Outlaws of Thunder Junction Sealed · Booster pack

Is Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Collector Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Outlaws of Thunder JunctionOTJ

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $46.89

1-year range $27.42$46.89 At the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.52×

EV $24.56, $22.33 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $46.89, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $48.57 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Collector Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $24.56, or 0.52× the $46.89 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $24.56 vs $46.89 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $2.83 of the $24.56 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 190.9% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$22.33 before fees and shipping

$0$10$20$30$40$50

$2.83 11.5%

$12.29 50.0%

$0.00 0.0%

$0.10 0.4%

$9.34 38.0%

$24.56 100%

−$22.33 card value below the pack price

Pack price$46.89

Wildcard / Treatment9 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic3 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons1 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Finale1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $46.89

Wildcard / Treatment$2.83 · 11.5%

Rare / Mythic$12.29 · 50.0%

Commons & Uncommons$0.00 · 0.0%

Lands$0.10 · 0.4%

Finale$9.34 · 38.0%

Pack EV$24.56

$22.33 under price

About Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Collector Booster Pack

At $46.89 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $27.42 to $46.89.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Uncommon 1 per pack

Rare or Mythic 3 per pack

Wildcard 0.9 per pack

Traditional Foil 8.1 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Finale 1 per pack

Uncommon1 per pack

Rare or Mythic3 per pack

Wildcard0.9 per pack

Traditional Foil8.1 per pack

Land1 per pack

Finale1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.00 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	9	$2.83	$0.31	11.5%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	3	$12.29	$4.10	50.0%
Commons & UncommonsOne per pack	1	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.10	$0.10	0.4%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Finale	1	$9.34	$9.34	38.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$24.56	$1.64	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$2.83
11.5%
9 cards per pack · $0.31 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$12.29
50.0%
3 cards per pack · $4.10 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.00
0.0%
1 card per pack · $0.00 per card · One per pack
Lands$0.10
0.4%
1 card per pack · $0.10 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Finale$9.34
38.0%
1 card per pack · $9.34 per card
Pack total, 15 cards$24.56

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$24.56Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$39.22High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$4.95 to $44.17

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Collector Booster Pack

Mana Drain (Showcase) is the best pull at $47.45. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Outlaws of Thunder Junction prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Mana DrainShowcase · Nonfoil · OTP #11	Mythic	$47.45	0.01	1 in 75 packs	$0.63	2.6%
2	ScapeshiftBorderless · Foil · SPG #34	Mythic	$148.62	0.00	1 in 259 packs	$0.57	2.3%
3	Vaultborn TyrantShowcase · Nonfoil · BIG #50	Mythic	$91.72	0.00	1 in 201 packs	$0.46	1.9%
4	Prismatic VistaBorderless · Foil · SPG #38	Mythic	$117.02	0.00	1 in 259 packs	$0.45	1.8%
5	Stoneforge MysticBorderless · Foil · SPG #29	Mythic	$86.28	0.00	1 in 259 packs	$0.33	1.3%
6	Bristly Bill, Spine SowerExtended art · Foil · OTJ #338	Mythic	$86.07	0.00	1 in 259 packs	$0.33	1.3%
7	Simulacrum SynthesizerShowcase · Nonfoil · BIG #36	Mythic	$66.06	0.00	1 in 201 packs	$0.33	1.3%
8	Bristly Bill, Spine SowerExtended art · Nonfoil · OTJ #338	Mythic	$57.11	0.00	1 in 201 packs	$0.28	1.1%
These eight together		$3.38, 13.8% of pack EV. The other $21.18 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Mana Drain

OTP #11

Nonfoil

$47.45

Showcase

EV $0.63 · 1 in 75 packs

#2 Scapeshift

SPG #34

Foil

$148.62

Borderless

EV $0.57 · 1 in 259 packs

#3 Vaultborn Tyrant

BIG #50

Nonfoil

$91.72

Showcase

EV $0.46 · 1 in 201 packs

#4 Prismatic Vista

SPG #38

Foil

$117.02

Borderless

EV $0.45 · 1 in 259 packs

#5 Stoneforge Mystic

SPG #29

Foil

$86.28

Borderless

EV $0.33 · 1 in 259 packs

#6 Bristly Bill, Spine Sower

OTJ #338

Foil

$86.07

Extended art

EV $0.33 · 1 in 259 packs

#7 Simulacrum Synthesizer

BIG #36

Nonfoil

$66.06

Showcase

EV $0.33 · 1 in 201 packs

#8 Bristly Bill, Spine Sower

OTJ #338

Nonfoil

$57.11

Extended art

EV $0.28 · 1 in 201 packs

1
Mana Drain
OTP #11NonfoilShowcase
$47.45 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 75 packs
$0.632.6% of EV
2
Scapeshift
SPG #34FoilBorderless
$148.62 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 259 packs
$0.572.3% of EV
3
Vaultborn Tyrant
BIG #50NonfoilShowcase
$91.72 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 201 packs
$0.461.9% of EV
4
Prismatic Vista
SPG #38FoilBorderless
$117.02 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 259 packs
$0.451.8% of EV
5
Stoneforge Mystic
SPG #29FoilBorderless
$86.28 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 259 packs
$0.331.3% of EV
6
Bristly Bill, Spine Sower
OTJ #338FoilExtended art
$86.07 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 259 packs
$0.331.3% of EV
7
Simulacrum Synthesizer
BIG #36NonfoilShowcase
$66.06 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 201 packs
$0.331.3% of EV
8
Bristly Bill, Spine Sower
OTJ #338NonfoilExtended art
$57.11 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 201 packs
$0.281.1% of EV

These eight together$3.38, 13.8% of pack EV

All Outlaws of Thunder Junction prices

Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Collector Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$20$40Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$46.89Crack EV$24.56Mana Pool$48.571Y low $27.42

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 229 days.

Now: $46.89; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $46.89; At the 1-year high
1-year low: $27.42; Today is 71.0% higher

The Outlaws of Thunder Junction lineup

Every Outlaws of Thunder Junction product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.52×

The Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Collector Booster Pack sells for $46.89 and carries $24.56 in expected card value at market, a 0.52× ratio and $22.33 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.52×

Outlaws of Thunder Junction - Collector Booster Pack FAQ