EV $36.22 · 1 in 2 boxes
Shown with one Booster Pack $36.11 per pack at the box price
Fifth Dawn Sealed · Booster display
Is Fifth Dawn - Booster Box Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $1,299.99
1-year range $749.44$1,299.99 At the 1-year high
Value gaugeCard value per dollar of box price SKIP
0.39×
EV $506.15, $793.84 less card value than the box costs.
TCGplayer, $1,299.99, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $1,524.98 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)
Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 10, 2026, before shipping.
Fifth Dawn - Booster Box Expected Value by Slot
Expected card value of one box at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $506.48, or 0.39× the $1,299.99 the box costs, drawn as the dashed line.
EV per pack $14.07 vs $36.11 paid per pack
Wildcard and foil, per pack $3.42 of the $14.07 in each pack
Break-even sell-through 256.7% of market value covers the box
Card value below price −$793.51 before fees and shipping
$0$500$1,000$1,500 Box price$1,299.99
$123.23 24.3%
$213.44 42.1%
$169.82 33.5%
$0.00 0.0%
$506.48 100%
−$793.51 card value below the box price
Wildcard / Treatment73 slots per box
Rare / Mythic35 slots per box
Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box
LandsBasic or showcase land
Box EVSum of every slot
Box price $1,299.99
Wildcard / Treatment$123.23 · 24.3%
Rare / Mythic$213.44 · 42.1%
Commons & Uncommons$169.82 · 33.5%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Box EV$506.48
$793.51 under price
$0$10$20$30$40 Pack price$36.11
$3.42 24.3%
$5.93 42.1%
$4.72 33.5%
$0.00 0.0%
$14.07 100%
−$22.04 card value below the pack price
Wildcard / Treatment73 slots per box
Rare / Mythic35 slots per box
Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box
LandsBasic or showcase land
Pack EVSum of every slot
Pack price $36.11
Wildcard / Treatment$3.42 · 24.3%
Rare / Mythic$5.93 · 42.1%
Commons & Uncommons$4.72 · 33.5%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Pack EV$14.07
$22.04 under price
About Fifth Dawn - Booster Box
Fifth Dawn - Booster Box contains 36 packs. At $1,299.99 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $749.44 to $1,299.99.
What’s in the box
15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations Common 10 per pack
360 per box
Uncommon 2 per pack
72 per box
Rare or Mythic 1.0 per pack
35.5 per box
Wildcard 1.8 per pack
64.8 per box
Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack
7.7 per box
Common10 per pack
360per box
Uncommon2 per pack
72per box
Rare or Mythic1.0 per pack
35.5per box
Wildcard1.8 per pack
64.8per box
Traditional Foil0.2 per pack
7.7per box
Valued slots15 per pack · 540 per box
15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.
Where your value comes from
The 540.0 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.39 apiece.
| Slot | Cards | EV per box | Per card | Share of box EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots | 72.5 | $123.23 | $1.70 | 24.3% |
| Rare / MythicOne per pack | 35.5 | $213.44 | $6.01 | 42.1% |
| Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack | 432 | $169.82 | $0.39 | 33.5% |
| LandsBasic or showcase land | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Box total, 540.0 cards | 540.0 | $506.48 | $0.94 | 100% |
Wildcard / Treatment$123.23
72.5 cards per box · $1.70 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$213.44
35.5 cards per box · $6.01 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$169.82
432 cards per box · $0.39 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0 cards per box · n/a per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0 cards per box · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
- Box total, 540.0 cards$506.48
Outcome rangeOne box
Likely range for one box
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single box at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$506.15Equals the box EV
Middle half spans$118.71High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened boxes.
