EV $22.85 · 1 in 2 boxes
Shown with one Sleeved Draft $9.96 per pack at the box price
Modern Horizons 2 Sealed · Booster display
Is Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $358.70
1-year range $214.84$358.70 At the 1-year high
Value gaugeCard value per dollar of box price HOLD
0.77×
EV $277.96, $80.74 less card value than the box costs.
TCGplayer, $358.70, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $430.00 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)
Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 9, 2026, before shipping.
The slot-by-slot breakdown is not available for this box yet. Its EV and verdict are unaffected.
About Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box
Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box contains 36 packs. At $358.70 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $214.84 to $358.70.
What’s in the box
15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations Common 9 per pack
324 per box
Uncommon 3 per pack
108 per box
Rare or Mythic 1 per pack
36 per box
Wildcard 0.7 per pack
24.0 per box
Traditional Foil 0.3 per pack
12.0 per box
Bonus Sheet 1 per pack
36 per box
Common9 per pack
324per box
Uncommon3 per pack
108per box
Rare or Mythic1 per pack
36per box
Wildcard0.7 per pack
24.0per box
Traditional Foil0.3 per pack
12.0per box
Bonus Sheet1 per pack
36per box
Valued slots15 per pack · 540 per box
15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.
Outcome rangeOne box
Likely range for one box
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single box at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$277.96Equals the box EV
Middle half spans$103.06High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened boxes.
How we price a boxMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$226.43 to $329.49
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Box price
Best Pulls in Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box
Esper Sentinel is the best pull at $53.00. Pulls are expected copies per box; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esper SentinelMain set · Nonfoil · MH2 #12 | Rare | $53.00 | 0.43 | 1 in 2 boxes | $22.85 | 8.2% |
| 2 | Urza's SagaMain set · Nonfoil · MH2 #259 | Rare | $39.21 | 0.43 | 1 in 2 boxes | $16.90 | 6.1% |
| 3 | Misty RainforestMain set · Nonfoil · MH2 #250 | Rare | $36.39 | 0.43 | 1 in 2 boxes | $15.69 | 5.6% |
| 4 | Scalding TarnMain set · Nonfoil · MH2 #254 | Rare | $35.83 | 0.43 | 1 in 2 boxes | $15.44 | 5.6% |
| 5 | Marsh FlatsMain set · Nonfoil · MH2 #248 | Rare | $31.98 | 0.43 | 1 in 2 boxes | $13.79 | 5.0% |
| 6 | Verdant CatacombsMain set · Nonfoil · MH2 #260 | Rare | $29.08 | 0.43 | 1 in 2 boxes | $12.54 | 4.5% |
| 7 | Arid MesaMain set · Nonfoil · MH2 #244 | Rare | $28.26 | 0.43 | 1 in 2 boxes | $12.18 | 4.4% |
| 8 | Ragavan, Nimble PilfererMain set · Nonfoil · MH2 #138 | Mythic | $40.19 | 0.22 | 1 in 5 boxes | $8.66 | 3.1% |
| These eight together | $118.05, 42.5% of box EV. The other $159.91 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $16.90 · 1 in 2 boxes
EV $15.69 · 1 in 2 boxes
EV $15.44 · 1 in 2 boxes
EV $13.79 · 1 in 2 boxes
EV $12.54 · 1 in 2 boxes
EV $12.18 · 1 in 2 boxes
EV $8.66 · 1 in 5 boxes
- 1
$22.858.2% of EV
- 2
$16.906.1% of EV
- 3
$15.695.6% of EV
- 4
$15.445.6% of EV
- 5
$13.795.0% of EV
- 6
$12.544.5% of EV
- 7
$12.184.4% of EV
- 8
$8.663.1% of EV
These eight together$118.05, 42.5% of box EV
All Modern Horizons 2 pricesModern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed box, past 12 months, against its crack EV.
$200$300$400Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBox price$358.70Crack EV$277.96Mana Pool$430.001Y low $214.84
Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed
Crack EV has held below box price for 56 days.
- Now
- $358.70
- TCGplayer market
- 1-year high
- $358.70
- At the 1-year high
- 1-year low
- $214.84
- Today is 67.0% higher
The Modern Horizons 2 lineup
Every Modern Horizons 2 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.
Crack or keep sealed
EV Notes
Verdict: Hold 0.77×
The Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box sells for $358.70 and carries $277.96 in expected card value at market, a 0.77× ratio and $80.74 less than the box costs.
Five-tier verdictEV ratio
Crack 1.10× and up Open it.
Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.
Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.
Hold 0.75× to 0.90× This box, 0.77×
Skip under 0.75× Pass.
Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box FAQ
Is Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box worth opening?
Keep it sealed. Mean expected value is $277.96 against a $358.70 box price (0.77× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-09.
How many packs are in Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box?
Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box contains 36 packs.
What is the best card you can pull from Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box?
The top pull by value is Esper Sentinel (about $53.00), with roughly a 43.1% chance per box.
Details and daily prices
Modern Horizons 2 - Draft Booster Box currently sells for $358.70 at market, up 6.1% over 30 days and up 17.2% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $358.70 (2026-11-08); low: $150.01 (2023-12-24).
1902 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-11-09.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
High at or above $500 is flagged: it is the top active listing, which can be set arbitrarily, so read Market as the signal.
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High (flag) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-09 | $358.70 | $362.00 | $394.84 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-11-08 | $358.70 | $368.99 | $399.99 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-11-07 | $357.78 | $368.99 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-11-06 | $357.78 | $368.99 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-11-05 | $356.86 | $368.99 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-11-04 | $352.30 | $368.99 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-11-03 | $350.70 | $368.99 | $399.99 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-11-02 | $350.70 | $368.99 | $399.99 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-11-01 | $350.70 | $368.99 | $399.99 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-31 | $350.70 | $369.00 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-30 | $350.70 | $349.95 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-29 | $354.98 | $349.95 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-28 | $354.98 | $349.95 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-27 | $353.42 | $349.95 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-26 | $353.42 | $349.95 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-25 | $353.42 | $349.95 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-24 | $353.42 | $349.95 | $425.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-23 | $353.42 | $349.95 | $437.50 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | $352.18 | $349.95 | $425.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | $349.22 | $349.95 | $425.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | $346.50 | $349.95 | $412.50 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | $346.50 | $349.95 | $412.50 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | $346.50 | $349.95 | $412.50 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | $344.89 | $349.95 | $425.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | $343.54 | $349.95 | $412.50 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | $343.54 | $349.95 | $425.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | $341.62 | $349.95 | $425.00 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | $339.37 | $349.95 | $412.50 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | $339.37 | $349.95 | $412.50 | $1,000.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | $339.37 | $349.95 | $400.00 | $1,000.00 |