Innistrad Sealed · Booster pack

Is Innistrad - Booster Pack Worth Opening?

InnistradISD

TCGplayer market · Nov 10, 2026 $18.77

1-year range $17.37$20.92 10.3% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.15×

EV $2.87, $15.90 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $18.77, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $19.00 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Innistrad - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $2.87, or 0.15× the $18.77 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $2.87 vs $18.77 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.56 of the $2.87 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 654.4% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$15.90 before fees and shipping

$0$5$10$15$20

$0.56 19.5%

$1.78 62.0%

$0.35 12.2%

$0.00 0.0%

$0.18 6.3%

$2.87 100%

−$15.90 card value below the pack price

Pack price$18.77

Wildcard / Treatment1 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons11 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Dfc1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $18.77

Wildcard / Treatment$0.56 · 19.5%

Rare / Mythic$1.78 · 62.0%

Commons & Uncommons$0.35 · 12.2%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Dfc$0.18 · 6.3%

Pack EV$2.87

$15.90 under price

About Innistrad - Booster Pack

At $18.77 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $17.37 to $20.92.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 8 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Dfc 1 per pack

Common8 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

Land1 per pack

Dfc1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.03 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	1	$0.56	$0.56	19.5%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$1.78	$1.78	62.0%
Commons & UncommonsEleven per pack	11	$0.35	$0.03	12.2%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Dfc	1	$0.18	$0.18	6.3%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$2.87	$0.19	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.56
19.5%
1 card per pack · $0.56 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$1.78
62.0%
1 card per pack · $1.78 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.35
12.2%
11 cards per pack · $0.03 per card · Eleven per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
1 card per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Dfc$0.18
6.3%
1 card per pack · $0.18 per card
Pack total, 15 cards$2.87

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$2.87Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$7.16High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $7.16

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Innistrad - Booster Pack

Parallel Lives is the best pull at $36.88. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Innistrad prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Parallel LivesMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #199	Rare	$36.88	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.61	21.3%
2	Snapcaster MageMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #78	Rare	$15.72	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.26	9.1%
3	Balefire DragonMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #129	Mythic	$17.35	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.14	4.9%
4	Bloodline Keeper // Lord of LineageMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #90	Rare	$8.51	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.14	4.9%
5	MoonmistMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #195	Common	$1.45	0.09	1 in 12 packs	$0.13	4.5%
6	Liliana of the VeilMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #105	Mythic	$10.02	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.08	2.8%
7	Gavony TownshipMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #239	Rare	$4.92	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.08	2.8%
8	Endless Ranks of the DeadMain set · Nonfoil · ISD #99	Rare	$4.84	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.08	2.8%
These eight together		$1.52, 53.0% of pack EV. The other $1.35 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Parallel Lives

ISD #199

Nonfoil

$36.88

EV $0.61 · 1 in 60 packs

#2 Snapcaster Mage

ISD #78

Nonfoil

$15.72

EV $0.26 · 1 in 60 packs

#3 Balefire Dragon

ISD #129

Nonfoil

$17.35

EV $0.14 · 1 in 121 packs

#4 Bloodline Keeper // Lord of Lineage

ISD #90

Nonfoil

$8.51

EV $0.14 · 1 in 60 packs

#5 Moonmist

ISD #195

Nonfoil

$1.45

EV $0.13 · 1 in 12 packs

#6 Liliana of the Veil

ISD #105

Nonfoil

$10.02

EV $0.08 · 1 in 121 packs

#7 Gavony Township

ISD #239

Nonfoil

$4.92

EV $0.08 · 1 in 60 packs

#8 Endless Ranks of the Dead

ISD #99

Nonfoil

$4.84

EV $0.08 · 1 in 60 packs

1
Parallel Lives
ISD #199Nonfoil
$36.88 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.6121.3% of EV
2
Snapcaster Mage
ISD #78Nonfoil
$15.72 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.269.1% of EV
3
Balefire Dragon
ISD #129Nonfoil
$17.35 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.144.9% of EV
4
Bloodline Keeper // Lord of Lineage
ISD #90Nonfoil
$8.51 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.144.9% of EV
5
Moonmist
ISD #195Nonfoil
$1.45 market · 0.09 per pack · 1 in 12 packs
$0.134.5% of EV
6
Liliana of the Veil
ISD #105Nonfoil
$10.02 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.082.8% of EV
7
Gavony Township
ISD #239Nonfoil
$4.92 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.082.8% of EV
8
Endless Ranks of the Dead
ISD #99Nonfoil
$4.84 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.082.8% of EV

These eight together$1.52, 53.0% of pack EV

All Innistrad prices

Innistrad - Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$-0$10$20Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$18.77Crack EV$2.87Mana Pool$19.001Y high $20.921Y low $17.37

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 10, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 238 days.

Now: $18.77; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $20.92; 11.5% above today
1-year low: $17.37; Today is 8.1% higher

The Innistrad lineup

Every Innistrad product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.15×

The Innistrad - Booster Pack sells for $18.77 and carries $2.87 in expected card value at market, a 0.15× ratio and $15.90 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.15×

Innistrad - Booster Pack FAQ