EV $51.17 · 7.10 per box
Shown with one Booster Pack $27.77 per pack at the box price
Judgment Sealed · Booster display
Is Judgment - Booster Box Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Oct 31, 2026 $999.69
1-year range $714.90$999.69 At the 1-year high
TCGplayer, $999.69, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $2,800.00 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)
Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Oct 30, 2026, before shipping.
Judgment - Booster Box Expected Value by Slot
Expected card value of one box at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $584.82, or 0.59× the $999.69 the box costs, drawn as the dashed line.
EV per pack $16.24 vs $27.77 paid per pack
Wildcard and foil, per pack $4.81 of the $16.24 in each pack
Break-even sell-through 170.9% of market value covers the box
Card value below price −$414.87 before fees and shipping
$0$200$400$600$800$1,000$1,200 Box price$999.69
$173.14 29.6%
$144.36 24.7%
$267.32 45.7%
$0.00 0.0%
$584.82 100%
−$414.87 card value below the box price
Wildcard / Treatment73 slots per box
Rare / Mythic35 slots per box
Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box
LandsBasic or showcase land
Box EVSum of every slot
Box price $999.69
Wildcard / Treatment$173.14 · 29.6%
Rare / Mythic$144.36 · 24.7%
Commons & Uncommons$267.32 · 45.7%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Box EV$584.82
$414.87 under price
$0$10$20$30 Pack price$27.77
$4.81 29.6%
$4.01 24.7%
$7.43 45.7%
$0.00 0.0%
$16.24 100%
−$11.52 card value below the pack price
Wildcard / Treatment73 slots per box
Rare / Mythic35 slots per box
Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box
LandsBasic or showcase land
Pack EVSum of every slot
Pack price $27.77
Wildcard / Treatment$4.81 · 29.6%
Rare / Mythic$4.01 · 24.7%
Commons & Uncommons$7.43 · 45.7%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Pack EV$16.24
$11.52 under price
About Judgment - Booster Box
Judgment - Booster Box contains 36 packs. At $999.69 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $714.90 to $999.69.
What’s in the box
15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations Common 10 per pack
360 per box
Uncommon 2 per pack
72 per box
Rare or Mythic 1.0 per pack
35.5 per box
Wildcard 1.8 per pack
64.8 per box
Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack
7.7 per box
Common10 per pack
360per box
Uncommon2 per pack
72per box
Rare or Mythic1.0 per pack
35.5per box
Wildcard1.8 per pack
64.8per box
Traditional Foil0.2 per pack
7.7per box
Valued slots15 per pack · 540 per box
15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.
Where your value comes from
The 540.0 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.62 apiece.
| Slot | Cards | EV per box | Per card | Share of box EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots | 72.5 | $173.14 | $2.39 | 29.6% |
| Rare / MythicOne per pack | 35.5 | $144.36 | $4.07 | 24.7% |
| Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack | 432 | $267.32 | $0.62 | 45.7% |
| LandsBasic or showcase land | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Box total, 540.0 cards | 540.0 | $584.82 | $1.08 | 100% |
Wildcard / Treatment$173.14
72.5 cards per box · $2.39 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$144.36
35.5 cards per box · $4.07 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$267.32
432 cards per box · $0.62 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0 cards per box · n/a per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0 cards per box · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
- Box total, 540.0 cards$584.82
Outcome rangeOne box
Likely range for one box
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single box at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$584.82Equals the box EV
Middle half spans$147.14High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened boxes.
How we price a boxMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$511.25 to $658.39
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Box price
Best Pulls in Judgment - Booster Box
Mental Note is the best pull at $7.21. Pulls are expected copies per box; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mental NoteMain set · Nonfoil · JUD #46 | Common | $7.21 | 7.10 | $51.17 | 8.7% | |
| 2 | Prismatic StrandsMain set · Nonfoil · JUD #18 | Common | $6.96 | 7.10 | $49.40 | 8.4% | |
| 3 | Cabal TherapyMain set · Nonfoil · JUD #62 | Uncommon | $18.78 | 2.42 | $45.44 | 7.8% | |
| 4 | EnvelopMain set · Nonfoil · JUD #39 | Common | $4.26 | 7.10 | $30.23 | 5.2% | |
| 5 | Lava DartMain set · Nonfoil · JUD #94 | Common | $4.24 | 7.10 | $30.09 | 5.1% | |
| 6 | Flaring PainMain set · Nonfoil · JUD #89 | Common | $2.69 | 7.10 | $19.09 | 3.3% | |
| 7 | FilthMain set · Nonfoil · JUD #66 | Uncommon | $7.44 | 2.42 | $18.00 | 3.1% | |
| 8 | Sylvan SafekeeperMain set · Nonfoil · JUD #133 | Rare | $14.95 | 0.81 | $12.06 | 2.1% | |
| These eight together | $255.48, 43.7% of box EV. The other $329.34 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $49.40 · 7.10 per box
EV $45.44 · 2.42 per box
EV $30.23 · 7.10 per box
EV $30.09 · 7.10 per box
EV $19.09 · 7.10 per box
EV $18.00 · 2.42 per box
EV $12.06 · 0.81 per box
- 1
$51.178.7% of EV
- 2
$49.408.4% of EV
- 3
$45.447.8% of EV
- 4
$30.235.2% of EV
- 5
$30.095.1% of EV
- 6
$19.093.3% of EV
- 7
$18.003.1% of EV
- 8
$12.062.1% of EV
These eight together$255.48, 43.7% of box EV
All Judgment pricesJudgment - Booster Box Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed box, past 12 months, against its crack EV.
$1,000$2,000Oct 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBox price$999.69Crack EV$584.82Mana Pool$2,800.001Y high $999.691Y low $714.90
Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed
Crack EV has held below box price for 237 days.
- Now
- $999.69
- TCGplayer market
- 1-year high
- $999.69
- At the 1-year high
- 1-year low
- $714.90
- Today is 39.8% higher
Judgment - Booster Box FAQ
Is Judgment - Booster Box worth opening?
Coin flip. Mean expected value is $584.82 against a $999.69 box price (0.00× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-08.
How many packs are in Judgment - Booster Box?
Judgment - Booster Box contains 36 packs.
What is the best card you can pull from Judgment - Booster Box?
The top pull by value is Mental Note (about $7.21), with roughly a 709.7% chance per box.
Details and daily prices
Judgment - Booster Box currently sells for $999.69 at market, up 6.7% over 30 days and up 23.2% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $1,399.00 (2022-06-04); low: $429.99 (2021-06-08).
789 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-10-31.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
High at or above $500 is flagged: it is the top active listing, which can be set arbitrarily, so read Market as the signal.
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High (flag) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-30 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-29 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-28 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-27 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-26 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-25 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-24 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-23 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | $999.69 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | $936.85 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | $936.85 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | $936.85 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | $936.85 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | $936.85 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 | $2,800.00 |