Adventures in the Forgotten Realms Sealed · Booster pack

Is Adventures in the Forgotten Realms - Draft Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Adventures in the Forgotten RealmsAFR

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $9.50

1-year range $5.37$9.50 At the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.30×

EV $2.86, $6.64 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $9.50 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $7.49, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Adventures in the Forgotten Realms - Draft Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $2.86, or 0.30× the $9.50 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $2.86 vs $9.50 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.22 of the $2.86 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 331.9% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$6.64 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6$8$10

$0.22 7.6%

$2.12 74.0%

$0.53 18.3%

$0.00 0.0%

$2.86 100%

−$6.64 card value below the pack price

Pack price$9.50

Wildcard / Treatment1 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons12 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $9.50

Wildcard / Treatment$0.22 · 7.6%

Rare / Mythic$2.12 · 74.0%

Commons & Uncommons$0.53 · 18.3%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$2.86

$6.64 under price

About Adventures in the Forgotten Realms - Draft Booster Pack

At $9.50 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $5.37 to $9.50.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 0.7 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.3 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common9 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard0.7 per pack

Traditional Foil0.3 per pack

Land1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.04 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	1	$0.22	$0.22	7.6%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$2.12	$2.12	74.0%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	12	$0.53	$0.04	18.3%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$2.86	$0.19	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.22
7.6%
1 card per pack · $0.22 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$2.12
74.0%
1 card per pack · $2.12 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.53
18.3%
12 cards per pack · $0.04 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
1 card per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 15 cards$2.86

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$2.86Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$6.98High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $6.98

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Adventures in the Forgotten Realms - Draft Booster Pack

Old Gnawbone is the best pull at $49.12. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Adventures in the Forgotten Realms prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Old GnawboneMain set · Nonfoil · AFR #197	Mythic	$49.12	0.00	1 in 210 packs	$0.23	8.0%
2	Unexpected WindfallMain set · Nonfoil · AFR #164	Common	$2.27	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.22	7.7%
3	Circle of Dreams DruidMain set · Nonfoil · AFR #176	Rare	$14.20	0.01	1 in 70 packs	$0.20	7.0%
4	Teleportation CircleMain set · Nonfoil · AFR #39	Rare	$11.19	0.01	1 in 70 packs	$0.16	5.6%
5	Old GnawboneBorderless · Nonfoil · AFR #296	Mythic	$65.10	0.00	1 in 420 packs	$0.15	5.2%
6	XornMain set · Nonfoil · AFR #167	Rare	$14.73	0.01	1 in 105 packs	$0.14	4.9%
7	Fighter ClassMain set · Nonfoil · AFR #222	Rare	$9.00	0.01	1 in 70 packs	$0.13	4.5%
8	Wizard ClassMain set · Nonfoil · AFR #81	Uncommon	$2.77	0.04	1 in 27 packs	$0.10	3.5%
These eight together		$1.33, 46.5% of pack EV. The other $1.53 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Old Gnawbone

AFR #197

Nonfoil

$49.12

EV $0.23 · 1 in 210 packs

#2 Unexpected Windfall

AFR #164

Nonfoil

$2.27

EV $0.22 · 1 in 10 packs

#3 Circle of Dreams Druid

AFR #176

Nonfoil

$14.20

EV $0.20 · 1 in 70 packs

#4 Teleportation Circle

AFR #39

Nonfoil

$11.19

EV $0.16 · 1 in 70 packs

#5 Old Gnawbone

AFR #296

Nonfoil

$65.10

Borderless

EV $0.15 · 1 in 420 packs

#6 Xorn

AFR #167

Nonfoil

$14.73

EV $0.14 · 1 in 105 packs

#7 Fighter Class

AFR #222

Nonfoil

$9.00

EV $0.13 · 1 in 70 packs

#8 Wizard Class

AFR #81

Nonfoil

$2.77

EV $0.10 · 1 in 27 packs

1
Old Gnawbone
AFR #197Nonfoil
$49.12 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 210 packs
$0.238.0% of EV
2
Unexpected Windfall
AFR #164Nonfoil
$2.27 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.227.7% of EV
3
Circle of Dreams Druid
AFR #176Nonfoil
$14.20 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 70 packs
$0.207.0% of EV
4
Teleportation Circle
AFR #39Nonfoil
$11.19 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 70 packs
$0.165.6% of EV
5
Old Gnawbone
AFR #296NonfoilBorderless
$65.10 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 420 packs
$0.155.2% of EV
6
Xorn
AFR #167Nonfoil
$14.73 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 105 packs
$0.144.9% of EV
7
Fighter Class
AFR #222Nonfoil
$9.00 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 70 packs
$0.134.5% of EV
8
Wizard Class
AFR #81Nonfoil
$2.77 market · 0.04 per pack · 1 in 27 packs
$0.103.5% of EV

These eight together$1.33, 46.5% of pack EV

All Adventures in the Forgotten Realms prices

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms - Draft Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$5$10Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$9.50Crack EV$2.86Mana Pool$7.491Y low $5.37

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 239 days.

Now: $9.50; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $9.50; At the 1-year high
1-year low: $5.37; Today is 76.9% higher

The Adventures in the Forgotten Realms lineup

Every Adventures in the Forgotten Realms product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.30×

The Adventures in the Forgotten Realms - Draft Booster Pack sells for $9.50 and carries $2.86 in expected card value at market, a 0.30× ratio and $6.64 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.30×

Adventures in the Forgotten Realms - Draft Booster Pack FAQ