer, $107.71 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $102.74, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)
Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 9, 2026, before shipping.
The slot-by-slot breakdown is not available for this bundle yet. Its EV and verdict are unaffected.
About Dragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack
At $107.71 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $101.68 to $117.58.
Outcome rangeOne bundle
Likely range for one bundle
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single bundle at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$13.68Equals the bundle EV
Middle half spans$12.97High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened bundles.
How we price a bundleMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$7.19 to $20.16
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Bundle price
Best Pulls in Dragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack
Impact Tremors is the best pull at $2.79. Pulls are expected copies per bundle; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Impact TremorsMain set · Nonfoil · DTK #140 | Common | $2.79 | 0.87 | $2.43 | 17.8% | |
| 2 | Sarkhan UnbrokenMain set · Nonfoil · DTK #230 | Mythic | $18.63 | 0.07 | 1 in 13 bundles | $1.39 | 10.2% |
| 3 | Sidisi, Undead VizierMain set · Nonfoil · DTK #120 | Rare | $9.00 | 0.15 | 1 in 7 bundles | $1.34 | 9.8% |
| 4 | Sarkhan's TriumphMain set · Nonfoil · DTK #154 | Uncommon | $3.01 | 0.34 | 1 in 3 bundles | $1.02 | 7.5% |
| 5 | Dragonlord KolaghanMain set · Nonfoil · DTK #218 | Mythic | $13.40 | 0.07 | 1 in 13 bundles | $1.00 | 7.3% |
| 6 | Narset TranscendentMain set · Nonfoil · DTK #225 | Mythic | $8.44 | 0.07 | 1 in 13 bundles | $0.63 | 4.6% |
| 7 | Shaman of Forgotten WaysMain set · Nonfoil · DTK #204 | Mythic | $6.35 | 0.07 | 1 in 13 bundles | $0.47 | 3.4% |
| 8 | Secure the WastesMain set · Nonfoil · DTK #36 | Rare | $2.99 | 0.15 | 1 in 7 bundles | $0.44 | 3.2% |
| These eight together | $8.72, 63.7% of bundle EV. The other $4.96 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $1.39 · 1 in 13 bundles
EV $1.34 · 1 in 7 bundles
EV $1.02 · 1 in 3 bundles
EV $1.00 · 1 in 13 bundles
EV $0.63 · 1 in 13 bundles
EV $0.47 · 1 in 13 bundles
EV $0.44 · 1 in 7 bundles
- 1
$2.4317.8% of EV
- 2
$1.3910.2% of EV
- 3
$1.349.8% of EV
- 4
$1.027.5% of EV
- 5
$1.007.3% of EV
- 6
$0.634.6% of EV
- 7
$0.473.4% of EV
- 8
$0.443.2% of EV
These eight together$8.72, 63.7% of bundle EV
All Dragons of Tarkir pricesDragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed bundle, past 12 months, against its crack EV.
$-0$100$200Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBundle price$107.71Crack EV$13.68Mana Pool$102.74Crack EV tracked since Oct 71Y high $117.581Y low $101.68
Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed
Crack EV has held below bundle price for 34 days.
- Now
- $107.71
- TCGplayer market
- 1-year high
- $117.58
- 9.2% above today
- 1-year low
- $101.68
- Today is 5.9% higher
The Dragons of Tarkir lineup
Every Dragons of Tarkir product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.
Crack or keep sealed
EV Notes
Verdict: Skip 0.13×
The Dragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack sells for $107.71 and carries $13.68 in expected card value at market, a 0.13× ratio and $94.03 less than the bundle costs.
Five-tier verdictEV ratio
Crack 1.10× and up Open it.
Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.
Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.
Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.
Skip under 0.75× This bundle, 0.13×
Dragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack FAQ
Is Dragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack worth opening?
Pass. Mean expected value is $13.68 against a $107.71 bundle price (0.13× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-09.
What is the best card you can pull from Dragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack?
The top pull by value is Impact Tremors (about $2.79), with roughly a 87.0% chance per bundle.
Details and daily prices
Dragons of Tarkir - Fat Pack currently sells for $107.71 at market, down 1.4% over 30 days and up 0.2% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $117.58 (2026-03-06); low: $63.99 (2021-06-17).
1883 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-11-09.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | $107.71 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-11-08 | $107.71 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-11-07 | $109.37 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-11-06 | $109.37 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-11-05 | $109.37 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-11-04 | $109.37 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-11-03 | $109.37 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-11-02 | $109.37 | $99.99 | $114.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-11-01 | $109.37 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-31 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-30 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-29 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-28 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-27 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-26 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-25 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-24 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-23 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | $108.50 | $99.99 | $109.99 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | $109.41 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | $109.41 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | $109.41 | $99.99 | $110.00 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | $109.41 | $99.99 | $114.88 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | $109.41 | $99.99 | $114.94 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | $109.41 | $99.99 | $114.94 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | $110.06 | $99.99 | $114.94 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | $110.06 | $99.99 | $114.94 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | $110.06 | $99.99 | $114.94 | $200.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | $109.26 | $99.99 | $114.94 | $200.00 |