SEALED · BOOSTER CASE
Is Universes Beyond: Fallout Commander Deck Case Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-23 · 784 DAYS TRACKED CRACK Open it.
BOX PRICE $379.06 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $422.25 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $437 / $145 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 27 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D +1.8%
30D +6.5%
90D +16.7%
As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
FALLOUT · SEALED LINEUPEV ratio · tap to open
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
Universes Beyond: Fallout Commander Deck Case box price and crack EV, last 784 days: box from $145.36 to $437.16, EV from $144.50 to $423.77.
▲
Crack EV has held above box price for the last 27 days — it first crossed on 2025-11-23.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
17
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Dogmeat, Ever Loyal
1
Preston Garvey, Minuteman
1
Codsworth, Handy Helper
1
Idolized
1
Pre War Formalwear
1
Vault 101: Birthday Party
1
Duchess, Wayward Tavernkeep
1
Grim Reaper'S Sprint
1
Junk Jet
1
Megaton'S Fate
1
Vault 21: House Gambit
1
Veronica, Dissident Scribe
1
Animal Friend
1
Strong Back
1
Almost Perfect
1
Armory Paladin
1
Cait, Cage Brawler
1
Cass, Hand Of Vengeance
1
Inventory Management
1
Moira Brown, Guide Author
1
Three Dog, Galaxy News Dj
1
Mister Gutsy
1
Pip Boy 3000
1
Junktown
1
Sunscorched Divide
1
Mantle Of The Ancients
1
Puresteel Paladin
1
Single Combat
1
Blasphemous Act
1
Chaos Warp
1
Heroic Intervention
1
Basilisk Collar
1
Bloodforged Battle Axe
1
Champion'S Helm
1
Masterwork Of Ingenuity
1
Canopy Vista
1
Cinder Glade
3
Clifftop Retreat
3
Exotic Orchard
1
Mossfire Valley
1
Rootbound Crag
1
Scattered Groves
1
Scavenger Grounds
1
Sheltered Thicket
1
Sungrass Prairie
1
Sunpetal Grove
1
Temple Of Abandon
1
Temple Of Plenty
2
Temple Of Triumph
1
Brotherhood Outcast
1
Commander Sofia Daguerre
1
Acquired Mutation
1
Crimson Caravaneer
1
Ian The Reckless
1
Bighorner Rancher
1
Break Down
1
Gunner Conscript
1
Super Mutant Scavenger
1
Well Rested
1
Agility Bobblehead
1
Perception Bobblehead
1
Silver Shroud Costume
1
All That Glitters
1
Path To Exile
1
Valorous Stance
1
Sticky Fingers
1
Abundant Growth
1
Fertile Ground
1
Rancor
1
Squirrel Nest
1
Wild Growth
1
Behemoth Sledge
4
Arcane Signet
1
Brass Knuckles
1
Explorer'S Scope
1
Fireshrieker
4
Sol Ring
1
Swiftfoot Boots
4
Ash Barrens
2
Buried Ruin
4
Command Tower
4
Evolving Wilds
1
Jungle Shrine
4
Path Of Ancestry
1
Roadside Reliquary
1
Rogue'S Passage
2
Temple Of The False God
4
Terramorphic Expanse
13
Mountain
9
Forest
13
Plains
1
The Wise Mothman
1
The Master, Transcendent
1
Jason Bright, Glowing Prophet
1
Mirelurk Queen
1
Radstorm
1
Struggle For Project Purity
1
Feral Ghoul
1
Hancock, Ghoulish Mayor
1
Nuclear Fallout
1
Screeching Scorchbeast
1
Vault 12: The Necropolis
1
Harold And Bob, First Numens
1
Lily Bowen, Raging Grandma
1
Power Fist
1
Rampaging Yao Guai
1
Strong, The Brutish Thespian
1
Tato Farmer
1
Watchful Radstag
1
Agent Frank Horrigan
1
Alpha Deathclaw
1
Atomize
1
Marcus, Mutant Mayor
1
Mutational Advantage
1
Vault 87: Forced Evolution
1
Nuka Nuke Launcher
1
Recon Craft Theta
1
Mariposa Military Base
1
Overflowing Basin
1
Viridescent Bog
1
Fraying Sanity
1
Inexorable Tide
1
