SEALED · COMMANDER DECK
![Commander Legends - Commander Deck [Set of 2]](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/224545_400w.jpg)
Is Commander Legends - Commander Deck [Set of 2] Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 777 DAYS TRACKED NEUTRAL Coin flip.
BOX PRICE $177.27 TCGplayer market
MEDIAN EV $162.93 Monte-Carlo median
ALL-TIME RANGE $177 / $121 box-price high / low
DAYS EV > BOX 0 current streak
EV TREND · % CHANGE
7D -3.5%
30D -4.4%
90D +1.9%
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GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
COMMANDER LEGENDS · SEALED LINEUPEV ratio · tap to open
CRACK-OR-HOLD
Crack EV Box price
Commander Legends - Commander Deck [Set of 2] box price and crack EV, last 777 days: box from $121.33 to $177.27, EV from $99.29 to $173.22.
▼
Crack EV currently sits $14.34 below box price — sealed has the edge today.
ANATOMY What's in the box
1 PACK · SLOT COMPOSITION
18
Land Basic or showcase land
1
Aesi, Tyrant Of Gyre Strait
1
Coiling Oracle
1
Eternal Witness
1
Ramunap Excavator
1
Reclamation Sage
1
Stumpsquall Hydra
1
Yavimaya Elder
1
Fathom Mage
1
Sharktocrab
1
Wickerbough Elder
1
Acidic Slime
1
Meloku The Clouded Mirror
1
Mulldrifter
1
Murkfiend Liege
1
Sporemound
1
Rampaging Baloths
1
Shipbreaker Kraken
1
Avenger Of Zendikar
1
Meteor Golem
1
Molimo, Maro Sorcerer
1
Nezahal, Primal Tide
1
Scourge Of Fleets
1
Simic Sky Swallower
1
Sphinx Of Uthuun
1
Trench Behemoth
1
Tromokratis
1
Verdant Sun'S Avatar
1
Elder Deep Fiend
1
Slinn Voda, The Rising Deep
1
Stormtide Leviathan
1
Terastodon
1
Arcane Denial
1
Counterspell
1
Growth Spiral
1
Into The Roil
1
Peel From Reality
1
Simic Charm
1
Beast Within
1
Fact Or Fiction
1
Explore
1
Rampant Growth
1
Compulsive Research
1
Cultivate
1
Kodama'S Reach
1
Search For Tomorrow
1
Harmonize
1
Whelming Wave
1
Urban Evolution
1
Spitting Image
1
Ior Ruin Expedition
1
Khalni Heart Expedition
1
Retreat To Kazandu
2
Sol Ring
1
Simic Signet
2
Swiftfoot Boots
1
Seer'S Sundial
2
Command Tower
1
Coral Atoll
2
Evolving Wilds
15
Forest
1
Jungle Basin
1
Memorial To Genius
1
Reliquary Tower
1
Simic Growth Chamber
1
Simic Guildgate
2
Terramorphic Expanse
1
Thornwood Falls
1
Vivid Creek
1
Vivid Grove
1
Wyleth, Soul Of Steel
1
Oreskos Explorer
1
Relic Seeker
1
Sram, Senior Edificer
1
Brass Squire
1
Danitha Capashen, Paragon
1
Dualcaster Mage
1
Flickerwisp
1
Ironclad Slayer
1
Kor Cartographer
1
Odric, Lunarch Marshal
1
Tiana, Ship'S Caretaker
1
Condemn
1
Expedite
1
Swords To Plowshares
1
Abrade
1
Boros Charm
1
Comet Storm
1
Dawn Charm
1
Deflecting Palm
1
Disenchant
1
Fists Of Flame
1
Temur Battle Rage
1
Valorous Stance
1
Generous Gift
1
Unbreakable Formation
1
Volcanic Fallout
1
White Sun'S Zenith
1
Master Warcraft
1
Return To Dust
1
Wild Ricochet
1
Word Of Seizing
1
Jaya'S Immolating Inferno
1
Martial Coup
1
Relentless Assault
1
Winds Of Rath
1
Bonesplitter
1
Explorer'S Scope
1
Blackblade Reforged
1
Blazing Sunsteel
1
Boros Signet
1
Hero'S Blade
1
Mask Of Avacyn
1
Ring Of Thune
1
Ring Of Valkas
1
Fireshrieker
1
Haunted Cloak
1
Loxodon Warhammer
1
Sunforger
1
Sword Of Vengeance
1
Sigarda'S Aid
1
Spirit Mantle
1
Timely Ward
1
Unquestioned Authority
1
Faith Unbroken
1
On Serra'S Wings
1
Boros Garrison
1
Boros Guildgate
1
Encroaching Wastes
1
Forgotten Cave
1
Memorial To War
9
Mountain
14
Plains
1
Rogue'S Passage
1
Rupture Spire
1
Secluded Steppe
1
Slayers' Stronghold
1
Stone Quarry
1
Sunhome, Fortress Of The Legion
1
Transguild Promenade
1
Wind Scarred Crag
CONCENTRATION · JACKPOT RISK top 3 cards
28%of total EV
FLOOR <8%
BALANCED 8–20%
JACKPOT >20%
SLOT-LEVEL EV Where your value comes from
Rare / Mythic $111.24 68%
Commons & Uncommons $44.42 27%
