Magic 2014 Sealed · Bundle

Is Magic 2014 (M14) - Fat Pack Worth Opening?

Magic 2014M14

TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $68.82

1-year range $50.43$71.97 4.4% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of bundle price SKIP

0.43×

EV $29.69, $39.13 less card value than the bundle costs.

TCGplayer, $68.82 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $63.74, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 9, 2026, before shipping.

The slot-by-slot breakdown is not available for this bundle yet. Its EV and verdict are unaffected.

About Magic 2014 (M14) - Fat Pack

At $68.82 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $50.43 to $71.97.

Outcome rangeOne bundle

Likely range for one bundle

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single bundle at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$29.69Equals the bundle EV

Middle half spans$29.46High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened bundles.

How we price a bundle

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$14.96 to $44.42

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Bundle price

Best Pulls in Magic 2014 (M14) - Fat Pack

Darksteel Forge is the best pull at $52.22. Pulls are expected copies per bundle; EV is pulls times market price.

All Magic 2014 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Darksteel ForgeMain set · Nonfoil · M14 #206	Mythic	$52.22	0.07	1 in 13 bundles	$3.88	13.1%
2	Archangel of ThuneMain set · Nonfoil · M14 #5	Mythic	$46.95	0.07	1 in 13 bundles	$3.49	11.8%
3	SilenceMain set · Nonfoil · M14 #35	Rare	$11.82	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.76	5.9%
4	Shadowborn ApostleMain set · Nonfoil · M14 #114	Common	$1.75	0.87		$1.52	5.1%
5	Bonescythe SliverMain set · Nonfoil · M14 #9	Rare	$7.01	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.04	3.5%
6	Door of DestiniesMain set · Nonfoil · M14 #208	Rare	$6.60	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.98	3.3%
7	Strionic ResonatorMain set · Nonfoil · M14 #224	Rare	$6.44	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.96	3.2%
8	Sanguine BondMain set · Nonfoil · M14 #112	Rare	$5.78	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.86	2.9%
These eight together		$14.49, 48.8% of bundle EV. The other $15.20 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Darksteel Forge

M14 #206

Nonfoil

$52.22

EV $3.88 · 1 in 13 bundles

#2 Archangel of Thune

M14 #5

Nonfoil

$46.95

EV $3.49 · 1 in 13 bundles

#3 Silence

M14 #35

Nonfoil

$11.82

EV $1.76 · 1 in 7 bundles

#4 Shadowborn Apostle

M14 #114

Nonfoil

$1.75

EV $1.52 · 0.87 per bundle

#5 Bonescythe Sliver

M14 #9

Nonfoil

$7.01

EV $1.04 · 1 in 7 bundles

#6 Door of Destinies

M14 #208

Nonfoil

$6.60

EV $0.98 · 1 in 7 bundles

#7 Strionic Resonator

M14 #224

Nonfoil

$6.44

EV $0.96 · 1 in 7 bundles

#8 Sanguine Bond

M14 #112

Nonfoil

$5.78

EV $0.86 · 1 in 7 bundles

1
Darksteel Forge
M14 #206Nonfoil
$52.22 market · 0.07 per bundle · 1 in 13 bundles
$3.8813.1% of EV
2
Archangel of Thune
M14 #5Nonfoil
$46.95 market · 0.07 per bundle · 1 in 13 bundles
$3.4911.8% of EV
3
Silence
M14 #35Nonfoil
$11.82 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.765.9% of EV
4
Shadowborn Apostle
M14 #114Nonfoil
$1.75 market · 0.87 per bundle
$1.525.1% of EV
5
Bonescythe Sliver
M14 #9Nonfoil
$7.01 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.043.5% of EV
6
Door of Destinies
M14 #208Nonfoil
$6.60 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.983.3% of EV
7
Strionic Resonator
M14 #224Nonfoil
$6.44 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.963.2% of EV
8
Sanguine Bond
M14 #112Nonfoil
$5.78 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.862.9% of EV

These eight together$14.49, 48.8% of bundle EV

All Magic 2014 prices

Magic 2014 (M14) - Fat Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed bundle, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$40$60$80Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBundle price$68.82Crack EV$29.69Mana Pool$63.74Crack EV tracked since Oct 71Y high $71.971Y low $50.43

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 9, 2026

Crack EV has held below bundle price for 34 days.

Now: $68.82; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $71.97; 4.6% above today
1-year low: $50.43; Today is 36.5% higher

The Magic 2014 lineup

Every Magic 2014 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.43×

The Magic 2014 (M14) - Fat Pack sells for $68.82 and carries $29.69 in expected card value at market, a 0.43× ratio and $39.13 less than the bundle costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This bundle, 0.43×

Magic 2014 (M14) - Fat Pack FAQ