SEALED · COMMANDER DECK
Is The Brothers' War Commander Deck - Set of 2 Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-23 · 773 DAYS TRACKED NEUTRAL Coin flip.
BOX PRICE $253.99 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $231.72 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $254 / $81 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D -0.8%
30D +4.9%
90D +5.7%
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GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
The Brothers' War Commander Deck - Set of 2 box price and crack EV, last 773 days: box from $81.04 to $253.99, EV from $125.39 to $233.63.
▼
Crack EV currently sits $22.27 below box price — sealed has the edge today.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
10
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Bonus Sheet Reprint from outside the set
1
Urza, Chief Artificer
1
Indomitable Archangel
1
Ethersworn Adjudicator
1
Noxious Gearhulk
1
Alela, Artful Provocateur
1
Angel Of The Ruins
1
Bronze Guardian
1
Digsite Engineer
1
Losheel, Clockwork Scholar
1
Teshar, Ancestor'S Apostle
1
Master Of Etherium
1
Sai, Master Thopterist
1
Sharding Sphinx
1
Shimmer Dragon
1
Thought Monitor
1
Vedalken Humiliator
1
Marionette Master
1
Baleful Strix
1
Sharuum The Hegemon
1
Darksteel Juggernaut
1
Etched Champion
1
Myr Battlesphere
1
Solemn Simulacrum
1
Steel Hellkite
1
Steel Overseer
1
Filigree Attendant
1
Whirler Rogue
1
Armix, Filigree Thrasher
1
Chief Of The Foundry
1
Etherium Sculptor
1
Chrome Courier
1
Austere Command
1
Phyrexian Rebirth
1
Urza'S Ruinous Blast
1
One With The Machine
1
Vindicate
1
Preordain
1
Sphinx'S Revelation
1
Unbreakable Formation
1
Swords To Plowshares
1
Despark
1
Bident Of Thassa
1
Cranial Plating
1
Liquimetal Torque
1
Relic Of Progenitus
1
Skullclamp
2
Sol Ring
1
Swiftfoot Boots
1
Thought Vessel
2
Arcane Signet
1
Azorius Signet
2
Dimir Signet
1
Orzhov Signet
1
Tempered Steel
1
Thopter Spy Network
2
Exotic Orchard
1
Prairie Stream
1
River Of Tears
1
Skycloud Expanse
1
Spire Of Industry
1
Sunken Hollow
2
Temple Of Deceit
1
Temple Of Enlightenment
1
Temple Of Silence
1
Arcane Sanctum
1
Azorius Chancery
1
Darksteel Citadel
2
Dimir Aqueduct
1
Orzhov Basilica
1
Ancient Den
2
Ash Barrens
1
Bojuka Bog
2
Command Tower
1
Evolving Wilds
1
Goldmire Bridge
2
Mistvault Bridge
2
Path Of Ancestry
1
Razortide Bridge
2
Seat Of The Synod
2
Vault Of Whispers
4
Plains
7
Swamp
1
Tawnos, Solemn Survivor
1
Sanwell, Avenger Ace
1
Scholar Of New Horizons
1
March Of Progress
1
Wire Surgeons
1
Wreck Hunter
1
Hexavus
1
Kayla'S Music Box
1
Thopter Shop
1
Mishra, Eminent One
1
Muzzio, Visionary Architect
1
Geth, Lord Of The Vault
1
Herald Of Anguish
1
Jhoira, Weatherlight Captain
1
Silas Renn, Seeker Adept
1
Emry, Lurker Of The Loch
1
Master Transmuter
1
Padeem, Consul Of Innovation
1
Workshop Elders
1
Fain, The Broker
1
Audacious Reshapers
1
Hellkite Igniter
1
Slobad, Goblin Tinkerer
1
Brudiclad, Telchor Engineer
1
Metalwork Colossus
1
Traxos, Scourge Of Kroog
1
Blasphemous Act
1
Expressive Iteration
1
Thoughtcast
1
Feed The Swarm
1
Faithless Looting
1
Chaos Warp
1
Bedevil
1
Fact Or Fiction
1
Thirst For Knowledge
1
Abrade
1
Lithoform Engine
1
Cursed Mirror
1
Idol Of Oblivion
1
Mirrorworks
1
Oblivion Stone
1
Spine Of Ish Sah
1
Strionic Resonator
1
Trading Post
1
Oni Cult Anvil
1
Dreamstone Hedron
1
Fellwar Stone
1
Ichor Wellspring
1
Mind Stone
1
Servo Schematic
1
Mnemonic Sphere
1
Executioner'S Capsule
1
Commander'S Sphere
1
Mycosynth Wellspring
1
Nihil Spellbomb
1
Prophetic Prism
1
Rakdos Signet
1
Wayfarer'S Bauble
1
Darkwater Catacombs
1
