EV $0.33 · 1 in 73 packs
Modern Horizons 3 Sealed · Booster pack
Is Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Sep 19, 2026 $8.46
1-year range $7.08$9.84 14.0% below the 1-year high
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Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot
Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $10.22, or 1.21× the $8.46 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.
EV per pack $10.22 vs $8.46 paid per pack
Wildcard and foil, per pack $2.12 of the $10.22 in each pack
Break-even sell-through 82.8% of market value covers the pack
Card value above price +$1.76 before fees and shipping
$0$2.50$5$7.50$10$13 Pack price$8.46
$2.12 20.7%
$4.80 47.0%
$1.43 14.0%
$0.00 0.0%
$1.88 18.4%
$10.22 100%
+$1.76 card value above the pack price
Wildcard / Treatment3 slots per pack
Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack
Commons & Uncommons9 slots per pack
Lands1 slots per pack
Bonus sheet1 slots per pack
Pack EVSum of every slot
Pack price $8.46
Wildcard / Treatment$2.12 · 20.7%
Rare / Mythic$4.80 · 47.0%
Commons & Uncommons$1.43 · 14.0%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Bonus sheet$1.88 · 18.4%
Pack EV$10.22
+$1.76 over price
About Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack
At $8.46 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $7.08 to $9.84.
What’s in the pack
14 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations Common 6 per pack
Uncommon 3 per pack
Rare or Mythic 1 per pack
Wildcard 1.5 per pack
Traditional Foil 1 per pack
Land 0.5 per pack
Bonus Sheet 1 per pack
Common6 per pack
Uncommon3 per pack
Rare or Mythic1 per pack
Wildcard1.5 per pack
Traditional Foil1 per pack
Land0.5 per pack
Bonus Sheet1 per pack
14 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.
Where your value comes from
The 14 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.16 apiece.
| Slot | Cards | EV per pack | Per card | Share of pack EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots | 2.5 | $2.12 | $0.85 | 20.7% |
| Rare / MythicOne per pack | 1 | $4.80 | $4.80 | 47.0% |
| Commons & UncommonsNine per pack | 9 | $1.43 | $0.16 | 14.0% |
| LandsBasic or showcase land | 0.5 | $0.00 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Bonus sheet | 1 | $1.88 | $1.88 | 18.4% |
| Pack total, 14 cards | 14 | $10.22 | $0.73 | 100% |
Wildcard / Treatment$2.12
2.5 cards per pack · $0.85 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$4.80
1 card per pack · $4.80 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$1.43
9 cards per pack · $0.16 per card · Nine per pack
Lands$0.00
0.5 cards per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$1.88
1 card per pack · $1.88 per card
- Pack total, 14 cards$10.22
Outcome rangeOne pack
Likely range for one pack
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$10.22Equals the pack EV
Middle half spans$15.01High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.
How we price a packMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$2.72 to $17.73
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Pack price
Best Pulls in Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack
Warren Soultrader is the best pull at $24.12. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warren SoultraderMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #110 | Rare | $24.12 | 0.01 | 1 in 73 packs | $0.33 | 3.2% |
| 2 | Sink into Stupor // Soporific SpringsMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #241 | Uncommon | $9.64 | 0.03 | 1 in 30 packs | $0.33 | 3.2% |
| 3 | Polluted DeltaMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #224 | Rare | $21.37 | 0.01 | 1 in 73 packs | $0.29 | 2.8% |
| 4 | Ocelot PrideMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #38 | Mythic | $41.73 | 0.01 | 1 in 146 packs | $0.29 | 2.8% |
| 5 | Wooded FoothillsMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #236 | Rare | $19.67 | 0.01 | 1 in 73 packs | $0.27 | 2.6% |
| 6 | Bloodstained MireMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #216 | Rare | $19.39 | 0.01 | 1 in 73 packs | $0.27 | 2.6% |
| 7 | Urza's IncubatorMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #297 | Rare | $20.51 | 0.01 | 1 in 80 packs | $0.26 | 2.5% |
| 8 | Fanatic of RhonasMain set · Nonfoil · MH3 #152 | Rare | $15.34 | 0.02 | 1 in 64 packs | $0.24 | 2.3% |
| These eight together | $2.28, 22.3% of pack EV. The other $7.94 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $0.33 · 1 in 30 packs
EV $0.29 · 1 in 73 packs
EV $0.29 · 1 in 146 packs
EV $0.27 · 1 in 73 packs
EV $0.27 · 1 in 73 packs
EV $0.26 · 1 in 80 packs
EV $0.24 · 1 in 64 packs
- 1
$0.333.2% of EV
- 2
$0.333.2% of EV
- 3
$0.292.8% of EV
- 4
$0.292.8% of EV
- 5
$0.272.6% of EV
- 6
$0.272.6% of EV
- 7
$0.262.5% of EV
- 8
$0.242.3% of EV
These eight together$2.28, 22.3% of pack EV
All Modern Horizons 3 pricesModern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.
$4$6$8$10Sep 2025Jan 2026AprJulNovPack price$8.46Crack EV$10.22Crack EV tracked since Nov 161Y high $9.841Y low $7.08
Crack EV has held above pack price for 61 days.
- Now
- $8.46
- TCGplayer market
- 1-year high
- $9.84
- 16.3% above today
- 1-year low
- $7.08
- Today is 19.5% higher
The Modern Horizons 3 lineup
Every Modern Horizons 3 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.
Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack FAQ
Is Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack worth opening?
Coin flip. Mean expected value is $10.22 against a $8.46 pack price (0.00× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-09.
How many packs are in Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack?
Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack contains 1 pack.
What is the best card you can pull from Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack?
The top pull by value is Warren Soultrader (about $24.12), with roughly a 1.4% chance per pack.
Details and daily prices
Modern Horizons 3 - Sleeved Play Booster Pack currently sells for $8.46 at market, down 1.1% over 30 days and up 2.2% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $12.49 (2024-08-31); low: $7.08 (2025-10-24).
735 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-19.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | $8.46 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | $8.46 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | $9.84 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | $9.84 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | $9.84 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | $8.55 | $15.00 | $15.00 | $15.00 |