Murders at Karlov Manor Sealed · Booster pack

Is Murders at Karlov Manor - Play Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Murders at Karlov ManorMKM

TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $4.74

1-year range $4.33$5.13 7.6% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price NEUTRAL

0.93×

EV $4.39, $0.35 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $4.74, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $4.90 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Murders at Karlov Manor - Play Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $4.39, or 0.93× the $4.74 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $4.39 vs $4.74 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $3.09 of the $4.39 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 108.0% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$0.35 before fees and shipping

$0$1$2$3$4$5

$3.09 70.4%

$0.99 22.6%

$0.30 6.8%

$0.01 0.2%

$4.39 100%

−$0.35 card value below the pack price

Pack price$4.74

Wildcard / Treatment3 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons9 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $4.74

Wildcard / Treatment$3.09 · 70.4%

Rare / Mythic$0.99 · 22.6%

Commons & Uncommons$0.30 · 6.8%

Lands$0.01 · 0.2%

Pack EV$4.39

$0.35 under price

About Murders at Karlov Manor - Play Booster Pack

At $4.74 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $4.33 to $5.13.

What’s in the pack

14 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 6 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 2 per pack

Traditional Foil 1 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common6 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard2 per pack

Traditional Foil1 per pack

Land1 per pack

14 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 14 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.03 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	3	$3.09	$1.03	70.4%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$0.99	$0.99	22.6%
Commons & UncommonsNine per pack	9	$0.30	$0.03	6.8%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.01	$0.01	0.2%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 14 cards	14	$4.39	$0.31	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$3.09
70.4%
3 cards per pack · $1.03 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$0.99
22.6%
1 card per pack · $0.99 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.30
6.8%
9 cards per pack · $0.03 per card · Nine per pack
Lands$0.01
0.2%
1 card per pack · $0.01 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 14 cards$4.39

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$4.39Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$9.32High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $9.32

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Murders at Karlov Manor - Play Booster Pack

Underground Mortuary is the best pull at $16.60. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Murders at Karlov Manor prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Underground MortuaryMain set · Nonfoil · MKM #271	Rare	$16.60	0.01	1 in 69 packs	$0.24	5.5%
2	Undercity SewersMain set · Nonfoil · MKM #270	Rare	$15.79	0.01	1 in 69 packs	$0.23	5.2%
3	Meticulous ArchiveMain set · Nonfoil · MKM #264	Rare	$15.38	0.01	1 in 69 packs	$0.22	5.0%
4	Thundering FallsMain set · Nonfoil · MKM #269	Rare	$15.06	0.01	1 in 69 packs	$0.22	5.0%
5	Hedge MazeMain set · Nonfoil · MKM #262	Rare	$13.61	0.01	1 in 69 packs	$0.20	4.6%
6	Delney, Streetwise LookoutMain set · Nonfoil · MKM #12	Mythic	$34.20	0.01	1 in 182 packs	$0.19	4.3%
7	Raucous TheaterMain set · Nonfoil · MKM #266	Rare	$11.70	0.01	1 in 69 packs	$0.17	3.9%
8	Archdruid's CharmMain set · Nonfoil · MKM #151	Rare	$9.43	0.02	1 in 61 packs	$0.16	3.6%
These eight together		$1.63, 37.1% of pack EV. The other $2.76 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Underground Mortuary

MKM #271

Nonfoil

$16.60

EV $0.24 · 1 in 69 packs

#2 Undercity Sewers

MKM #270

Nonfoil

$15.79

EV $0.23 · 1 in 69 packs

#3 Meticulous Archive

MKM #264

Nonfoil

$15.38

EV $0.22 · 1 in 69 packs

#4 Thundering Falls

MKM #269

Nonfoil

$15.06

EV $0.22 · 1 in 69 packs

#5 Hedge Maze

MKM #262

Nonfoil

$13.61

EV $0.20 · 1 in 69 packs

#6 Delney, Streetwise Lookout

MKM #12

Nonfoil

$34.20

EV $0.19 · 1 in 182 packs

#7 Raucous Theater

MKM #266

Nonfoil

$11.70

EV $0.17 · 1 in 69 packs

#8 Archdruid's Charm

MKM #151

Nonfoil

$9.43

EV $0.16 · 1 in 61 packs

1
Underground Mortuary
MKM #271Nonfoil
$16.60 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 69 packs
$0.245.5% of EV
2
Undercity Sewers
MKM #270Nonfoil
$15.79 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 69 packs
$0.235.2% of EV
3
Meticulous Archive
MKM #264Nonfoil
$15.38 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 69 packs
$0.225.0% of EV
4
Thundering Falls
MKM #269Nonfoil
$15.06 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 69 packs
$0.225.0% of EV
5
Hedge Maze
MKM #262Nonfoil
$13.61 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 69 packs
$0.204.6% of EV
6
Delney, Streetwise Lookout
MKM #12Nonfoil
$34.20 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 182 packs
$0.194.3% of EV
7
Raucous Theater
MKM #266Nonfoil
$11.70 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 69 packs
$0.173.9% of EV
8
Archdruid's Charm
MKM #151Nonfoil
$9.43 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 61 packs
$0.163.6% of EV

These eight together$1.63, 37.1% of pack EV

All Murders at Karlov Manor prices

Murders at Karlov Manor - Play Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$2$4Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$4.74Crack EV$4.39Mana Pool$4.901Y high $5.131Y low $4.33

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 9, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 229 days.

Now: $4.74; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $5.13; 8.2% above today
1-year low: $4.33; Today is 9.5% higher

The Murders at Karlov Manor lineup

Every Murders at Karlov Manor product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Neutral 0.93×

The Murders at Karlov Manor - Play Booster Pack sells for $4.74 and carries $4.39 in expected card value at market, a 0.93× ratio and $0.35 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× This pack, 0.93×

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× Pass.

Murders at Karlov Manor - Play Booster Pack FAQ