Is Secret Lair x The Hobbit: A Marvelous Mathoms Superdrop - Riddles in the Dark Foil Bundle Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-24 · 24 DAYS TRACKEDAs an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
Secret Lair x The Hobbit: A Marvelous Mathoms Superdrop - Riddles in the Dark Foil Bundle box price, last 24 days: box from $243.65 to $325.00.
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | $243.65 | $220.99 | $389.10 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-23 | $243.65 | $217.75 | $375.00 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-22 | $248.69 | $217.75 | $230.74 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-21 | $248.69 | $217.75 | $230.74 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | $248.69 | $217.75 | $225.87 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-19 | $248.69 | $219.75 | $230.74 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-18 | $248.69 | $219.75 | $230.74 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-17 | $261.20 | $210.00 | $220.99 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-16 | $267.73 | $195.90 | $220.99 | $494.98 |
| 2026-09-07 | $281.62 | $230.74 | $232.75 | $598.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $294.10 | $230.73 | $232.75 | $598.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $302.86 | $230.74 | $253.97 | $598.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $314.54 | $247.95 | $259.94 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $314.54 | $250.00 | $264.65 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $314.54 | $250.00 | $264.79 | $599.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $314.54 | $279.69 | $287.22 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $314.54 | $294.65 | $304.99 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $322.16 | $299.70 | $309.68 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $322.16 | $304.73 | $318.86 | $494.98 |
| 2026-08-28 | $323.23 | $304.73 | $319.52 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $325.00 | $304.73 | $334.84 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | $325.00 | $304.73 | $334.84 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $325.00 | $310.99 | $325.89 | $599.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $325.00 | $310.99 | $325.89 | $599.99 |
About Secret Lair x The Hobbit: A Marvelous Mathoms Superdrop - Riddles in the Dark Foil Bundle
Secret Lair x The Hobbit: A Marvelous Mathoms Superdrop - Riddles in the Dark Foil Bundle currently sells for $243.65 at market, down 25.0% over 30 days. All-time tracked high: $325.00 (2026-08-24); low: $243.65 (2026-09-23).
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
24 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-24.