How we price a boxMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$446.80 to $565.51
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Box price
Best Pulls in Fifth Dawn - Booster Box
Mycosynth Golem is the best pull at $56.14. Pulls are expected copies per box; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mycosynth GolemMain set · Nonfoil · 5DN #137 | Rare | $56.14 | 0.65 | 1 in 2 boxes | $36.22 | 7.2% |
| 2 | Krark-Clan IronworksMain set · Nonfoil · 5DN #134 | Uncommon | $15.09 | 1.94 | $29.21 | 5.8% | |
| 3 | Grinding StationMain set · Nonfoil · 5DN #127 | Uncommon | $14.19 | 1.94 | $27.47 | 5.4% | |
| 4 | Blasting StationMain set · Nonfoil · 5DN #107 | Uncommon | $12.37 | 1.94 | $23.94 | 4.7% | |
| 5 | Doubling CubeMain set · Nonfoil · 5DN #116 | Rare | $33.05 | 0.65 | 1 in 2 boxes | $21.32 | 4.2% |
| 6 | Crucible of WorldsMain set · Nonfoil · 5DN #114 | Rare | $32.98 | 0.65 | 1 in 2 boxes | $21.28 | 4.2% |
| 7 | Steelshaper's GiftMain set · Nonfoil · 5DN #19 | Uncommon | $10.81 | 1.94 | $20.92 | 4.1% | |
| 8 | Paradise MantleMain set · Nonfoil · 5DN #142 | Uncommon | $10.77 | 1.94 | $20.85 | 4.1% | |
| These eight together | $201.21, 39.8% of box EV. The other $304.94 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $29.21 · 1.94 per box
EV $27.47 · 1.94 per box
EV $23.94 · 1.94 per box
EV $21.32 · 1 in 2 boxes
EV $21.28 · 1 in 2 boxes
EV $20.92 · 1.94 per box
EV $20.85 · 1.94 per box
- 1
$36.227.2% of EV
- 2
$29.215.8% of EV
- 3
$27.475.4% of EV
- 4
$23.944.7% of EV
- 5
$21.324.2% of EV
- 6
$21.284.2% of EV
- 7
$20.924.1% of EV
- 8
$20.854.1% of EV
These eight together$201.21, 39.8% of box EV
All Fifth Dawn pricesFifth Dawn - Booster Box Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed box, past 12 months, against its crack EV.
$500$1,000$1,500Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBox price$1,299.99Crack EV$506.15Mana Pool$1,524.981Y low $749.44
Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed
Crack EV has held below box price for 239 days.
- Now
- $1,299.99
- TCGplayer market
- 1-year high
- $1,299.99
- At the 1-year high
- 1-year low
- $749.44
- Today is 73.5% higher
The Fifth Dawn lineup
Every Fifth Dawn product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.
Crack or keep sealed
EV Notes
Verdict: Skip 0.39×
The Fifth Dawn - Booster Box sells for $1,299.99 and carries $506.15 in expected card value at market, a 0.39× ratio and $793.84 less than the box costs.
Five-tier verdictEV ratio
Crack 1.10× and up Open it.
Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.
Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.
Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.
Skip under 0.75× This box, 0.39×
Fifth Dawn - Booster Box FAQ
Is Fifth Dawn - Booster Box worth opening?
Pass. Mean expected value is $506.15 against a $1,299.99 box price (0.39× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-10.
How many packs are in Fifth Dawn - Booster Box?
Fifth Dawn - Booster Box contains 36 packs.
What is the best card you can pull from Fifth Dawn - Booster Box?
The top pull by value is Mycosynth Golem (about $56.14), with roughly a 64.5% chance per box.
Details and daily prices
Fifth Dawn - Booster Box currently sells for $1,299.99 at market, up 24.4% over 30 days and up 64.6% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $1,299.99 (2026-10-31); low: $699.99 (2021-06-08).
1219 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-11-10.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
High at or above $500 is flagged: it is the top active listing, which can be set arbitrarily, so read Market as the signal.
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High (flag) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-10 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-09 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-08 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-07 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-06 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-05 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,495.00 | $1,499.99 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1,299.99 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1,044.94 | $1,475.00 | $1,497.50 | $2,200.00 |