Lands $7.27 4%
CARD-LEVEL EV · GROUPED BY SLOT Top contributors per box
SHOW CARDS AT OR ABOVE
DAILY SNAPSHOT Recent prices · last 30 days
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | $177.27 | $223.50 | $224.00 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $177.27 | $223.50 | $223.93 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $177.27 | $223.50 | $223.93 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $177.27 | $223.50 | $223.93 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $177.27 | $223.50 | $223.93 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $177.27 | $223.50 | $223.93 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $177.27 | $223.50 | $223.93 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $173.39 | $223.85 | $224.00 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $173.39 | $223.85 | $224.00 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.50 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.50 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.50 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.00 | $249.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.00 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.00 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.00 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.50 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.50 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.50 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.50 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.50 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-23 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-22 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-21 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-20 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-19 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-18 | $173.39 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-17 | $172.98 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
| 2026-08-16 | $172.98 | $224.00 | $224.99 | $249.99 |
TCGSTRAT · THE INDEX AS OF 2026-09-22 NEUTRAL
COMMANDER LEGENDS · COMMANDER DECK
91.9%
OF BOX PRICE BACK IF YOU CRACK IT Expected Value $162.93 · Box Price $177.27 7D -3.5%
30D -4.4%
90D +1.9%
SNAPSHOT · LOCK THIS ANALYSIS
Share the 2026-09-22 read, not whatever the page says next week.
A snapshot link freezes this date's verdict, EV, and chart — useful for "here's why I bought it" debates or checking later whether your read held up.
PRODUCT DETAILS
About Commander Legends - Commander Deck [Set of 2]
Commander Legends - Commander Deck [Set of 2] currently sells for $177.27 at market, up 2.2% over 30 days and up 8.8% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $177.27 (2026-09-16); low: $121.33 (2024-07-14).
COMMON QUESTIONS
Commander Legends - Commander Deck [Set of 2] FAQ
Is Commander Legends - Commander Deck [Set of 2] worth opening?
Coin flip. Median crack value is $162.93 against a $177.27 box price (0.92× EV ratio), as of 2026-09-22.
What is the best card you can pull from Commander Legends - Commander Deck [Set of 2]?
The top pull by value is Sigarda's Aid (about $18.09), with roughly a 100.0% chance per box.
HOW WE GOT THESE NUMBERS Methodology & data sources
Pull rates
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
Price data
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Median EV
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
Outcome range
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Serialized inserts
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
Tracked since
777 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.