SEALED · COMMANDER DECK
Is Innistrad: Crimson Vow - Commander Deck Display Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 770 DAYS TRACKED SKIP Pass.
BOX PRICE $295.22 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $99.74 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $298 / $105 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D -4.0%
30D -0.6%
90D -3.4%
As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
Innistrad: Crimson Vow - Commander Deck Display box price and crack EV, last 770 days: box from $104.76 to $298.33, EV from $64.97 to $121.54.
▼
Crack EV currently sits $195.48 below box price — sealed has the edge today.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
14
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Millicent, Restless Revenant
1
Dovin, Grand Arbiter
1
Donal, Herald Of Wings
1
Rhoda, Geist Avenger
1
Timin, Youthful Geist
1
Drogskol Reinforcements
1
Priest Of The Blessed Graf
1
Ethereal Investigator
1
Spectral Arcanist
1
Angel Of Flight Alabaster
1
Boreas Charger
1
Bygone Bishop
1
Custodi Soulbinders
1
Hallowed Spiritkeeper
1
Hanged Executioner
1
Karmic Guide
1
Knight Of The White Orchid
1
Mentor Of The Meek
1
Mirror Entity
1
Oyobi, Who Split The Heavens
1
Remorseful Cleric
1
Twilight Drover
1
Windborn Muse
1
Ghostly Pilferer
1
Kami Of The Crescent Moon
1
Rattlechains
1
Shacklegeist
1
Supreme Phantom
1
Geist Of Saint Traft
1
Custodi Squire
1
Spectral Shepherd
1
Nebelgast Herald
1
Sire Of The Storm
1
Spectral Sailor
1
Drogskol Captain
1
Storm Of Souls
1
Haunting Imitation
1
Fell The Mighty
1
Kirtar'S Wrath
1
Flood Of Tears
1
Distant Melody
1
Sudden Salvation
1
Occult Epiphany
1
Disorder In The Court
1
Benevolent Offering
1
Crush Contraband
1
Swords To Plowshares
1
Arcane Denial
1
Midnight Clock
2
Arcane Signet
1
Azorius Locket
1
Azorius Signet
2
Commander'S Sphere
1
Marble Diamond
1
Sky Diamond
2
Sol Ring
1
Haunted Library
1
Breath Of The Sleepless
1
Promise Of Bunrei
1
Imprisoned In The Moon
1
Verity Circle
1
Darksteel Mutation
1
Field Of Souls
1
Ghostly Prison
1
Reconnaissance Mission
2
Exotic Orchard
1
Port Town
1
Prairie Stream
1
Skycloud Expanse
1
Temple Of Enlightenment
1
Azorius Chancery
2
Command Tower
2
Path Of Ancestry
2
Temple Of The False God
2
Unclaimed Territory
12
Plains
1
Strefan, Maurer Progenitor
1
Timothar, Baron Of Bats
1
Crossway Troublemakers
1
Kamber, The Plunderer
1
Shadowgrange Archfiend
1
Laurine, The Diversion
1
Markov Enforcer
1
Midnight Arsonist
1
Scion Of Opulence
1
Anowon, The Ruin Sage
1
Bloodlord Of Vaasgoth
1
Bloodtracker
1
Butcher Of Malakir
1
Champion Of Dusk
1
Cordial Vampire
1
Dark Impostor
1
Malakir Bloodwitch
1
Necropolis Regent
1
Nirkana Revenant
1
Patron Of The Vein
1
Sanctum Seeker
1
Stromkirk Condemned
1
Anje'S Ravager
1
Bloodsworn Steward
1
Crimson Honor Guard
1
Falkenrath Gorger
1
Stromkirk Occultist
1
Vampiric Dragon
1
Bloodtithe Harvester
1
Blood Artist
1
Bloodline Necromancer
1
Falkenrath Noble
1
Indulgent Aristocrat
1
Vampire Nighthawk
1
Rakish Heir
1
Stromkirk Captain
1
Olivia'S Wrath
1
Predators' Hour
1
Imposing Grandeur
1
Sinister Waltz
1
Damnable Pact
1
Avacyn'S Judgment
1
Blasphemous Act
1
Mob Rule
1
Ancient Craving
1
Feed The Swarm
1
Night'S Whisper
1
Vandalblast
1
Urge To Feed
1
Rakdos Charm
1
Glass Cast Heart
1
Charcoal Diamond
1
Fire Diamond
1
Rakdos Signet
1
Swiftfoot Boots
1
Unstable Obelisk
1
Arterial Alchemy
1
Underworld Connections
1
Molten Echoes
1
Stensia Masquerade
1
Foreboding Ruins
1
Shadowblood Ridge
1
Smoldering Marsh
1
Temple Of Malice
1
Rakdos Carnarium
1
Tainted Peak
14
Swamp
11
Mountain
CONCENTRATION · JACKPOT RISK top 3 cards
25%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $64.27 64%
Commons & Uncommons $34.29 34%
Lands $1.18 1%
Bonus Sheet $0.00 0%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $689.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $689.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $689.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $689.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $689.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $689.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $689.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $320.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-28 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-27 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-26 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-25 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-24 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-23 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-22 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-21 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-20 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-19 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-18 | $295.22 | $295.22 | $307.72 | $320.22 |
| 2026-08-17 | $295.22 | $299.89 | $299.89 | $299.89 |
| 2026-08-16 | $295.22 | $299.89 | $299.89 | $299.89 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-22 SKIP
CRIMSON VOW COMMANDER · COMMANDER DECK
33.8%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $99.74 · Box Price $295.22 7D -4.0%
30D -0.6%
90D -3.4%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-22 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About Innistrad: Crimson Vow - Commander Deck Display
Innistrad: Crimson Vow - Commander Deck Display currently sells for $295.22 at market, flat over 30 days and down 0.9% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $298.33 (2026-07-25); low: $104.76 (2024-07-14).
COMMON QUESTIONS
Innistrad: Crimson Vow - Commander Deck Display FAQ
Is Innistrad: Crimson Vow - Commander Deck Display worth opening?
Pass. Median crack value is $99.74 against a $295.22 box price (0.34× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-22.
What is the best card you can pull from Innistrad: Crimson Vow - Commander Deck Display?
The top pull by value is Molten Echoes (about $9.10), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
770 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.