Is Secret Lair: Festival in a Box Las Vegas 2024 Bundle Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 727 DAYS TRACKEDAs an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
Secret Lair: Festival in a Box Las Vegas 2024 Bundle box price, last 727 days: box from $365.16 to $592.87.
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | $592.87 | $630.00 | $674.02 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $592.87 | $630.00 | $696.60 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $589.48 | $630.00 | $669.70 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $589.48 | $630.00 | $699.99 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $585.93 | $630.00 | $690.20 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $585.93 | $630.00 | $690.20 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $585.93 | $630.00 | $701.22 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $583.16 | $630.00 | $750.00 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $583.16 | $630.00 | $750.00 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $583.16 | $630.00 | $749.99 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $580.02 | $630.00 | $748.17 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $580.02 | $630.00 | $746.35 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $580.02 | $630.00 | $737.25 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $580.02 | $630.00 | $724.50 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $580.02 | $630.00 | $699.99 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $578.02 | $600.00 | $699.99 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $576.55 | $605.99 | $696.89 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $574.64 | $605.99 | $696.89 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $574.64 | $605.99 | $699.99 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | $574.64 | $605.99 | $699.99 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $574.64 | $605.99 | $696.89 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $574.64 | $605.99 | $696.89 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-23 | $571.60 | $605.99 | $696.89 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-22 | $571.60 | $605.99 | $675.00 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-21 | $571.60 | $605.99 | $650.00 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-20 | $563.45 | $605.99 | $675.00 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-19 | $563.45 | $605.99 | $675.00 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-18 | $563.45 | $605.99 | $675.00 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-17 | $563.45 | $605.99 | $675.00 | $999.99 |
| 2026-08-16 | $563.45 | $605.99 | $675.00 | $999.99 |
About Secret Lair: Festival in a Box Las Vegas 2024 Bundle
Secret Lair: Festival in a Box Las Vegas 2024 Bundle currently sells for $592.87 at market, up 3.7% over 30 days and up 11.1% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $592.87 (2026-09-21); low: $365.16 (2024-09-27).
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
727 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.