Modern Horizons 3 Sealed · Booster pack

Is Modern Horizons 3 - Collector Booster Sample Pack Worth Opening?

Modern Horizons 3MH3

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $8.79

1-year range $5.28$9.51 7.6% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price CRACK

1.17×

EV $10.25, $1.46 more card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $8.79 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $8.53, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Modern Horizons 3 - Collector Booster Sample Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $10.25, or 1.17× the $8.79 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $10.25 vs $8.79 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $10.25 of the $10.25 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 85.7% of market value covers the pack

Card value above price +$1.46 before fees and shipping

$0$2.50$5$7.50$10$13

$10.25 100.0%

$0.00 0.0%

Covers the pack

$10.25 100%

+$1.46 card value above the pack price

Pack price$8.79

Wildcard / Treatment2 slots per pack

Rare / MythicOne per pack

Commons & Uncommons

LandsBasic or showcase land

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $8.79

Wildcard / Treatment$10.25 · 100.0%

Rare / Mythic$0.00 · 0.0%

Commons & Uncommons$0.00 · 0.0%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$10.25

+$1.46 over price

About Modern Horizons 3 - Collector Booster Sample Pack

At $8.79 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $5.28 to $9.51.

What’s in the pack

2 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Wildcard 0.7 per pack

Traditional Foil 1.3 per pack

Wildcard0.7 per pack

Traditional Foil1.3 per pack

2 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 2 cards that carry value, priced at market.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	2	$10.25	$5.13	100.0%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Commons & Uncommons	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
LandsBasic or showcase land	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 2 cards	2	$10.25	$5.13	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$10.25
100.0%
2 cards per pack · $5.13 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card
Lands$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 2 cards$10.25

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$10.25Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$21.62High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $21.62

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Modern Horizons 3 - Collector Booster Sample Pack

Ocelot Pride (Borderless) is the best pull at $168.56. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Modern Horizons 3 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Ocelot PrideBorderless · Foil · MH3 #322	Mythic	$168.56	0.00	1 in 456 packs	$0.37	3.6%
2	Warren SoultraderBorderless · Foil · MH3 #332	Rare	$70.98	0.00	1 in 228 packs	$0.31	3.0%
3	Ulamog, the DefilerBorderless · Foil · MH3 #383	Mythic	$117.56	0.00	1 in 456 packs	$0.26	2.5%
4	Talon Gates of MadaraExtended art · Nonfoil · M3C #82	Rare	$42.76	0.01	1 in 192 packs	$0.22	2.1%
5	Jet MedallionBorderless · Foil · MH3 #346	Rare	$47.83	0.00	1 in 228 packs	$0.21	2.0%
6	Phyrexian TowerBorderless · Foil · MH3 #355	Mythic	$93.17	0.00	1 in 456 packs	$0.20	2.0%
7	Ruby MedallionBorderless · Foil · MH3 #348	Rare	$46.31	0.00	1 in 228 packs	$0.20	2.0%
8	Ocelot PrideBorderless · Nonfoil · MH3 #322	Mythic	$77.26	0.00	1 in 384 packs	$0.20	2.0%
These eight together		$1.97, 19.2% of pack EV. The other $8.28 comes from the rest of the set.

Ulamog, the Defiler, borderless — The three borderless mythics, $168.56, $117.56 and $93.17. Each turns up about once in 456 packs.

Ocelot Pride, borderless — The three borderless mythics, $168.56, $117.56 and $93.17. Each turns up about once in 456 packs.

#1 Ocelot Pride

MH3 #322

Foil

$168.56

Borderless

EV $0.37 · 1 in 456 packs

#2 Warren Soultrader

MH3 #332

Foil

$70.98

Borderless

EV $0.31 · 1 in 228 packs

#3 Ulamog, the Defiler

MH3 #383

Foil

$117.56

Borderless

EV $0.26 · 1 in 456 packs

#4 Talon Gates of Madara

M3C #82

Nonfoil

$42.76

Extended art

EV $0.22 · 1 in 192 packs

#5 Jet Medallion

MH3 #346

Foil

$47.83

Borderless

EV $0.21 · 1 in 228 packs

#6 Phyrexian Tower

MH3 #355

Foil

$93.17

Borderless

EV $0.20 · 1 in 456 packs

#7 Ruby Medallion

MH3 #348

Foil

$46.31

Borderless

EV $0.20 · 1 in 228 packs

#8 Ocelot Pride

MH3 #322

Nonfoil

$77.26

Borderless

EV $0.20 · 1 in 384 packs

1
Ocelot Pride
MH3 #322FoilBorderless
$168.56 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 456 packs
$0.373.6% of EV
2
Warren Soultrader
MH3 #332FoilBorderless
$70.98 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 228 packs
$0.313.0% of EV
3
Ulamog, the Defiler
MH3 #383FoilBorderless
$117.56 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 456 packs
$0.262.5% of EV
4
Talon Gates of Madara
M3C #82NonfoilExtended art
$42.76 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 192 packs
$0.222.1% of EV
5
Jet Medallion
MH3 #346FoilBorderless
$47.83 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 228 packs
$0.212.0% of EV
6
Phyrexian Tower
MH3 #355FoilBorderless
$93.17 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 456 packs
$0.202.0% of EV
7
Ruby Medallion
MH3 #348FoilBorderless
$46.31 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 228 packs
$0.202.0% of EV
8
Ocelot Pride
MH3 #322NonfoilBorderless
$77.26 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 384 packs
$0.202.0% of EV

These eight together$1.97, 19.2% of pack EV

All Modern Horizons 3 prices

Modern Horizons 3 - Collector Booster Sample Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$2.50$5$7.50$10Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$8.79Crack EV$10.25Mana Pool$8.53Crack EV tracked since Jul 201Y high $9.511Y low $5.28

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held above pack price for 56 days.

Now: $8.79; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $9.51; 8.2% above today
1-year low: $5.28; Today is 66.5% higher

The Modern Horizons 3 lineup

Every Modern Horizons 3 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Crack 1.17×

The Modern Horizons 3 - Collector Booster Sample Pack sells for $8.79 and carries $10.25 in expected card value at market, a 1.17× ratio and $1.46 more than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up This pack, 1.17×

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× Pass.

Modern Horizons 3 - Collector Booster Sample Pack FAQ