EV $34.38 · 1.80 per box
Shown with one Booster Pack $7.02 per pack at the box price
Conspiracy Sealed · Booster display
Is Conspiracy - Booster Box Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $252.78
1-year range $180.24$252.78 At the 1-year high
Value gaugeCard value per dollar of box price CRACK
1.11×
EV $281.80, $29.02 more card value than the box costs.
TCGplayer, $252.78, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $380.00 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)
Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 8, 2026, before shipping.
Conspiracy - Booster Box Expected Value by Slot
Expected card value of one box at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $281.80, or 1.11× the $252.78 the box costs, drawn as the dashed line.
EV per pack $7.83 vs $7.02 paid per pack
Wildcard and foil, per pack $1.03 of the $7.83 in each pack
Break-even sell-through 89.7% of market value covers the box
Card value above price +$29.02 before fees and shipping
$0$100$200$300 Box price$252.78
$37.17 13.2%
$160.49 57.0%
$84.15 29.9%
$0.00 0.0%
$281.80 100%
+$29.02 card value above the box price
Wildcard / Treatment72 slots per box
Rare / Mythic36 slots per box
Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box
LandsBasic or showcase land
Box EVSum of every slot
Box price $252.78
Wildcard / Treatment$37.17 · 13.2%
Rare / Mythic$160.49 · 57.0%
Commons & Uncommons$84.15 · 29.9%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Box EV$281.80
+$29.02 over price
$0$2$4$6$8 Pack price$7.02
$1.03 13.2%
$4.46 57.0%
$2.34 29.9%
$0.00 0.0%
$7.83 100%
+$0.81 card value above the pack price
Wildcard / Treatment72 slots per box
Rare / Mythic36 slots per box
Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box
LandsBasic or showcase land
Pack EVSum of every slot
Pack price $7.02
Wildcard / Treatment$1.03 · 13.2%
Rare / Mythic$4.46 · 57.0%
Commons & Uncommons$2.34 · 29.9%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Pack EV$7.83
+$0.81 over price
About Conspiracy - Booster Box
Conspiracy - Booster Box contains 36 packs. At $252.78 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $180.24 to $252.78.
What’s in the box
15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations Common 9 per pack
324 per box
Uncommon 3 per pack
108 per box
Rare or Mythic 1 per pack
36 per box
Wildcard 1.8 per pack
63.4 per box
Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack
8.6 per box
Common9 per pack
324per box
Uncommon3 per pack
108per box
Rare or Mythic1 per pack
36per box
Wildcard1.8 per pack
63.4per box
Traditional Foil0.2 per pack
8.6per box
Valued slots15 per pack · 540 per box
15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.
Where your value comes from
The 540.0 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.19 apiece.
| Slot | Cards | EV per box | Per card | Share of box EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots | 72.0 | $37.17 | $0.52 | 13.2% |
| Rare / MythicOne per pack | 36 | $160.49 | $4.46 | 57.0% |
| Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack | 432 | $84.15 | $0.19 | 29.9% |
| LandsBasic or showcase land | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Box total, 540.0 cards | 540.0 | $281.80 | $0.52 | 100% |
Wildcard / Treatment$37.17
72.0 cards per box · $0.52 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$160.49
36 cards per box · $4.46 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$84.15
432 cards per box · $0.19 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0 cards per box · n/a per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0 cards per box · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
- Box total, 540.0 cards$281.80
Outcome rangeOne box
Likely range for one box
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single box at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$281.80Equals the box EV
Middle half spans$85.18High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened boxes.
