Tarkir: Dragonstorm Sealed · Booster pack

Is Tarkir: Dragonstorm - Collector Booster Sample Pack Worth Opening?

Tarkir: DragonstormTDM

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $6.56

1-year range $3.02$6.67 1.6% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.48×

EV $3.17, $3.39 less card value than the pack costs.

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Tarkir: Dragonstorm - Collector Booster Sample Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $3.17, or 0.48× the $6.56 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $3.17 vs $6.56 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $3.17 of the $3.17 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 207.1% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$3.39 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6$8

$3.17 100.0%

$0.00 0.0%

$3.17 100%

−$3.39 card value below the pack price

Pack price$6.56

Wildcard / Treatment2 slots per pack

Rare / MythicOne per pack

Commons & Uncommons

LandsBasic or showcase land

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $6.56

Wildcard / Treatment$3.17 · 100.0%

Rare / Mythic$0.00 · 0.0%

Commons & Uncommons$0.00 · 0.0%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$3.17

$3.39 under price

About Tarkir: Dragonstorm - Collector Booster Sample Pack

At $6.56 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $3.02 to $6.67.

What’s in the pack

2 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil 1.2 per pack

Wildcard0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil1.2 per pack

2 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 2 cards that carry value, priced at market.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	2	$3.17	$1.58	100.0%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Commons & Uncommons	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
LandsBasic or showcase land	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 2 cards	2	$3.17	$1.58	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$3.17
100.0%
2 cards per pack · $1.58 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card
Lands$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 2 cards$3.17

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$3.17Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$8.16High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $8.16

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Tarkir: Dragonstorm - Collector Booster Sample Pack

Elspeth, Storm Slayer (Borderless) is the best pull at $54.13. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Tarkir: Dragonstorm prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Elspeth, Storm SlayerBorderless · Nonfoil · TDM #398	Mythic	$54.13	0.01	1 in 179 packs	$0.30	9.5%
2	Ugin, Eye of the Storms // Ugin, Eye of the StormsBorderless · Nonfoil · TDM #382	Mythic	$45.39	0.01	1 in 179 packs	$0.25	7.9%
3	Voice of VictoryShowcase · Nonfoil · TDM #331	Rare	$20.28	0.01	1 in 87 packs	$0.23	7.3%
4	Craterhoof BehemothShowcase · Nonfoil · TDM #346	Mythic	$27.17	0.00	1 in 213 packs	$0.13	4.1%
5	Mistrise VillageBorderless · Nonfoil · TDM #397	Rare	$8.29	0.01	1 in 87 packs	$0.10	3.2%
6	Voice of VictoryShowcase · Foil · TDM #331	Rare	$32.83	0.00	1 in 350 packs	$0.09	2.8%
7	Mox JasperShowcase · Nonfoil · TDM #325	Mythic	$20.47	0.00	1 in 245 packs	$0.08	2.5%
8	Elspeth, Storm SlayerBorderless · Foil · TDM #398	Mythic	$56.68	0.00	1 in 714 packs	$0.08	2.5%
These eight together		$1.26, 39.7% of pack EV. The other $1.91 comes from the rest of the set.

Ugin, Eye of the Storms // Ugin, Eye of the Storms, borderless

#1 Elspeth, Storm Slayer

TDM #398

Nonfoil

$54.13

Borderless

EV $0.30 · 1 in 179 packs

#2 Ugin, Eye of the Storms // Ugin, Eye of the Storms

TDM #382

Nonfoil

$45.39

Borderless

EV $0.25 · 1 in 179 packs

#3 Voice of Victory

TDM #331

Nonfoil

$20.28

Showcase

EV $0.23 · 1 in 87 packs

#4 Craterhoof Behemoth

TDM #346

Nonfoil

$27.17

Showcase

EV $0.13 · 1 in 213 packs

#5 Mistrise Village

TDM #397

Nonfoil

$8.29

Borderless

EV $0.10 · 1 in 87 packs

#6 Voice of Victory

TDM #331

Foil

$32.83

Showcase

EV $0.09 · 1 in 350 packs

#7 Mox Jasper

TDM #325

Nonfoil

$20.47

Showcase

EV $0.08 · 1 in 245 packs

#8 Elspeth, Storm Slayer

TDM #398

Foil

$56.68

Borderless

EV $0.08 · 1 in 714 packs

1
Elspeth, Storm Slayer
TDM #398NonfoilBorderless
$54.13 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 179 packs
$0.309.5% of EV
2
Ugin, Eye of the Storms // Ugin, Eye of the Storms
TDM #382NonfoilBorderless
$45.39 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 179 packs
$0.257.9% of EV
3
Voice of Victory
TDM #331NonfoilShowcase
$20.28 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 87 packs
$0.237.3% of EV
4
Craterhoof Behemoth
TDM #346NonfoilShowcase
$27.17 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 213 packs
$0.134.1% of EV
5
Mistrise Village
TDM #397NonfoilBorderless
$8.29 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 87 packs
$0.103.2% of EV
6
Voice of Victory
TDM #331FoilShowcase
$32.83 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 350 packs
$0.092.8% of EV
7
Mox Jasper
TDM #325NonfoilShowcase
$20.47 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 245 packs
$0.082.5% of EV
8
Elspeth, Storm Slayer
TDM #398FoilBorderless
$56.68 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 714 packs
$0.082.5% of EV

These eight together$1.26, 39.7% of pack EV

All Tarkir: Dragonstorm prices

Tarkir: Dragonstorm - Collector Booster Sample Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$4$6Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$6.56Crack EV$3.17Mana Pool$6.56Crack EV tracked since Oct 71Y low $3.02

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 35 days.

Now: $6.56; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $6.67; 1.7% above today
1-year low: $3.02; Today is 117.2% higher

The Tarkir: Dragonstorm lineup

Every Tarkir: Dragonstorm product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.48×

The Tarkir: Dragonstorm - Collector Booster Sample Pack sells for $6.56 and carries $3.17 in expected card value at market, a 0.48× ratio and $3.39 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.48×

Tarkir: Dragonstorm - Collector Booster Sample Pack FAQ