Modern Horizons 3 Sealed · Booster pack

Is Modern Horizons 3 - Play Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Modern Horizons 3MH3

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $11.05

1-year range $7.42$11.32 2.4% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price NEUTRAL

0.93×

EV $10.29, $0.76 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $11.05 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $10.75, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Modern Horizons 3 - Play Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $10.29, or 0.93× the $11.05 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $10.29 vs $11.05 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $2.12 of the $10.29 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 107.3% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$0.76 before fees and shipping

$0$2.50$5$7.50$10$13

$2.12 20.6%

$4.82 46.8%

$1.45 14.0%

$0.00 0.0%

$1.91 18.5%

$10.29 100%

−$0.76 card value below the pack price

Pack price$11.05

Wildcard / Treatment3 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons9 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Bonus sheet1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $11.05

Wildcard / Treatment$2.12 · 20.6%

Rare / Mythic$4.82 · 46.8%

Commons & Uncommons$1.45 · 14.0%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Bonus sheet$1.91 · 18.5%

Pack EV$10.29

$0.76 under price

About Modern Horizons 3 - Play Booster Pack

At $11.05 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $7.42 to $11.32.

What’s in the pack

14 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 6 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 1.5 per pack

Traditional Foil 1 per pack

Land 0.5 per pack

Bonus Sheet 1 per pack

Common6 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard1.5 per pack

Traditional Foil1 per pack

Land0.5 per pack

Bonus Sheet1 per pack

14 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 14 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.16 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	2.5	$2.12	$0.85	20.6%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$4.82	$4.82	46.8%
Commons & UncommonsNine per pack	9	$1.45	$0.16	14.0%
LandsBasic or showcase land	0.5	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheet	1	$1.91	$1.91	18.5%
Pack total, 14 cards	14	$10.29	$0.74	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$2.12
20.6%
2.5 cards per pack · $0.85 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$4.82
46.8%
1 card per pack · $4.82 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$1.45
14.0%
9 cards per pack · $0.16 per card · Nine per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
0.5 cards per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$1.91
18.5%
1 card per pack · $1.91 per card
Pack total, 14 cards$10.29

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$10.29Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$15.11High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$2.74 to $17.85

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Modern Horizons 3 - Play Booster Pack

Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs is the best pull at $9.75. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Modern Horizons 3 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Sink into Stupor // Soporific SpringsMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #241	Uncommon	$9.75	0.03	1 in 30 packs	$0.33	3.2%
2	Warren SoultraderMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #110	Rare	$23.73	0.01	1 in 73 packs	$0.33	3.2%
3	Polluted DeltaMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #224	Rare	$21.56	0.01	1 in 73 packs	$0.30	2.9%
4	Ocelot PrideMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #38	Mythic	$42.56	0.01	1 in 146 packs	$0.29	2.8%
5	Urza's IncubatorMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #297	Rare	$22.16	0.01	1 in 80 packs	$0.28	2.7%
6	Bloodstained MireMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #216	Rare	$19.70	0.01	1 in 73 packs	$0.27	2.6%
7	Wooded FoothillsMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #236	Rare	$19.56	0.01	1 in 73 packs	$0.27	2.6%
8	Fanatic of RhonasMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #152	Rare	$15.39	0.02	1 in 64 packs	$0.24	2.3%
These eight together		$2.31, 22.4% of pack EV. The other $7.98 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs

MH3 #241

Nonfoil

$9.75

EV $0.33 · 1 in 30 packs

#2 Warren Soultrader

MH3 #110

Nonfoil

$23.73

EV $0.33 · 1 in 73 packs

#3 Polluted Delta

MH3 #224

Nonfoil

$21.56

EV $0.30 · 1 in 73 packs

#4 Ocelot Pride

MH3 #38

Nonfoil

$42.56

EV $0.29 · 1 in 146 packs

#5 Urza's Incubator

MH3 #297

Nonfoil

$22.16

EV $0.28 · 1 in 80 packs

#6 Bloodstained Mire

MH3 #216

Nonfoil

$19.70

EV $0.27 · 1 in 73 packs

#7 Wooded Foothills

MH3 #236

Nonfoil

$19.56

EV $0.27 · 1 in 73 packs

#8 Fanatic of Rhonas

MH3 #152

Nonfoil

$15.39

EV $0.24 · 1 in 64 packs

1
Sink into Stupor // Soporific Springs
MH3 #241Nonfoil
$9.75 market · 0.03 per pack · 1 in 30 packs
$0.333.2% of EV
2
Warren Soultrader
MH3 #110Nonfoil
$23.73 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 73 packs
$0.333.2% of EV
3
Polluted Delta
MH3 #224Nonfoil
$21.56 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 73 packs
$0.302.9% of EV
4
Ocelot Pride
MH3 #38Nonfoil
$42.56 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 146 packs
$0.292.8% of EV
5
Urza's Incubator
MH3 #297Nonfoil
$22.16 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 80 packs
$0.282.7% of EV
6
Bloodstained Mire
MH3 #216Nonfoil
$19.70 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 73 packs
$0.272.6% of EV
7
Wooded Foothills
MH3 #236Nonfoil
$19.56 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 73 packs
$0.272.6% of EV
8
Fanatic of Rhonas
MH3 #152Nonfoil
$15.39 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 64 packs
$0.242.3% of EV

These eight together$2.31, 22.4% of pack EV

All Modern Horizons 3 prices

Modern Horizons 3 - Play Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$5$7.50$10Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$11.05Crack EV$10.29Mana Pool$10.751Y high $11.321Y low $7.42

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 238 days.

Now: $11.05; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $11.32; 2.4% above today
1-year low: $7.42; Today is 48.9% higher

The Modern Horizons 3 lineup

Every Modern Horizons 3 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Neutral 0.93×

The Modern Horizons 3 - Play Booster Pack sells for $11.05 and carries $10.29 in expected card value at market, a 0.93× ratio and $0.76 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× This pack, 0.93×

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× Pass.

Modern Horizons 3 - Play Booster Pack FAQ