EV $1.30 · 1 in 40 packs
$27.17 per pack at the pack price
Magic 2010 Sealed · Booster pack
Is Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Dec 26, 2024 $81.50
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Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) Expected Value by Slot
Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $20.73, or 0.25× the $81.50 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.
EV per pack $6.91 vs $27.17 paid per pack
Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.83 of the $6.91 in each pack
Break-even sell-through 393.2% of market value covers the pack
Card value below price −$60.77 before fees and shipping
$0$20$40$60$80$100 Pack price$81.50
$2.48 12.0%
$10.91 52.7%
$7.33 35.4%
$0.00 0.0%
$20.73 100%
−$60.77 card value below the pack price
Wildcard / Treatment3 slots per pack
Rare / Mythic3 slots per pack
Commons & Uncommons36 slots per pack
Lands3 slots per pack
Pack EVSum of every slot
Pack price $81.50
Wildcard / Treatment$2.48 · 12.0%
Rare / Mythic$10.91 · 52.7%
Commons & Uncommons$7.33 · 35.4%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Pack EV$20.73
$60.77 under price
$0$10$20$30 Pack price$27.17
$0.83 12.0%
$3.64 52.7%
$2.44 35.4%
$0.00 0.0%
$6.91 100%
−$20.26 card value below the pack price
Wildcard / Treatment3 slots per pack
Rare / Mythic3 slots per pack
Commons & Uncommons36 slots per pack
Lands3 slots per pack
Pack EVSum of every slot
Pack price $27.17
Wildcard / Treatment$0.83 · 12.0%
Rare / Mythic$3.64 · 52.7%
Commons & Uncommons$2.44 · 35.4%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Pack EV$6.91
$20.26 under price
About Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set)
Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) contains 3 packs. Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) currently sells for $81.50 at market, flat over 30 days and flat over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $81.50 (2024-06-30); low: $81.50 (2024-06-30).
Where your value comes from
The 45.0 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.20 apiece.
| Slot | Cards | EV per pack | Per card | Share of pack EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots | 3.0 | $2.48 | $0.83 | 12.0% |
| Rare / MythicOne per pack | 3 | $10.91 | $3.64 | 52.7% |
| Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack | 36 | $7.33 | $0.20 | 35.4% |
| LandsBasic or showcase land | 3 | $0.00 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Pack total, 45.0 cards | 45.0 | $20.73 | $0.46 | 100% |
Wildcard / Treatment$2.48
3.0 cards per pack · $0.83 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$10.91
3 cards per pack · $3.64 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$7.33
36 cards per pack · $0.20 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
3 cards per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
- Pack total, 45.0 cards$20.73
Outcome rangeOne pack
Likely range for one pack
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$20.73Equals the pack EV
Middle half spans$18.88High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.
How we price a packMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$11.29 to $30.17
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Pack price
Best Pulls in Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set)
Sphinx Ambassador is the best pull at $52.54. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sphinx AmbassadorMain set · Nonfoil · M10 #73 | Mythic | $52.54 | 0.02 | 1 in 40 packs | $1.30 | 6.3% |
| 2 | Soul WardenMain set · Nonfoil · M10 #34 | Common | $4.31 | 0.29 | 1 in 3 packs | $1.25 | 6.0% |
| 3 | FabricateMain set · Nonfoil · M10 #52 | Uncommon | $7.10 | 0.15 | 1 in 7 packs | $1.07 | 5.2% |
| 4 | Coat of ArmsMain set · Nonfoil · M10 #207 | Rare | $19.92 | 0.05 | 1 in 20 packs | $0.99 | 4.8% |
| 5 | Burning InquiryMain set · Nonfoil · M10 #128 | Common | $3.14 | 0.29 | 1 in 3 packs | $0.91 | 4.4% |
| 6 | Lurking PredatorsMain set · Nonfoil · M10 #190 | Rare | $18.11 | 0.05 | 1 in 20 packs | $0.90 | 4.3% |
| 7 | Relentless RatsMain set · Nonfoil · M10 #108 | Uncommon | $5.10 | 0.15 | 1 in 7 packs | $0.77 | 3.7% |
| 8 | PonderMain set · Nonfoil · M10 #68 | Common | $2.53 | 0.29 | 1 in 3 packs | $0.73 | 3.5% |
| These eight together | $7.92, 38.2% of pack EV. The other $12.81 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $1.25 · 1 in 3 packs
EV $1.07 · 1 in 7 packs
EV $0.99 · 1 in 20 packs
EV $0.91 · 1 in 3 packs
EV $0.90 · 1 in 20 packs
EV $0.77 · 1 in 7 packs
EV $0.73 · 1 in 3 packs
- 1
$1.306.3% of EV
- 2
$1.256.0% of EV
- 3
$1.075.2% of EV
- 4
$0.994.8% of EV
- 5
$0.914.4% of EV
- 6
$0.904.3% of EV
- 7
$0.773.7% of EV
- 8
$0.733.5% of EV
These eight together$7.92, 38.2% of pack EV
All Magic 2010 pricesMagic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, 180 days tracked, against its crack EV.
$20$40$60$80Jun 2024Feb 2025SepApr 2026NovPack price$81.50Crack EV$20.73Crack EV tracked since Oct 7
- Now
- $81.50
- TCGplayer market
The Magic 2010 lineup
Every Magic 2010 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.
Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) FAQ
Is Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) worth opening?
Coin flip. Mean expected value is $20.73 against a $81.50 pack price (0.00× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-09.
How many packs are in Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set)?
Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) contains 3 packs.
What is the best card you can pull from Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set)?
The top pull by value is Sphinx Ambassador (about $52.54), with roughly a 2.5% chance per pack.
Details and daily prices
Magic 2010 (M10) - 3x Booster Packs (draft set) currently sells for $81.50 at market, flat over 30 days and flat over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $81.50 (2024-06-30); low: $81.50 (2024-06-30).
180 daily snapshots. Last update 2024-12-26.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-26 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-25 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-24 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-23 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-22 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | $89.69 |
| 2024-12-21 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-20 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-19 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-18 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-17 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-16 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-15 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | $89.69 |
| 2024-12-14 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-13 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-12 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-11 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-10 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-09 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-08 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | $89.69 |
| 2024-12-07 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-06 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-05 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-04 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-03 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-02 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-12-01 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | $89.69 |
| 2024-11-30 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-11-29 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-11-28 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |
| 2024-11-27 | $81.50 | $89.69 | $89.69 | n/a |