Shadowblood Ridge
1
Smoldering Marsh
1
Temple Of Epiphany
1
Temple Of Malice
1
Buried Ruin
1
Crumbling Necropolis
1
Izzet Boilerworks
1
Rakdos Carnarium
1
Reliquary Tower
1
Drossforge Bridge
1
Great Furnace
1
Silverbluff Bridge
1
Terramorphic Expanse
4
Mountain
1
Ashnod The Uncaring
1
Glint Raker
1
Terisiare'S Devastation
1
Blast Furnace Hellkite
1
Farid, Enterprising Salvager
1
Machine God'S Effigy
1
Scavenged Brawler
1
Smelting Vat
1
Wondrous Crucible
CONCENTRATION · BALANCED top 3 cards
13%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $94.37 41%
Commons & Uncommons $72.12 31%
Lands $65.23 28%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | $253.99 | $444.99 | $472.47 | $499.95 |
| 2026-09-22 | $253.99 | $444.99 | $449.99 | $499.95 |
| 2026-09-21 | $253.38 | $444.99 | $449.99 | $499.95 |
| 2026-09-20 | $253.38 | $444.99 | $449.99 | $499.95 |
| 2026-09-19 | $253.38 | $444.99 | $449.99 | $499.95 |
| 2026-09-18 | $253.38 | $444.99 | $447.50 | $499.95 |
| 2026-09-17 | $253.38 | $444.99 | $447.50 | $499.95 |
| 2026-09-16 | $253.38 | $444.99 | $447.50 | $499.95 |
| 2026-09-10 | $252.78 | $449.99 | $474.98 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $450.00 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $450.00 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $450.00 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $474.98 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $474.98 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $474.98 | $499.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $474.98 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $499.95 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $252.22 | $449.99 | $499.95 | $499.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-28 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-27 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-26 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-25 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-24 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-23 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-22 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-21 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $502.45 | $504.94 |
| 2026-08-20 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $499.95 | $499.95 |
| 2026-08-19 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $499.95 | $499.95 |
| 2026-08-18 | $252.22 | $499.95 | $499.95 | $499.95 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-23 NEUTRAL
THE BROTHERS' WAR COMMANDER · COMMANDER DECK
91.2%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $231.72 · Box Price $253.99 7D -0.8%
30D +4.9%
90D +5.7%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-23 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About The Brothers' War Commander Deck - Set of 2
The Brothers' War Commander Deck - Set of 2 currently sells for $253.99 at market, up 0.7% over 30 days and up 5.6% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $253.99 (2026-09-22); low: $81.04 (2024-07-15).
COMMON QUESTIONS
The Brothers' War Commander Deck - Set of 2 FAQ
Is The Brothers' War Commander Deck - Set of 2 worth opening?
Coin flip. Median crack value is $231.72 against a $253.99 box price (0.91× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-23.
What is the best card you can pull from The Brothers' War Commander Deck - Set of 2?
The top pull by value is Vault of Whispers (about $5.30), with roughly a 200.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
773 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-23.