Is Secret Lair Drop: Festival in a Box Amsterdam 2026 Bundle Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 61 DAYS TRACKEDAs an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
Secret Lair Drop: Festival in a Box Amsterdam 2026 Bundle box price, last 61 days: box from $285.04 to $467.08.
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | $330.05 | $316.95 | $369.29 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $331.06 | $316.95 | $374.95 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $331.06 | $321.00 | $374.95 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $333.41 | $315.00 | $369.29 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $334.01 | $327.50 | $372.32 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $334.01 | $328.01 | $375.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $332.81 | $328.01 | $372.32 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $318.79 | $325.01 | $377.77 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-06 | $312.95 | $314.99 | $375.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-05 | $308.79 | $309.99 | $375.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-04 | $306.71 | $295.01 | $372.32 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-03 | $305.75 | $309.99 | $375.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-02 | $305.11 | $306.01 | $375.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-09-01 | $303.24 | $306.01 | $369.69 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-31 | $301.48 | $306.01 | $372.32 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-30 | $300.88 | $294.99 | $374.95 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-29 | $300.88 | $303.00 | $374.98 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-28 | $299.92 | $303.00 | $374.95 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-27 | $298.68 | $304.99 | $374.95 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-26 | $298.68 | $304.99 | $374.95 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-25 | $298.92 | $299.99 | $369.69 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-24 | $298.92 | $299.99 | $369.69 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-23 | $298.20 | $290.00 | $359.32 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-22 | $298.88 | $290.00 | $355.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-21 | $300.31 | $290.00 | $355.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-20 | $299.91 | $281.99 | $350.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-19 | $298.15 | $281.99 | $350.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-18 | $298.82 | $290.00 | $350.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-17 | $298.82 | $290.00 | $350.00 | $899.99 |
| 2026-08-16 | $306.53 | $290.00 | $349.95 | $899.99 |
About Secret Lair Drop: Festival in a Box Amsterdam 2026 Bundle
Secret Lair Drop: Festival in a Box Amsterdam 2026 Bundle currently sells for $330.05 at market, up 10.7% over 30 days. All-time tracked high: $467.08 (2026-07-15); low: $285.04 (2026-08-03).
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
61 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.