Khans of Tarkir Sealed · Bundle

Is Khans of Tarkir - Fat Pack Worth Opening?

Khans of TarkirKTK

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $88.42

1-year range $59.92$88.42 At the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of bundle price SKIP

0.26×

EV $22.74, $65.68 less card value than the bundle costs.

TCGplayer, $88.42 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $74.99, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 10, 2026, before shipping.

The slot-by-slot breakdown is not available for this bundle yet. Its EV and verdict are unaffected.

About Khans of Tarkir - Fat Pack

At $88.42 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $59.92 to $88.42.

Outcome rangeOne bundle

Likely range for one bundle

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single bundle at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$22.74Equals the bundle EV

Middle half spans$21.77High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened bundles.

How we price a bundle

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$11.86 to $33.63

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Bundle price

Best Pulls in Khans of Tarkir - Fat Pack

Polluted Delta is the best pull at $21.52. Pulls are expected copies per bundle; EV is pulls times market price.

All Khans of Tarkir prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Polluted DeltaMain set · Nonfoil · KTK #239	Rare	$21.52	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$3.20	14.1%
2	Bloodstained MireMain set · Nonfoil · KTK #230	Rare	$18.99	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$2.82	12.4%
3	Wooded FoothillsMain set · Nonfoil · KTK #249	Rare	$17.95	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$2.67	11.7%
4	Flooded StrandMain set · Nonfoil · KTK #233	Rare	$15.73	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$2.34	10.3%
5	Windswept HeathMain set · Nonfoil · KTK #248	Rare	$11.86	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.76	7.7%
6	Altar of the BroodMain set · Nonfoil · KTK #216	Rare	$10.44	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.55	6.8%
7	Stubborn DenialMain set · Nonfoil · KTK #56	Uncommon	$3.50	0.34	1 in 3 bundles	$1.18	5.2%
8	Brave the SandsMain set · Nonfoil · KTK #5	Uncommon	$3.47	0.34	1 in 3 bundles	$1.17	5.1%
These eight together		$16.69, 73.4% of bundle EV. The other $6.05 comes from the rest of the set.

Bloodstained Mire — The three rares, $21.52, $18.99 and $17.95. Each turns up about once in seven bundles.

#1 Polluted Delta

KTK #239

Nonfoil

$21.52

EV $3.20 · 1 in 7 bundles

#2 Bloodstained Mire

KTK #230

Nonfoil

$18.99

EV $2.82 · 1 in 7 bundles

#3 Wooded Foothills

KTK #249

Nonfoil

$17.95

EV $2.67 · 1 in 7 bundles

#4 Flooded Strand

KTK #233

Nonfoil

$15.73

EV $2.34 · 1 in 7 bundles

#5 Windswept Heath

KTK #248

Nonfoil

$11.86

EV $1.76 · 1 in 7 bundles

#6 Altar of the Brood

KTK #216

Nonfoil

$10.44

EV $1.55 · 1 in 7 bundles

#7 Stubborn Denial

KTK #56

Nonfoil

$3.50

EV $1.18 · 1 in 3 bundles

#8 Brave the Sands

KTK #5

Nonfoil

$3.47

EV $1.17 · 1 in 3 bundles

1
Polluted Delta
KTK #239Nonfoil
$21.52 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$3.2014.1% of EV
2
Bloodstained Mire
KTK #230Nonfoil
$18.99 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$2.8212.4% of EV
3
Wooded Foothills
KTK #249Nonfoil
$17.95 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$2.6711.7% of EV
4
Flooded Strand
KTK #233Nonfoil
$15.73 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$2.3410.3% of EV
5
Windswept Heath
KTK #248Nonfoil
$11.86 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.767.7% of EV
6
Altar of the Brood
KTK #216Nonfoil
$10.44 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.556.8% of EV
7
Stubborn Denial
KTK #56Nonfoil
$3.50 market · 0.34 per bundle · 1 in 3 bundles
$1.185.2% of EV
8
Brave the Sands
KTK #5Nonfoil
$3.47 market · 0.34 per bundle · 1 in 3 bundles
$1.175.1% of EV

These eight together$16.69, 73.4% of bundle EV

All Khans of Tarkir prices

Khans of Tarkir - Fat Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed bundle, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$25$50$75$100Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBundle price$88.42Crack EV$22.74Mana Pool$74.99Crack EV tracked since Oct 71Y low $59.92

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held below bundle price for 35 days.

Now: $88.42; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $88.42; At the 1-year high
1-year low: $59.92; Today is 47.6% higher

The Khans of Tarkir lineup

Every Khans of Tarkir product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.26×

The Khans of Tarkir - Fat Pack sells for $88.42 and carries $22.74 in expected card value at market, a 0.26× ratio and $65.68 less than the bundle costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This bundle, 0.26×

Khans of Tarkir - Fat Pack FAQ