Conspiracy Sealed · Booster pack

Is Conspiracy - Booster Pack Worth Opening?

ConspiracyCNS

TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $9.88

1-year range $6.35$9.88 At the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price HOLD

0.79×

EV $7.83, $2.05 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $9.88 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $6.99, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Conspiracy - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $7.83, or 0.79× the $9.88 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $7.83 vs $9.88 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $1.03 of the $7.83 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 126.2% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$2.05 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6$8$10$12

$1.03 13.2%

$4.46 57.0%

$2.34 29.9%

$0.00 0.0%

$7.83 100%

−$2.05 card value below the pack price

Pack price$9.88

Wildcard / Treatment2 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons12 slots per pack

LandsBasic or showcase land

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $9.88

Wildcard / Treatment$1.03 · 13.2%

Rare / Mythic$4.46 · 57.0%

Commons & Uncommons$2.34 · 29.9%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$7.83

$2.05 under price

About Conspiracy - Booster Pack

At $9.88 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $6.35 to $9.88.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 1.8 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

Common9 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard1.8 per pack

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.19 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	2	$1.03	$0.52	13.2%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$4.46	$4.46	57.0%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	12	$2.34	$0.19	29.9%
LandsBasic or showcase land	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$7.83	$0.52	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$1.03
13.2%
2 cards per pack · $0.52 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$4.46
57.0%
1 card per pack · $4.46 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$2.34
29.9%
12 cards per pack · $0.19 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 15 cards$7.83

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$7.83Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$14.20High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.73 to $14.93

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Conspiracy - Booster Pack

Treasonous Ogre is the best pull at $19.10. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Conspiracy prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Treasonous OgreMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #36	Uncommon	$19.10	0.05	1 in 20 packs	$0.96	12.3%
2	ExplorationMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #164	Rare	$33.82	0.03	1 in 40 packs	$0.85	10.9%
3	Altar of DementiaMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #196	Rare	$18.56	0.03	1 in 40 packs	$0.46	5.9%
4	Reflecting PoolMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #210	Rare	$17.05	0.03	1 in 40 packs	$0.43	5.5%
5	Vedalken OrreryMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #206	Rare	$16.43	0.03	1 in 40 packs	$0.41	5.2%
6	StifleMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #108	Rare	$14.45	0.03	1 in 40 packs	$0.36	4.6%
7	MisdirectionMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #102	Rare	$13.88	0.03	1 in 40 packs	$0.35	4.5%
8	BrainstormMain set · Nonfoil · CNS #91	Common	$2.64	0.12	1 in 8 packs	$0.32	4.1%
These eight together		$4.14, 52.9% of pack EV. The other $3.69 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Treasonous Ogre

CNS #36

Nonfoil

$19.10

EV $0.96 · 1 in 20 packs

#2 Exploration

CNS #164

Nonfoil

$33.82

EV $0.85 · 1 in 40 packs

#3 Altar of Dementia

CNS #196

Nonfoil

$18.56

EV $0.46 · 1 in 40 packs

#4 Reflecting Pool

CNS #210

Nonfoil

$17.05

EV $0.43 · 1 in 40 packs

#5 Vedalken Orrery

CNS #206

Nonfoil

$16.43

EV $0.41 · 1 in 40 packs

#6 Stifle

CNS #108

Nonfoil

$14.45

EV $0.36 · 1 in 40 packs

#7 Misdirection

CNS #102

Nonfoil

$13.88

EV $0.35 · 1 in 40 packs

#8 Brainstorm

CNS #91

Nonfoil

$2.64

EV $0.32 · 1 in 8 packs

1
Treasonous Ogre
CNS #36Nonfoil
$19.10 market · 0.05 per pack · 1 in 20 packs
$0.9612.3% of EV
2
Exploration
CNS #164Nonfoil
$33.82 market · 0.03 per pack · 1 in 40 packs
$0.8510.9% of EV
3
Altar of Dementia
CNS #196Nonfoil
$18.56 market · 0.03 per pack · 1 in 40 packs
$0.465.9% of EV
4
Reflecting Pool
CNS #210Nonfoil
$17.05 market · 0.03 per pack · 1 in 40 packs
$0.435.5% of EV
5
Vedalken Orrery
CNS #206Nonfoil
$16.43 market · 0.03 per pack · 1 in 40 packs
$0.415.2% of EV
6
Stifle
CNS #108Nonfoil
$14.45 market · 0.03 per pack · 1 in 40 packs
$0.364.6% of EV
7
Misdirection
CNS #102Nonfoil
$13.88 market · 0.03 per pack · 1 in 40 packs
$0.354.5% of EV
8
Brainstorm
CNS #91Nonfoil
$2.64 market · 0.12 per pack · 1 in 8 packs
$0.324.1% of EV

These eight together$4.14, 52.9% of pack EV

All Conspiracy prices

Conspiracy - Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$2.50$5$7.50$10Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$9.88Crack EV$7.83Mana Pool$6.991Y low $6.35

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 8, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 237 days.

Now: $9.88; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $9.88; At the 1-year high
1-year low: $6.35; Today is 55.6% higher

The Conspiracy lineup

Every Conspiracy product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Hold 0.79×

The Conspiracy - Booster Pack sells for $9.88 and carries $7.83 in expected card value at market, a 0.79× ratio and $2.05 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× This pack, 0.79×

Skip under 0.75× Pass.

Conspiracy - Booster Pack FAQ