Is Secret Lair Drop: Equinox Superdrop 2024: Fallout Bundle - Foil Edition Worth Opening?
VERDICT · UPDATED 2026-09-22 · 781 DAYS TRACKEDAs an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. ⓘCommission comes from the marketplace, not you — it never changes what you pay, and never changes which price we show as cheapest.
GLOSSARY What these terms mean
- EV
- Expected value — the probability-weighted average dollar value of what a sealed product contains, based on current singles prices.
- EV ratio
- Median crack EV divided by box price, shown as a multiplier (e.g. 1.10×). Above 1.00× means the modeled contents are worth more than the box; below 1.00× means the box price exceeds them.
- Crack EV
- The median simulated payout from opening one box and selling every card it produced at its current market price.
- Median crack
- The middle outcome across thousands of simulated box openings — half the simulated boxes pay out more than this, half pay out less.
- Spread
- The gap between what a vendor pays to buy a card (bid) and what it charges to sell the same card (ask).
- Bid value
- What a vendor's buylist currently pays for a card, before any fees or store credit bonus.
- Offer gap
- The percentage difference between a vendor's buylist price and its retail price for the same card — tight, normal, or wide.
- Playable
- A printing that is legal in at least one constructed format this site tracks, as opposed to a collector-only variant.
- Lane
- A liquidity grouping used to keep price moves comparable — main-set printings trade differently than foils, serialized cards, and other premium variants, so each lane is tracked on its own.
Secret Lair Drop: Equinox Superdrop 2024: Fallout Bundle - Foil Edition box price, last 781 days: box from $184.77 to $589.98.
| DATE | MARKET | LOW | MID | HIGH ! |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | $589.98 | $699.99 | $849.99 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-21 | $589.98 | $699.99 | $849.99 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-20 | $589.98 | $699.99 | $888.88 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-19 | $589.98 | $699.99 | $888.88 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-18 | $559.94 | $699.99 | $888.88 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-17 | $559.94 | $699.99 | $888.88 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-16 | $559.94 | $699.99 | $888.88 | $999.99 |
| 2026-09-07 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $629.99 | $888.88 |
| 2026-09-06 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-09-05 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-09-04 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-09-03 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-09-02 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-09-01 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-31 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-30 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-29 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-28 | $522.41 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-27 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-26 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-25 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-24 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-23 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-22 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-21 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-20 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-19 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-18 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-17 | $497.87 | $559.99 | $609.98 | $888.88 |
| 2026-08-16 | $497.87 | $609.98 | $629.99 | $888.88 |
About Secret Lair Drop: Equinox Superdrop 2024: Fallout Bundle - Foil Edition
Secret Lair Drop: Equinox Superdrop 2024: Fallout Bundle - Foil Edition currently sells for $589.98 at market, up 18.5% over 30 days and up 47.8% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $589.98 (2026-09-19); low: $184.77 (2024-07-14).
Official Wizards of the Coast pack odds mapped to each slot's eligible card pool.
TCGplayer Market Price, refreshed daily. Market reflects closed sales, not active listings.
Monte-Carlo simulation of 10,000 box opens, with pull-rate variance modeled per slot.
P25 / median / P75 from the same simulation. "Low" = a quarter of boxes open below it.
Excluded from EV. Their per-box odds are near zero and would distort the median.
781 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-09-22.