Magic 2015 Sealed · Bundle

Is Magic 2015 (M15) - Fat Pack Worth Opening?

Magic 2015M15

TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $75.96

1-year range $57.84$76.46 0.7% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of bundle price SKIP

0.37×

EV $28.07, $47.89 less card value than the bundle costs.

TCGplayer, $75.96, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $86.24 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 8, 2026, before shipping.

The slot-by-slot breakdown is not available for this bundle yet. Its EV and verdict are unaffected.

About Magic 2015 (M15) - Fat Pack

At $75.96 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $57.84 to $76.46.

Outcome rangeOne bundle

Likely range for one bundle

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single bundle at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$28.07Equals the bundle EV

Middle half spans$31.53High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened bundles.

How we price a bundle

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$12.30 to $43.83

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Bundle price

Best Pulls in Magic 2015 (M15) - Fat Pack

Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth is the best pull at $52.63. Pulls are expected copies per bundle; EV is pulls times market price.

All Magic 2015 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Urborg, Tomb of YawgmothMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #248	Rare	$52.63	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$7.83	27.9%
2	Sliver HiveMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #247	Rare	$10.78	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.60	5.7%
3	The Chain VeilMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #215	Mythic	$19.87	0.07	1 in 13 bundles	$1.48	5.3%
4	Sliver HivelordMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #211	Mythic	$17.90	0.07	1 in 13 bundles	$1.33	4.7%
5	Chord of CallingMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #172	Rare	$7.04	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$1.05	3.7%
6	Polymorphist's JestMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #75	Rare	$6.54	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.97	3.5%
7	Waste NotMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #122	Rare	$6.39	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.95	3.4%
8	Life's LegacyMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #183	Rare	$5.32	0.15	1 in 7 bundles	$0.79	2.8%
These eight together		$16.00, 57.0% of bundle EV. The other $12.07 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth

M15 #248

Nonfoil

$52.63

EV $7.83 · 1 in 7 bundles

#2 Sliver Hive

M15 #247

Nonfoil

$10.78

EV $1.60 · 1 in 7 bundles

#3 The Chain Veil

M15 #215

Nonfoil

$19.87

EV $1.48 · 1 in 13 bundles

#4 Sliver Hivelord

M15 #211

Nonfoil

$17.90

EV $1.33 · 1 in 13 bundles

#5 Chord of Calling

M15 #172

Nonfoil

$7.04

EV $1.05 · 1 in 7 bundles

#6 Polymorphist's Jest

M15 #75

Nonfoil

$6.54

EV $0.97 · 1 in 7 bundles

#7 Waste Not

M15 #122

Nonfoil

$6.39

EV $0.95 · 1 in 7 bundles

#8 Life's Legacy

M15 #183

Nonfoil

$5.32

EV $0.79 · 1 in 7 bundles

1
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
M15 #248Nonfoil
$52.63 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$7.8327.9% of EV
2
Sliver Hive
M15 #247Nonfoil
$10.78 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.605.7% of EV
3
The Chain Veil
M15 #215Nonfoil
$19.87 market · 0.07 per bundle · 1 in 13 bundles
$1.485.3% of EV
4
Sliver Hivelord
M15 #211Nonfoil
$17.90 market · 0.07 per bundle · 1 in 13 bundles
$1.334.7% of EV
5
Chord of Calling
M15 #172Nonfoil
$7.04 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$1.053.7% of EV
6
Polymorphist's Jest
M15 #75Nonfoil
$6.54 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.973.5% of EV
7
Waste Not
M15 #122Nonfoil
$6.39 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.953.4% of EV
8
Life's Legacy
M15 #183Nonfoil
$5.32 market · 0.15 per bundle · 1 in 7 bundles
$0.792.8% of EV

These eight together$16.00, 57.0% of bundle EV

All Magic 2015 prices

Magic 2015 (M15) - Fat Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed bundle, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$50$100Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBundle price$75.96Crack EV$28.07Mana Pool$86.24Crack EV tracked since Oct 71Y high $76.461Y low $57.84

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 8, 2026

Crack EV has held below bundle price for 33 days.

Now: $75.96; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $76.46; 0.7% above today
1-year low: $57.84; Today is 31.3% higher

The Magic 2015 lineup

Every Magic 2015 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.37×

The Magic 2015 (M15) - Fat Pack sells for $75.96 and carries $28.07 in expected card value at market, a 0.37× ratio and $47.89 less than the bundle costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This bundle, 0.37×

Magic 2015 (M15) - Fat Pack FAQ