Branching Evolution
1
Guardian Project
1
Hardened Scales
1
Tireless Tracker
1
Biomass Mutation
1
Casualties Of War
1
Darkwater Catacombs
1
Drowned Catacomb
1
Fetid Pools
1
Nesting Grounds
1
Sunken Hollow
1
Temple Of Deceit
1
Temple Of Malady
1
Temple Of Mystery
1
Bloatfly Swarm
1
Infesting Radroach
1
Cathedral Acolyte
1
Glowing One
1
Lumbering Megasloth
1
Contaminated Drink
1
Nightkin Ambusher
1
Raul, Trouble Shooter
1
Young Deathclaws
1
Strength Bobblehead
1
Cultivate
1
Farseek
1
Harmonize
1
Inspiring Call
1
Rampant Growth
1
Corpsejack Menace
1
Putrefy
1
Winding Constrictor
1
Contagion Clasp
1
Talisman Of Curiosity
1
Talisman Of Dominance
1
Talisman Of Resilience
1
Mortuary Mire
1
Opulent Palace
1
Tainted Isle
1
Tainted Wood
9
Swamp
1
Caesar, Legion'S Emperor
1
Mr. House, President And Ceo
1
Aradesh, The Founder
1
Battle Of Hoover Dam
1
Overseer Of Vault 76
1
Securitron Squadron
1
Sierra, Nuka'S Biggest Fan
1
Vault 75: Middle School
1
Yes Man, Personal Securitron
1
V.A.T.S.
1
Mysterious Stranger
1
Powder Ganger
1
Rose, Cutthroat Raider
1
Thrill Kill Disciple
1
Boomer Scrapper
1
Colonel Autumn
1
Desdemona, Freedom'S Edge
1
Elder Arthur Maxson
1
Kellogg, Dangerous Mind
1
Maccready, Lamplight Mayor
1
The Nipton Lottery
1
Paladin Elizabeth Taggerdy
1
Vault 11: Voter'S Dilemma
1
Ed E, Lonesome Eyebot
1
Desolate Mire
1
Diamond City
1
Captain Of The Watch
1
Entrapment Maneuver
1
Hour Of Reckoning
1
Keeper Of The Accord
1
Marshal'S Anthem
1
Martial Coup
1
Secure The Wastes
1
Black Market
1
Lethal Scheme
1
Stolen Strategy
1
Anguished Unmaking
1
Assemble The Legion
1
Fervent Charge
1
Ruinous Ultimatum
1
Canyon Slough
1
Dragonskull Summit
1
Isolated Chapel
1
Shadowblood Ridge
1
Smoldering Marsh
1
Temple Of Malice
1
Temple Of Silence
1
Windbrisk Heights
1
Gary Clone
1
Butch Deloria, Tunnel Snake
1
Ruthless Radrat
1
Craig Boone, Novac Guard
1
Legate Lanius, Caesar'S Ace
1
White Glove Gourmand
1
Charisma Bobblehead
1
Luck Bobblehead
1
Survivor'S Med Kit
1
Impassioned Orator
1
Intangible Virtue
1
Bastion Of Remembrance
1
Deadly Dispute
1
Morbid Opportunist
1
Pitiless Plunderer
1
General'S Enforcer
1
Heroic Reinforcements
1
Skullclamp
2
Talisman Of Conviction
1
Talisman Of Hierarchy
1
Talisman Of Indulgence
1
Memorial To Glory
1
Nomad Outpost
1
Tainted Field
1
Tainted Peak
1
Dr. Madison Li
1
Liberty Prime, Recharged
1
Automated Assembly Line
1
Brotherhood Scribe
1
Overencumbered
1
The Prydwen, Steel Flagship
1
Sentry Bot
1
Vault 13: Dweller'S Journey
1
Curie, Emergent Intelligence
1
Nick Valentine, Private Eye
1
Synth Infiltrator
1
Assaultron Dominator
1
The Motherlode, Excavator
1
Plasma Caster
1
Synth Eradicator
1
Arcade Gannon
1
Electrosiphon
1
Red Death, Shipwrecker
1
Rex, Cyber Hound
1
Sentinel Sarah Lyons
1
Shaun, Father Of Synths
1
Vault 112: Sadistic Simulation
1
Brotherhood Vertibird
1
T 45 Power Armor
1
Ferrous Lake
1
Helios One
1
Austere Command
1
Open The Vaults
1
Mechanized Production
1
One With The Machine
1
Wake The Past
1
Mystic Forge
1
Panharmonicon
1
Solemn Simulacrum
1
Steel Overseer
1
Glacial Fortress
1
Prairie Stream
1
Skycloud Expanse
1
Spire Of Industry
1
Sulfur Falls
1
Temple Of Enlightenment
1
Temple Of Epiphany
1
Treasure Vault
1
Paladin Danse, Steel Maverick
1
Nerd Rage
1
Robobrain War Mind
1
Bottle Cap Blast
1
Elder Owyn Lyons
1
Behemoth Of Vault 0
1
C.A.M.P.
