SEALED · COMMANDER DECK
Is Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Commander Deck Display Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-23 · 769 DAYS TRACKED SKIP Pass.
BOX PRICE $267.83 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $100.71 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $275 / $134 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D -4.4%
30D +11344.3%
90D -6.6%
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GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Commander Deck Display box price and crack EV, last 769 days: box from $134.12 to $274.56, EV from $0.79 to $119.92.
▼
Crack EV currently sits $167.12 below box price — sealed has the edge today.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
16
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Wilhelt, The Rotcleaver
1
Liliana, Death'S Majesty
1
Forgotten Creation
1
Havengul Runebinder
1
Stitcher Geralf
1
Undead Alchemist
1
Butcher Of Malakir
1
Cemetery Reaper
1
Death Baron
1
Diregraf Colossus
1
Eater Of Hope
1
Gravespawn Sovereign
1
Midnight Reaper
1
Overseer Of The Damned
1
Gisa And Geralf
1
Eternal Skylord
1
Corpse Augur
1
Fleshbag Marauder
1
Liliana'S Devotee
1
Lord Of The Accursed
1
Spark Reaper
1
Undead Augur
1
Diregraf Captain
1
Gleaming Overseer
1
Ruthless Deathfang
1
Hour Of Eternity
1
Army Of The Damned
1
Dark Salvation
1
Dread Summons
1
Zombie Apocalypse
1
Distant Melody
1
Feed The Swarm
1
Syphon Flesh
1
Aetherspouts
1
Go For The Throat
2
Arcane Signet
1
Charcoal Diamond
1
Commander'S Sphere
1
Sky Diamond
2
Sol Ring
1
Talisman Of Dominance
1
Rooftop Storm
1
Dreadhorde Invasion
1
Endless Ranks Of The Dead
1
Liliana'S Mastery
1
Open The Graves
1
Choked Estuary
1
Darkwater Catacombs
2
Exotic Orchard
1
Sunken Hollow
1
Temple Of Deceit
1
Bojuka Bog
2
Command Tower
1
Dimir Aqueduct
1
Mortuary Mire
2
Path Of Ancestry
1
Tainted Isle
1
Unclaimed Territory
15
Swamp
1
Eloise, Nephalia Sleuth
1
Cleaver Skaab
1
Curse Of Unbinding
1
Drown In Dreams
1
Empty The Laboratory
1
Hordewing Skaab
1
Shadow Kin
1
Crowded Crypt
1
Curse Of The Restless Dead
1
Ghouls' Night Out
1
Gorex, The Tombshell
1
Prowling Geistcatcher
1
Ravenous Rotbelly
1
Tomb Tyrant
1
Leinore, Autumn Sovereign
1
Angel Of Glory'S Rise
1
Bastion Protector
1
Custodi Soulbinders
1
Dearly Departed
1
Herald Of War
1
Knight Of The White Orchid
1
Mikaeus, The Lunarch
1
Odric, Master Tactician
1
Riders Of Gavony
1
Victory'S Envoy
1
Champion Of Lambholt
1
Gyre Sage
1
Kessig Cagebreakers
1
Somberwald Sage
1
Verdurous Gearhulk
1
Wild Beastmaster
1
Heron'S Grace Champion
1
Sigarda, Heron'S Grace
1
Abzan Falconer
1
Ainok Bond Kin
1
Elite Scaleguard
1
Orzhov Advokist
1
Avacyn'S Pilgrim
1
Eternal Witness
1
Yavimaya Elder
1
Enduring Scalelord
1
Juniper Order Ranger
1
Trostani'S Summoner
1
Cleansing Nova
1
Hour Of Reckoning
1
Shamanic Revelation
1
Bestial Menace
1
Biogenic Upgrade
1
Growth Spasm
1
Unbreakable Formation
1
Return To Dust
1
Swords To Plowshares
1
Beast Within
1
Inspiring Call
1
Lifecrafter'S Bestiary
1
Swiftfoot Boots
1
Talisman Of Unity
1
Citadel Siege
1
Death'S Presence
1
Canopy Vista
1
Fortified Village
1
Sungrass Prairie
1
Temple Of Plenty
1
Krosan Verge
1
Rogue'S Passage
1
Selesnya Sanctuary
1
Temple Of The False God
12
Forest
12
Plains
1
Kyler, Sigardian Emissary
1
Celestial Judgment
1
Curse Of Conformity
1
Sigarda'S Vanguard
1
Stalwart Pathlighter
1
Wall Of Mourning
1
Celebrate The Harvest
1
Curse Of Clinging Webs
1
Heronblade Elite
1
Kurbis, Harvest Celebrant
1
Ruinous Intrusion
1
Sigardian Zealot
1
Somberwald Beastmaster
1
Dawnhart Wardens
1
Moonsilver Key
CONCENTRATION · JACKPOT RISK top 3 cards
24%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $78.08 78%
Commons & Uncommons $17.87 18%
Lands $3.93 4%
Bonus Sheet $0.83 1%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-22 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $267.83 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $499.99 | $799.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-28 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-27 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-26 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-25 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-24 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-23 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-22 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-21 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $485.00 | $595.95 |
| 2026-08-20 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $547.97 | $610.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $547.97 | $610.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | $267.26 | $449.99 | $547.97 | $610.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | $267.26 | $595.95 | $599.99 | $610.00 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-23 SKIP
MIDNIGHT HUNT COMMANDER · COMMANDER DECK
37.6%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $100.71 · Box Price $267.83 7D -4.4%
30D +11344.3%
90D -6.6%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-23 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Commander Deck Display
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Commander Deck Display currently sells for $267.83 at market, up 0.2% over 30 days and up 0.6% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $274.56 (2025-12-22); low: $134.12 (2024-07-15).
COMMON QUESTIONS
Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Commander Deck Display FAQ
Is Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Commander Deck Display worth opening?
Pass. Median crack value is $100.71 against a $267.83 box price (0.38× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-23.
What is the best card you can pull from Innistrad: Midnight Hunt - Commander Deck Display?
The top pull by value is Wilhelt, the Rotcleaver (about $13.19), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
769 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-23.