EV $0.80 · 1 in 121 packs
Fourth Edition Sealed · Booster pack
Is Fourth Edition - Booster Pack Worth Opening?
TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $41.07
1-year range $35.16$46.01 10.7% below the 1-year high
Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP
0.16×
EV $6.77, $34.30 less card value than the pack costs.
TCGplayer, $41.07 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $40.00, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)
Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 8, 2026, before shipping.
Fourth Edition - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot
Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $6.78, or 0.16× the $41.07 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.
EV per pack $6.78 vs $41.07 paid per pack
Break-even sell-through 606.1% of market value covers the pack
Card value below price −$34.29 before fees and shipping
$0$10$20$30$40$50 Pack price$41.07
$0.00 0.0%
$3.35 49.5%
$3.42 50.5%
$0.00 0.0%
$6.78 100%
−$34.29 card value below the pack price
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack
Commons & Uncommons14 slots per pack
LandsBasic or showcase land
Pack EVSum of every slot
Pack price $41.07
Wildcard / Treatment$0.00 · 0.0%
Rare / Mythic$3.35 · 49.5%
Commons & Uncommons$3.42 · 50.5%
Lands$0.00 · 0.0%
Pack EV$6.78
$34.29 under price
About Fourth Edition - Booster Pack
At $41.07 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $35.16 to $46.01.
What’s in the pack
15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations Common 11 per pack
Uncommon 3 per pack
Rare or Mythic 1 per pack
Common11 per pack
Uncommon3 per pack
Rare or Mythic1 per pack
15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.
Where your value comes from
The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.24 apiece.
| Slot | Cards | EV per pack | Per card | Share of pack EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Rare / MythicOne per pack | 1 | $3.35 | $3.35 | 49.5% |
| Commons & UncommonsFourteen per pack | 14 | $3.42 | $0.24 | 50.5% |
| LandsBasic or showcase land | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product | 0 | $0.00 | n/a | 0.0% |
| Pack total, 15 cards | 15 | $6.78 | $0.45 | 100% |
Wildcard / Treatment$0.00
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$3.35
1 card per pack · $3.35 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$3.42
14 cards per pack · $0.24 per card · Fourteen per pack
Lands$0.00
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
- Pack total, 15 cards$6.78
Outcome rangeOne pack
Likely range for one pack
The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.
Mean$6.77Equals the pack EV
Middle half spans$14.08High end minus low end
Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.
The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.
How we price a packMiddle half of modeled outcomes
$0.00 to $14.08
- Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
- Mean
- Pack price
Best Pulls in Fourth Edition - Booster Pack
Mana Vault is the best pull at $96.69. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.
| # | Card | Rarity | Market | Pulls | Odds | EV | Share of EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mana VaultMain set · Nonfoil · 4ED #334 | Rare | $96.69 | 0.01 | 1 in 121 packs | $0.80 | 11.8% |
| 2 | Dark RitualMain set · Nonfoil · 4ED #129 | Common | $6.74 | 0.09 | 1 in 11 packs | $0.61 | 9.0% |
| 3 | Red Elemental BlastMain set · Nonfoil · 4ED #218 | Common | $5.62 | 0.09 | 1 in 11 packs | $0.51 | 7.5% |
| 4 | Strip MineMain set · Nonfoil · 4ED #363 | Uncommon | $19.22 | 0.02 | 1 in 40 packs | $0.48 | 7.1% |
| 5 | Sylvan LibraryMain set · Nonfoil · 4ED #273 | Rare | $32.93 | 0.01 | 1 in 121 packs | $0.27 | 4.0% |
| 6 | Lightning BoltMain set · Nonfoil · 4ED #208 | Common | $2.39 | 0.09 | 1 in 11 packs | $0.22 | 3.2% |
| 7 | Mishra's FactoryMain set · Nonfoil · 4ED #361 | Uncommon | $8.60 | 0.02 | 1 in 40 packs | $0.21 | 3.1% |
| 8 | Animate DeadMain set · Nonfoil · 4ED #118 | Uncommon | $7.23 | 0.02 | 1 in 40 packs | $0.18 | 2.7% |
| These eight together | $3.28, 48.4% of pack EV. The other $3.49 comes from the rest of the set. | ||||||
EV $0.61 · 1 in 11 packs
EV $0.51 · 1 in 11 packs
EV $0.48 · 1 in 40 packs
EV $0.27 · 1 in 121 packs
EV $0.22 · 1 in 11 packs
EV $0.21 · 1 in 40 packs
EV $0.18 · 1 in 40 packs
- 1
$0.8011.8% of EV
- 2
$0.619.0% of EV
- 3
$0.517.5% of EV
- 4
$0.487.1% of EV
- 5
$0.274.0% of EV
- 6
$0.223.2% of EV
- 7
$0.213.1% of EV
- 8
$0.182.7% of EV
These eight together$3.28, 48.4% of pack EV
All Fourth Edition pricesFourth Edition - Booster Pack Price History
TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.
