Innistrad Sealed · Bundle

Is Innistrad - Fat Pack Worth Opening?

InnistradISD

TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $488.95

1-year range $292.47$488.95 At the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of bundle price SKIP

0.05×

EV $25.52, $463.43 less card value than the bundle costs.

TCGplayer, $488.95, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $524.98 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 9, 2026, before shipping.

The slot-by-slot breakdown is not available for this bundle yet. Its EV and verdict are unaffected.

About Innistrad - Fat Pack

At $488.95 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $292.47 to $488.95.

Outcome rangeOne bundle

Likely range for one bundle

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single bundle at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$25.52Equals the bundle EV

Middle half spans$25.77High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened bundles.

How we price a bundle

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$12.64 to $38.41

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Bundle price

Best Pulls in Innistrad - Fat Pack

Parallel Lives is the best pull at $37.05. Pulls are expected copies per bundle; EV is pulls times market price.

All Innistrad prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Parallel LivesMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #199	Rare	$37.05	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$5.51	21.6%
2	Snapcaster MageMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #78	Rare	$15.74	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$2.34	9.2%
3	Bloodline Keeper // Lord of LineageMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #90	Rare	$8.69	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.29	5.1%
4	Balefire DragonMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #129	Mythic	$17.35	0.07	1 in 13 bundles	$1.29	5.1%
5	MoonmistMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #195	Common	$1.15	0.78		$0.90	3.5%
6	Liliana of the VeilMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #105	Mythic	$10.02	0.07	1 in 13 bundles	$0.75	2.9%
7	Gavony TownshipMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #239	Rare	$4.92	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.73	2.9%
8	Endless Ranks of the DeadMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #99	Rare	$4.84	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.72	2.8%
These eight together		$13.53, 53.0% of bundle EV. The other $11.99 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Parallel Lives

ISD #199

Nonfoil

$37.05

EV $5.51 · 1 in 7 bundles

#2 Snapcaster Mage

ISD #78

Nonfoil

$15.74

EV $2.34 · 1 in 7 bundles

#3 Bloodline Keeper // Lord of Lineage

ISD #90

Nonfoil

$8.69

EV $1.29 · 1 in 7 bundles

#4 Balefire Dragon

ISD #129

Nonfoil

$17.35

EV $1.29 · 1 in 13 bundles

#5 Moonmist

ISD #195

Nonfoil

$1.15

EV $0.90 · 0.78 per bundle

#6 Liliana of the Veil

ISD #105

Nonfoil

$10.02

EV $0.75 · 1 in 13 bundles

#7 Gavony Township

ISD #239

Nonfoil

$4.92

EV $0.73 · 1 in 7 bundles

#8 Endless Ranks of the Dead

ISD #99

Nonfoil

$4.84

EV $0.72 · 1 in 7 bundles

1
Parallel Lives
ISD #199Nonfoil
$37.05 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$5.5121.6% of EV
2
Snapcaster Mage
ISD #78Nonfoil
$15.74 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$2.349.2% of EV
3
Bloodline Keeper // Lord of Lineage
ISD #90Nonfoil
$8.69 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.295.1% of EV
4
Balefire Dragon
ISD #129Nonfoil
$17.35 market · 0.07 per bundle · 1 in 13 bundles
$1.295.1% of EV
5
Moonmist
ISD #195Nonfoil
$1.15 market · 0.78 per bundle
$0.903.5% of EV
6
Liliana of the Veil
ISD #105Nonfoil
$10.02 market · 0.07 per bundle · 1 in 13 bundles
$0.752.9% of EV
7
Gavony Township
ISD #239Nonfoil
$4.92 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.732.9% of EV
8
Endless Ranks of the Dead
ISD #99Nonfoil
$4.84 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.722.8% of EV

These eight together$13.53, 53.0% of bundle EV

All Innistrad prices

Innistrad - Fat Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed bundle, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$-0$200$400Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBundle price$488.95Crack EV$25.52Mana Pool$524.98Crack EV tracked since Oct 71Y high $488.951Y low $292.47

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 9, 2026

Crack EV has held below bundle price for 16 days.

Now: $488.95; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $488.95; At the 1-year high
1-year low: $292.47; Today is 67.2% higher

The Innistrad lineup

Every Innistrad product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.05×

The Innistrad - Fat Pack sells for $488.95 and carries $25.52 in expected card value at market, a 0.05× ratio and $463.43 less than the bundle costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This bundle, 0.05×

Innistrad - Fat Pack FAQ