The Hobbit Sealed · Booster pack

Is The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack Worth Opening?

The HobbitHOB

TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $5.05

1-year range $5.05$14.89 66.1% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.39×

EV $1.98, $3.07 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $5.05 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $3.98, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $1.98, or 0.39× the $5.05 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $1.98 vs $5.05 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.49 of the $1.98 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 255.1% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$3.07 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6

$0.49 24.9%

$1.49 75.1%

$0.00 0.0%

$1.98 100%

−$3.07 card value below the pack price

Pack price$5.05

Wildcard / Treatment2 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons10 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $5.05

Wildcard / Treatment$0.49 · 24.9%

Rare / Mythic$1.49 · 75.1%

Commons & Uncommons$0.00 · 0.0%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$1.98

$3.07 under price

About The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack

At $5.05 it trades near the bottom of its one-year range of $5.05 to $14.89.

What’s in the pack

14 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 7 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 1 per pack

Traditional Foil 1 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common7 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard1 per pack

Traditional Foil1 per pack

Land1 per pack

14 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 14 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.00 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	2	$0.49	$0.25	24.9%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$1.49	$1.49	75.1%
Commons & UncommonsTen per pack	10	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 14 cards	14	$1.98	$0.14	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.49
24.9%
2 cards per pack · $0.25 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$1.49
75.1%
1 card per pack · $1.49 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.00
0.0%
10 cards per pack · $0.00 per card · Ten per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
1 card per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 14 cards$1.98

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$1.98Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$5.65High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $5.65

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack

Gleaming Splendor is the best pull at $33.89. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All The Hobbit prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Gleaming SplendorMain set · Nonfoil · HOB #15	Mythic	$33.89	0.01	1 in 114 packs	$0.30	15.2%
2	Smaug the MagnificentMain set · Nonfoil · HOB #110	Mythic	$20.71	0.01	1 in 114 packs	$0.18	9.1%
3	The Queen of DaleMain set · Nonfoil · HOB #24	Mythic	$16.80	0.01	1 in 114 packs	$0.15	7.6%
4	Orcrist, Goblin-cleaverMain set · Nonfoil · HOB #177	Mythic	$8.19	0.01	1 in 114 packs	$0.07	3.5%
5	Gleaming SplendorBorderless · Nonfoil · HOB #239	Mythic	$54.38	0.00	1 in 800 packs	$0.07	3.5%
6	Wizard's StaffMain set · Nonfoil · HOB #59	Rare	$3.23	0.02	1 in 50 packs	$0.06	3.0%
7	The Arkenstone // Seek the HeartBorderless · Nonfoil · HOB #247	Mythic	$41.72	0.00	1 in 800 packs	$0.05	2.5%
8	The Arkenstone // Seek the HeartMain set · Nonfoil · HOB #170	Mythic	$6.72	0.01	1 in 133 packs	$0.05	2.5%
These eight together		$0.93, 47.0% of pack EV. The other $1.05 comes from the rest of the set.

The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart, borderless

#1 Gleaming Splendor

HOB #15

Nonfoil

$33.89

EV $0.30 · 1 in 114 packs

#2 Smaug the Magnificent

HOB #110

Nonfoil

$20.71

EV $0.18 · 1 in 114 packs

#3 The Queen of Dale

HOB #24

Nonfoil

$16.80

EV $0.15 · 1 in 114 packs

#4 Orcrist, Goblin-cleaver

HOB #177

Nonfoil

$8.19

EV $0.07 · 1 in 114 packs

#5 Gleaming Splendor

HOB #239

Nonfoil

$54.38

Borderless

EV $0.07 · 1 in 800 packs

#6 Wizard's Staff

HOB #59

Nonfoil

$3.23

EV $0.06 · 1 in 50 packs

#7 The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart

HOB #247

Nonfoil

$41.72

Borderless

EV $0.05 · 1 in 800 packs

#8 The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart

HOB #170

Nonfoil

$6.72

EV $0.05 · 1 in 133 packs

1
Gleaming Splendor
HOB #15Nonfoil
$33.89 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 114 packs
$0.3015.2% of EV
2
Smaug the Magnificent
HOB #110Nonfoil
$20.71 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 114 packs
$0.189.1% of EV
3
The Queen of Dale
HOB #24Nonfoil
$16.80 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 114 packs
$0.157.6% of EV
4
Orcrist, Goblin-cleaver
HOB #177Nonfoil
$8.19 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 114 packs
$0.073.5% of EV
5
Gleaming Splendor
HOB #239NonfoilBorderless
$54.38 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 800 packs
$0.073.5% of EV
6
Wizard's Staff
HOB #59Nonfoil
$3.23 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 50 packs
$0.063.0% of EV
7
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart
HOB #247NonfoilBorderless
$41.72 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 800 packs
$0.052.5% of EV
8
The Arkenstone // Seek the Heart
HOB #170Nonfoil
$6.72 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 133 packs
$0.052.5% of EV

These eight together$0.93, 47.0% of pack EV

All The Hobbit prices

The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, 139 days tracked, against its crack EV.

$5$10$15MayJulAugSepNovPack price$5.05Crack EV$1.98Mana Pool$3.98Crack EV tracked since Sep 3High $14.89Low $5.05

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 9, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 68 days.

Now: $5.05; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $14.89; 194.9% above today
1-year low: $5.05; At the 1-year low

The The Hobbit lineup

Every The Hobbit product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.39×

The The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack sells for $5.05 and carries $1.98 in expected card value at market, a 0.39× ratio and $3.07 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.39×

The Hobbit - Play Booster Pack FAQ