1
Endurance Bobblehead
1
Expert Level Safe
1
Intelligence Bobblehead
1
Nuka Cola Vending Machine
1
Crush Contraband
1
Dispatch
1
Swords To Plowshares
1
Glimmer Of Genius
1
Thirst For Knowledge
1
Whirler Rogue
1
Loyal Apprentice
1
Unexpected Windfall
1
Everflowing Chalice
1
Lightning Greaves
1
Mind Stone
1
Talisman Of Creativity
1
Talisman Of Progress
1
Thought Vessel
1
Wayfarer'S Bauble
1
Mystic Monastery
1
Razortide Bridge
1
Rustvale Bridge
1
Silverbluff Bridge
CONCENTRATION · BALANCED top 3 cards
15%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $267.28 63%
Commons & Uncommons $139.22 33%
Lands $15.75 4%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | $379.06 | $314.99 | $399.45 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-22 | $378.62 | $314.99 | $399.92 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $378.62 | $314.99 | $399.97 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $374.46 | $314.99 | $399.93 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $370.68 | $314.99 | $399.90 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $368.60 | $364.44 | $399.92 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $364.44 | $364.44 | $399.90 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $362.40 | $359.99 | $399.92 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-12 | $352.95 | $378.00 | $410.00 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-11 | $350.96 | $363.85 | $420.00 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-10 | $350.83 | $367.50 | $420.00 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-08 | $351.40 | $367.50 | $439.00 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $351.64 | $367.50 | $439.50 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $355.25 | $349.90 | $439.50 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $363.89 | $323.00 | $439.00 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $374.53 | $324.99 | $433.21 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $385.56 | $349.99 | $427.41 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $391.80 | $349.99 | $433.21 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $391.54 | $367.50 | $433.21 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $390.06 | $367.50 | $433.21 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $390.66 | $367.50 | $433.21 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $390.66 | $385.00 | $439.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $392.77 | $385.00 | $444.00 | $750.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | $392.77 | $385.00 | $444.00 | $750.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | $396.61 | $383.26 | $439.00 | $750.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | $403.15 | $388.49 | $444.50 | $750.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | $403.15 | $388.49 | $444.50 | $750.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | $405.75 | $388.49 | $444.50 | $750.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | $414.57 | $388.49 | $439.99 | $750.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | $414.57 | $388.49 | $439.99 | $750.00 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-23 CRACK
FALLOUT · BOOSTER CASE
114.6%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $422.25 · Box Price $379.06 7D +1.8%
30D +6.5%
90D +16.7%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-23 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About Universes Beyond: Fallout Commander Deck Case
Universes Beyond: Fallout Commander Deck Case currently sells for $379.06 at market, down 6.0% over 30 days and up 9.9% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $437.16 (2026-08-09); low: $145.36 (2025-10-04).
COMMON QUESTIONS
Universes Beyond: Fallout Commander Deck Case FAQ
Is Universes Beyond: Fallout Commander Deck Case worth opening?
Open it. Median crack value is $422.25 against a $379.06 box price (1.15× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-23.
What is the best card you can pull from Universes Beyond: Fallout Commander Deck Case?
The top pull by value is Codsworth, Handy Helper (about $24.01), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
784 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-23.