Core Set 2021 Sealed · Booster pack

Is Core Set 2021 - Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Core Set 2021M21

TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $6.37

1-year range $4.39$6.40 0.5% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.47×

EV $2.97, $3.40 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $6.37 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $5.99, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Core Set 2021 - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $2.97, or 0.47× the $6.37 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $2.97 vs $6.37 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.19 of the $2.97 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 214.3% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$3.40 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6$8

$0.19 6.3%

$2.40 80.6%

$0.16 5.3%

$0.08 2.7%

$0.15 5.1%

$2.97 100%

−$3.40 card value below the pack price

Pack price$6.37

Wildcard / Treatment0 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons3 slots per pack

Lands11 slots per pack

Bonus sheet0 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $6.37

Wildcard / Treatment$0.19 · 6.3%

Rare / Mythic$2.40 · 80.6%

Commons & Uncommons$0.16 · 5.3%

Lands$0.08 · 2.7%

Bonus sheet$0.15 · 5.1%

Pack EV$2.97

$3.40 under price

About Core Set 2021 - Booster Pack

At $6.37 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $4.39 to $6.40.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.3 per pack

Land 10.7 per pack

Bonus Sheet 0.0 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Traditional Foil0.3 per pack

Land10.7 per pack

Bonus Sheet0.0 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.05 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	0.3	$0.19	$0.63	6.3%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$2.40	$2.40	80.6%
Commons & UncommonsThree per pack	3	$0.16	$0.05	5.3%
LandsBasic or showcase land	10.7	$0.08	$0.01	2.7%
Bonus sheet	0.0	$0.15	$4.51	5.1%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$2.97	$0.20	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.19
6.3%
0.3 cards per pack · $0.63 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$2.40
80.6%
1 card per pack · $2.40 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.16
5.3%
3 cards per pack · $0.05 per card · Three per pack
Lands$0.08
2.7%
10.7 cards per pack · $0.01 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.15
5.1%
0.0 cards per pack · $4.51 per card
Pack total, 15 cards$2.97

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$2.97Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$7.09High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $7.09

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Core Set 2021 - Booster Pack

Chromatic Orrery is the best pull at $34.76. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Core Set 2021 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Chromatic OrreryMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #228	Mythic	$34.76	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.29	9.8%
2	Heroic InterventionMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #188	Rare	$17.35	0.02	1 in 61 packs	$0.29	9.8%
3	Terror of the PeaksMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #164	Mythic	$30.62	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.25	8.4%
4	Grim TutorMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #103	Mythic	$25.27	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.21	7.1%
5	Azusa, Lost but SeekingMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #173	Rare	$11.49	0.02	1 in 61 packs	$0.19	6.4%
6	Vito, Thorn of the Dusk RoseMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #127	Rare	$10.99	0.02	1 in 61 packs	$0.18	6.1%
7	Fiery EmancipationMain set · Nonfoil · M21 #143	Mythic	$12.76	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.11	3.7%
8	Grim TutorBorderless · Nonfoil · M21 #315	Mythic	$25.24	0.00	1 in 300 packs	$0.08	2.7%
These eight together		$1.60, 53.9% of pack EV. The other $1.37 comes from the rest of the set.

Terror of the Peaks — The three mythics, $34.76, $30.62 and $25.27. Each turns up about once in 121 packs.

#1 Chromatic Orrery

M21 #228

Nonfoil

$34.76

EV $0.29 · 1 in 121 packs

#2 Heroic Intervention

M21 #188

Nonfoil

$17.35

EV $0.29 · 1 in 61 packs

#3 Terror of the Peaks

M21 #164

Nonfoil

$30.62

EV $0.25 · 1 in 121 packs

#4 Grim Tutor

M21 #103

Nonfoil

$25.27

EV $0.21 · 1 in 121 packs

#5 Azusa, Lost but Seeking

M21 #173

Nonfoil

$11.49

EV $0.19 · 1 in 61 packs

#6 Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose

M21 #127

Nonfoil

$10.99

EV $0.18 · 1 in 61 packs

#7 Fiery Emancipation

M21 #143

Nonfoil

$12.76

EV $0.11 · 1 in 121 packs

#8 Grim Tutor

M21 #315

Nonfoil

$25.24

Borderless

EV $0.08 · 1 in 300 packs

1
Chromatic Orrery
M21 #228Nonfoil
$34.76 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.299.8% of EV
2
Heroic Intervention
M21 #188Nonfoil
$17.35 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 61 packs
$0.299.8% of EV
3
Terror of the Peaks
M21 #164Nonfoil
$30.62 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.258.4% of EV
4
Grim Tutor
M21 #103Nonfoil
$25.27 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.217.1% of EV
5
Azusa, Lost but Seeking
M21 #173Nonfoil
$11.49 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 61 packs
$0.196.4% of EV
6
Vito, Thorn of the Dusk Rose
M21 #127Nonfoil
$10.99 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 61 packs
$0.186.1% of EV
7
Fiery Emancipation
M21 #143Nonfoil
$12.76 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.113.7% of EV
8
Grim Tutor
M21 #315NonfoilBorderless
$25.24 market · 0.00 per pack · 1 in 300 packs
$0.082.7% of EV

These eight together$1.60, 53.9% of pack EV

All Core Set 2021 prices

Core Set 2021 - Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$2$4$6Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$6.37Crack EV$2.97Mana Pool$5.991Y low $4.39

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 8, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 237 days.

Now: $6.37; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $6.40; 0.5% above today
1-year low: $4.39; Today is 45.1% higher

The Core Set 2021 lineup

Every Core Set 2021 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.47×

The Core Set 2021 - Booster Pack sells for $6.37 and carries $2.97 in expected card value at market, a 0.47× ratio and $3.40 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.47×

Core Set 2021 - Booster Pack FAQ