$-0$20$40Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$41.07Crack EV$6.77Mana Pool$40.001Y high $46.011Y low $35.16
Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed
Crack EV has held below pack price for 238 days.
- Now
- $41.07
- TCGplayer market
- 1-year high
- $46.01
- 12.0% above today
- 1-year low
- $35.16
- Today is 16.8% higher
The Fourth Edition lineup
Every Fourth Edition product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.
Crack or keep sealed
EV Notes
Verdict: Skip 0.16×
The Fourth Edition - Booster Pack sells for $41.07 and carries $6.77 in expected card value at market, a 0.16× ratio and $34.30 less than the pack costs.
Five-tier verdictEV ratio
Crack 1.10× and up Open it.
Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.
Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.
Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.
Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.16×
Fourth Edition - Booster Pack FAQ
Is Fourth Edition - Booster Pack worth opening?
Pass. Mean expected value is $6.77 against a $41.07 pack price (0.16× EV ratio), EV as of 2026-11-08.
How many packs are in Fourth Edition - Booster Pack?
Fourth Edition - Booster Pack contains 1 pack.
What is the best card you can pull from Fourth Edition - Booster Pack?
The top pull by value is Mana Vault (about $96.69), with roughly a 0.8% chance per pack.
Details and daily prices
Fourth Edition - Booster Pack currently sells for $41.07 at market, down 1.6% over 30 days and up 1.1% over 90 days. All-time tracked high: $76.87 (2022-01-30); low: $35.16 (2025-12-14).
1888 daily snapshots. Last update 2026-11-08.
Daily prices, last 30 snapshots
| Date | Market | Low | Mid | High |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-08 | $41.07 | $47.00 | $50.81 | $75.00 |
| 2026-11-07 | $41.07 | $47.00 | $50.81 | $75.00 |
| 2026-11-06 | $41.07 | $47.00 | $50.81 | $75.00 |
| 2026-11-05 | $41.07 | $44.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-11-04 | $41.07 | $44.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-11-03 | $41.43 | $39.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-11-02 | $41.43 | $39.00 | $49.45 | $75.00 |
| 2026-11-01 | $41.43 | $39.00 | $49.45 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-31 | $41.43 | $39.00 | $49.45 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-30 | $41.43 | $39.00 | $49.45 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-29 | $41.43 | $39.00 | $48.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-28 | $41.43 | $39.00 | $48.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-27 | $41.43 | $39.00 | $49.45 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-26 | $41.79 | $39.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-25 | $41.79 | $39.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-24 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-23 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-22 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | $42.01 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | $41.96 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | $41.91 | $37.95 | $49.45 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | $41.84 | $37.95 | $49.45 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | $41.84 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | $41.79 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | $41.74 | $38.00 | $49.95 | $75.00 |