How we price a boxMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$239.21 to $324.39
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Box price
Best Pulls in Conspiracy - Booster Box
Treasonous Ogre is the best pull at $19.10. Pulls are expected copies per box; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Treasonous OgreMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #36 | Uncommon | $19.10 | 1.80 | $34.38 | 12.2% | |
| 2 | ExplorationMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #164 | Rare | $33.82 | 0.90 | $30.44 | 10.8% | |
| 3 | Altar of DementiaMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #196 | Rare | $18.56 | 0.90 | $16.70 | 5.9% | |
| 4 | Reflecting PoolMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #210 | Rare | $17.05 | 0.90 | $15.35 | 5.4% | |
| 5 | Vedalken OrreryMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #206 | Rare | $16.43 | 0.90 | $14.79 | 5.2% | |
| 6 | StifleMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #108 | Rare | $14.45 | 0.90 | $13.00 | 4.6% | |
| 7 | MisdirectionMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #102 | Rare | $13.88 | 0.90 | $12.49 | 4.4% | |
| 8 | BrainstormMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #91 | Common | $2.64 | 4.40 | $11.61 | 4.1% | |
| These eight together | $148.76, 52.8% of box EV. The other $133.04 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $30.44 · 0.90 per box
EV $16.70 · 0.90 per box
EV $15.35 · 0.90 per box
EV $14.79 · 0.90 per box
EV $13.00 · 0.90 per box
EV $12.49 · 0.90 per box
EV $11.61 · 4.40 per box
- 1
$34.3812.2% of EV
- 2
$30.4410.8% of EV
- 3
$16.705.9% of EV
- 4
$15.355.4% of EV
- 5
$14.795.2% of EV
- 6
$13.004.6% of EV
- 7
$12.494.4% of EV
- 8
$11.614.1% of EV
These eight together$148.76, 52.8% of box EV
All Conspiracy pricesConspiracy - Booster Box Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed box, past 12 months, against its crack EV.
$200$300$400Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBox price$252.78Crack EV$281.80Mana Pool$380.001Y high $252.781Y low $180.24
Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed
Crack EV has held above box price for 237 days.
- Now
- $252.78
- TCGplayer market
- 1-year high
- $252.78
- At the 1-year high
- 1-year low
- $180.24
- Today is 40.2% higher
Crack or keep sealed
EV Notes
Verdict: Crack 1.11×
The Conspiracy - Booster Box sells for $252.78 and carries $281.80 in expected card value at market, a 1.11× ratio and $29.02 more than the box costs.
Five-tier verdictEV ratio
Crack 1.10× and up This box, 1.11×
Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.
Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.
Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.
Skip under 0.75× Pass.
Conspiracy - Booster Box FAQ
Is Conspiracy - Booster Box worth opening?
Open it. Mean expected value is $281.80 against a $252.78 box price (1.11× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-08.
How many packs are in Conspiracy - Booster Box?
Conspiracy - Booster Box contains 36 packs.
What is the best card you can pull from Conspiracy - Booster Box?
The top pull by value is Treasonous Ogre (about $19.10), with roughly a 180.0% chance per box.
Details and daily prices
Conspiracy - Booster Box currently sells for $252.78 at market, up 0.1% over 30 days and up 4.1% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $252.78 (2026-10-10); low: $123.30 (2024-12-01).
1889 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-11-08.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | $252.78 | $369.99 | $380.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-11-07 | $252.78 | $369.99 | $380.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-11-06 | $252.78 | $369.99 | $380.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-11-05 | $252.78 | $369.99 | $380.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-11-04 | $252.78 | $370.00 | $381.50 | $450.00 |
| 2026-11-03 | $252.78 | $370.00 | $381.50 | $450.00 |
| 2026-11-02 | $252.78 | $376.00 | $381.50 | $450.00 |
| 2026-11-01 | $252.78 | $376.00 | $381.50 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-31 | $252.78 | $376.00 | $382.99 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-30 | $252.78 | $376.00 | $382.99 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-29 | $252.78 | $376.00 | $382.99 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-28 | $252.78 | $376.00 | $382.99 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-27 | $252.78 | $376.00 | $382.99 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-26 | $252.78 | $376.00 | $390.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-25 | $252.78 | $380.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-24 | $252.78 | $380.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-23 | $252.78 | $380.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | $252.78 | $270.00 | $398.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | $252.78 | $396.00 | $400.00 | $450.00 |