Is Secret Lair x Stardew Valley: Superdrop of the Moonlight Jellies Prismatic Shard Foil Bundle Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 40 DAYS TRACKEDAs an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
Secret Lair x Stardew Valley: Superdrop of the Moonlight Jellies Prismatic Shard Foil Bundle box price, last 40 days: box from $161.44 to $369.99.
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | $161.48 | $164.69 | $200.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $161.48 | $164.69 | $200.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $161.48 | $164.69 | $199.99 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $161.44 | $164.69 | $199.99 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $162.01 | $154.67 | $195.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $161.95 | $154.67 | $185.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $161.95 | $154.67 | $197.50 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $165.63 | $145.00 | $185.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $166.35 | $154.99 | $185.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $166.35 | $160.00 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $166.42 | $160.00 | $185.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $166.73 | $159.00 | $185.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $166.73 | $159.80 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $167.34 | $159.93 | $185.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $167.62 | $159.00 | $185.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $167.62 | $159.00 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $168.34 | $159.00 | $175.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $168.82 | $159.00 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $169.22 | $159.00 | $180.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | $169.22 | $159.00 | $180.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $170.08 | $159.39 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $170.08 | $159.39 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-23 | $170.70 | $162.00 | $192.50 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-22 | $172.13 | $162.00 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-21 | $173.43 | $160.00 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-20 | $183.39 | $162.85 | $190.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-19 | $183.39 | $164.69 | $200.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-18 | $184.69 | $164.69 | $250.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-17 | $184.69 | $164.69 | $250.00 | $2,369.99 |
| 2026-08-16 | $191.65 | $166.98 | $290.00 | $2,369.99 |
About Secret Lair x Stardew Valley: Superdrop of the Moonlight Jellies Prismatic Shard Foil Bundle
Secret Lair x Stardew Valley: Superdrop of the Moonlight Jellies Prismatic Shard Foil Bundle currently sells for $161.48 at market, down 5.4% over 30 days. All-time tracked high: $369.99 (2026-08-06); low: $161.44 (2026-09-19).
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
40 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.