Magic 2012 Sealed · Bundle

Is Magic 2012 (M12) - Fat Pack Worth Opening?

Magic 2012M12

TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $123.99

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of bundle price SKIP

0.24×

EV $30.26, $93.73 less card value than the bundle costs.

TCGplayer, $123.99 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $101.98, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 8, 2026, before shipping.

The slot-by-slot breakdown is not available for this bundle yet. Its EV and verdict are unaffected.

About Magic 2012 (M12) - Fat Pack

Magic 2012 (M12) - Fat Pack currently sells for $123.99 at market, flat over 30 days and flat over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $123.99 (2026-07-17); low: $76.98 (2021-06-17).

Outcome rangeOne bundle

Likely range for one bundle

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single bundle at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$30.26Equals the bundle EV

Middle half spans$18.75High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened bundles.

How we price a bundle

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$20.89 to $39.64

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Bundle price

Best Pulls in Magic 2012 (M12) - Fat Pack

Grand Abolisher is the best pull at $18.87. Pulls are expected copies per bundle; EV is pulls times market price.

All Magic 2012 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Grand AbolisherMain set · Nonfoil · M12 #19	Rare	$18.87	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$2.81	9.3%
2	PonderMain set · Nonfoil · M12 #73	Common	$2.52	0.87		$2.19	7.2%
3	Sundial of the InfiniteMain set · Nonfoil · M12 #218	Rare	$13.83	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$2.06	6.8%
4	Birds of ParadiseMain set · Nonfoil · M12 #165	Rare	$12.85	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.91	6.3%
5	Jace's ArchivistMain set · Nonfoil · M12 #59	Rare	$8.74	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.30	4.3%
6	Swiftfoot BootsMain set · Nonfoil · M12 #219	Uncommon	$1.89	0.45	1 in 2 bundles	$0.85	2.8%
7	Phantasmal ImageMain set · Nonfoil · M12 #72	Rare	$5.53	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.82	2.7%
8	ManabarbsMain set · Nonfoil · M12 #150	Rare	$5.09	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.76	2.5%
These eight together		$12.70, 42.0% of bundle EV. The other $17.56 comes from the rest of the set.

Sundial of the Infinite — The three rares, $18.87, $13.83 and $12.85. Each turns up about once in seven bundles.

#1 Grand Abolisher

M12 #19

Nonfoil

$18.87

EV $2.81 · 1 in 7 bundles

#2 Ponder

M12 #73

Nonfoil

$2.52

EV $2.19 · 0.87 per bundle

#3 Sundial of the Infinite

M12 #218

Nonfoil

$13.83

EV $2.06 · 1 in 7 bundles

#4 Birds of Paradise

M12 #165

Nonfoil

$12.85

EV $1.91 · 1 in 7 bundles

#5 Jace's Archivist

M12 #59

Nonfoil

$8.74

EV $1.30 · 1 in 7 bundles

#6 Swiftfoot Boots

M12 #219

Nonfoil

$1.89

EV $0.85 · 1 in 2 bundles

#7 Phantasmal Image

M12 #72

Nonfoil

$5.53

EV $0.82 · 1 in 7 bundles

#8 Manabarbs

M12 #150

Nonfoil

$5.09

EV $0.76 · 1 in 7 bundles

1
Grand Abolisher
M12 #19Nonfoil
$18.87 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$2.819.3% of EV
2
Ponder
M12 #73Nonfoil
$2.52 market · 0.87 per bundle
$2.197.2% of EV
3
Sundial of the Infinite
M12 #218Nonfoil
$13.83 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$2.066.8% of EV
4
Birds of Paradise
M12 #165Nonfoil
$12.85 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.916.3% of EV
5
Jace's Archivist
M12 #59Nonfoil
$8.74 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.304.3% of EV
6
Swiftfoot Boots
M12 #219Nonfoil
$1.89 market · 0.45 per bundle · 1 in 2 bundles
$0.852.8% of EV
7
Phantasmal Image
M12 #72Nonfoil
$5.53 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.822.7% of EV
8
Manabarbs
M12 #150Nonfoil
$5.09 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.762.5% of EV

These eight together$12.70, 42.0% of bundle EV

All Magic 2012 prices

Magic 2012 (M12) - Fat Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed bundle, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$50$100$150JulAugSepOctNovBundle price$123.99Crack EV$30.26Mana Pool$101.98Crack EV tracked since Oct 7

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 8, 2026

Crack EV has held below bundle price for 33 days.

Now: $123.99; TCGplayer market

The Magic 2012 lineup

Every Magic 2012 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.24×

The Magic 2012 (M12) - Fat Pack sells for $123.99 and carries $30.26 in expected card value at market, a 0.24× ratio and $93.73 less than the bundle costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This bundle, 0.24×

Magic 2012 (M12) - Fat Pack FAQ