Shown with one Booster Pack $5.06 per pack at the box price

Core Set 2021 Sealed · Booster display

Is Core Set 2021 - Booster Box Worth Opening?

36 packsCore Set 2021M21

TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $182.30

1-year range $126.41$183.53 0.7% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of box price SKIP

0.59×

EV $107.01, $75.29 less card value than the box costs.

TCGplayer, $182.30, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $183.91 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 8, 2026, before shipping.

Core Set 2021 - Booster Box Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one box at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $107.01, or 0.59× the $182.30 the box costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $2.97 vs $5.06 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.19 of the $2.97 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 170.4% of market value covers the box

Card value below price −$75.29 before fees and shipping

$0$50$100$150$200

$6.79 6.3%

$86.24 80.6%

$5.63 5.3%

$2.93 2.7%

$5.42 5.1%

$107.01 100%

−$75.29 card value below the box price

Box price$182.30

Wildcard / Treatment11 slots per box

Rare / Mythic36 slots per box

Commons & Uncommons108 slots per box

Lands384 slots per box

Bonus sheet1 slots per box

Box EVSum of every slot

Box price $182.30

Wildcard / Treatment$6.79 · 6.3%

Rare / Mythic$86.24 · 80.6%

Commons & Uncommons$5.63 · 5.3%

Lands$2.93 · 2.7%

Bonus sheet$5.42 · 5.1%

Box EV$107.01

$75.29 under price

About Core Set 2021 - Booster Box

Core Set 2021 - Booster Box contains 36 packs. At $182.30 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $126.41 to $183.53.

What’s in the box

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Uncommon 3 per pack

108 per box

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

36 per box

Traditional Foil 0.3 per pack

10.8 per box

Land 10.7 per pack

384.0 per box

Bonus Sheet 0.0 per pack

1.2 per box

Uncommon3 per pack

108per box

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

36per box

Traditional Foil0.3 per pack

10.8per box

Land10.7 per pack

384.0per box

Bonus Sheet0.0 per pack

1.2per box

Valued slots15 per pack · 540 per box

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 540.0 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.05 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per box	Per card	Share of box EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	10.8	$6.79	$0.63	6.3%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	36	$86.24	$2.40	80.6%
Commons & UncommonsThree per pack	108	$5.63	$0.05	5.3%
LandsBasic or showcase land	384	$2.93	$0.01	2.7%
Bonus sheet	1.2	$5.42	$4.51	5.1%
Box total, 540.0 cards	540.0	$107.01	$0.20	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$6.79
6.3%
10.8 cards per box · $0.63 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$86.24
80.6%
36 cards per box · $2.40 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$5.63
5.3%
108 cards per box · $0.05 per card · Three per pack
Lands$2.93
2.7%
384 cards per box · $0.01 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$5.42
5.1%
1.2 cards per box · $4.51 per card
Box total, 540.0 cards$107.01

Outcome rangeOne box

Likely range for one box

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single box at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$107.01Equals the box EV

Middle half spans$49.37High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened boxes.

How we price a box

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$82.33 to $131.70

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Box price

Best Pulls in Core Set 2021 - Booster Box

Chromatic Orrery is the best pull at $34.76. Pulls are expected copies per box; EV is pulls times market price.

All Core Set 2021 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Chromatic OrreryMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #228	Mythic	$34.76	0.30	1 in 3 boxes	$10.34	9.7%
2	Heroic InterventionMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #188	Rare	$17.35	0.59	1 in 2 boxes	$10.32	9.6%
3	Terror of the PeaksMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #164	Mythic	$30.62	0.30	1 in 3 boxes	$9.11	8.5%
4	Grim TutorMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #103	Mythic	$25.27	0.30	1 in 3 boxes	$7.52	7.0%
5	Azusa, Lost but SeekingMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #173	Rare	$11.49	0.59	1 in 2 boxes	$6.84	6.4%
6	Vito, Thorn of the Dusk RoseMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #127	Rare	$10.99	0.59	1 in 2 boxes	$6.54	6.1%
7	Fiery EmancipationMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #143	Mythic	$12.76	0.30	1 in 3 boxes	$3.80	3.6%
8	Grim TutorBorderless · Nonfoil · M21 #315	Mythic	$25.24	0.12	1 in 8 boxes	$3.03	2.8%
These eight together		$57.50, 53.7% of box EV. The other $49.51 comes from the rest of the set.

Terror of the Peaks — The three mythics, $34.76, $30.62 and $25.27. Each turns up about once in three boxes.

#1 Chromatic Orrery

M21 #228

Nonfoil

$34.76

EV $10.34 · 1 in 3 boxes

#2 Heroic Intervention

M21 #188

Nonfoil

$17.35

EV $10.32 · 1 in 2 boxes

#3 Terror of the Peaks

M21 #164

Nonfoil

$30.62

EV $9.11 · 1 in 3 boxes

#4 Grim Tutor

M21 #103

Nonfoil

$25.27

EV $7.52 · 1 in 3 boxes

#5 Azusa, Lost but Seeking

M21 #173

Nonfoil

$11.49

EV $6.84 · 1 in 2 boxes

#6 Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose

M21 #127

Nonfoil

$10.99

EV $6.54 · 1 in 2 boxes

#7 Fiery Emancipation

M21 #143

Nonfoil

$12.76

EV $3.80 · 1 in 3 boxes

#8 Grim Tutor

M21 #315

Nonfoil

$25.24

Borderless

EV $3.03 · 1 in 8 boxes

1
Chromatic Orrery
M21 #228Nonfoil
$34.76 market · 0.30 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$10.349.7% of EV
2
Heroic Intervention
M21 #188Nonfoil
$17.35 market · 0.59 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$10.329.6% of EV
3
Terror of the Peaks
M21 #164Nonfoil
$30.62 market · 0.30 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$9.118.5% of EV
4
Grim Tutor
M21 #103Nonfoil
$25.27 market · 0.30 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$7.527.0% of EV
5
Azusa, Lost but Seeking
M21 #173Nonfoil
$11.49 market · 0.59 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$6.846.4% of EV
6
Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose
M21 #127Nonfoil
$10.99 market · 0.59 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$6.546.1% of EV
7
Fiery Emancipation
M21 #143Nonfoil
$12.76 market · 0.30 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$3.803.6% of EV
8
Grim Tutor
M21 #315NonfoilBorderless
$25.24 market · 0.12 per box · 1 in 8 boxes
$3.032.8% of EV

These eight together$57.50, 53.7% of box EV

All Core Set 2021 prices

Core Set 2021 - Booster Box Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed box, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$100$150Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBox price$182.30Crack EV$107.01Mana Pool$183.911Y high $183.531Y low $126.41

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 8, 2026

Crack EV has held below box price for 237 days.

Now: $182.30; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $183.53; 0.7% above today
1-year low: $126.41; Today is 44.2% higher

The Core Set 2021 lineup

Every Core Set 2021 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.59×

The Core Set 2021 - Booster Box sells for $182.30 and carries $107.01 in expected card value at market, a 0.59× ratio and $75.29 less than the box costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This box, 0.59×

Core Set 2021 - Booster Box FAQ