Magic 2011 Sealed · Booster pack

Is Magic 2011 (M11) - Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Magic 2011M11

TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $14.36

1-year range $13.62$14.56 1.4% below the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.38×

EV $5.45, $8.91 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $14.36, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $15.30 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Magic 2011 (M11) - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $5.45, or 0.38× the $14.36 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $5.45 vs $14.36 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.75 of the $5.45 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 263.4% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$8.91 before fees and shipping

$0$5$10$15

$0.75 13.7%

$2.62 48.1%

$2.08 38.2%

$0.00 0.0%

$5.45 100%

−$8.91 card value below the pack price

Pack price$14.36

Wildcard / Treatment1 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons12 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $14.36

Wildcard / Treatment$0.75 · 13.7%

Rare / Mythic$2.62 · 48.1%

Commons & Uncommons$2.08 · 38.2%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$5.45

$8.91 under price

About Magic 2011 (M11) - Booster Pack

At $14.36 it trades in the middle of its one-year range of $13.62 to $14.56.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common9 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

Land1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.17 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	1	$0.75	$0.75	13.7%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$2.62	$2.62	48.1%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	12	$2.08	$0.17	38.2%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$5.45	$0.36	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.75
13.7%
1 card per pack · $0.75 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$2.62
48.1%
1 card per pack · $2.62 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$2.08
38.2%
12 cards per pack · $0.17 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
1 card per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 15 cards$5.45

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$5.45Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$8.93High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.99 to $9.92

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Magic 2011 (M11) - Booster Pack

Pyretic Ritual is the best pull at $6.52. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Magic 2011 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Pyretic RitualMain set · Nonfoil · M11 #153	Common	$6.52	0.10	1 in 10 packs	$0.63	11.6%
2	Serra AscendantMain set · Nonfoil · M11 #28	Rare	$30.17	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.50	9.2%
3	Liliana's CaressMain set · Nonfoil · M11 #103	Uncommon	$7.55	0.05	1 in 20 packs	$0.38	7.0%
4	Relentless RatsMain set · Nonfoil · M11 #113	Uncommon	$4.22	0.05	1 in 20 packs	$0.21	3.9%
5	Birds of ParadiseMain set · Nonfoil · M11 #165	Rare	$12.37	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.20	3.7%
6	Voltaic KeyMain set · Nonfoil · M11 #219	Uncommon	$3.91	0.05	1 in 20 packs	$0.20	3.7%
7	Temple BellMain set · Nonfoil · M11 #217	Rare	$11.33	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.19	3.5%
8	SilenceMain set · Nonfoil · M11 #30	Rare	$8.66	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.14	2.6%
These eight together		$2.45, 45.0% of pack EV. The other $3.00 comes from the rest of the set.

Birds of Paradise — The three rares, $30.17, $12.37 and $11.33. Each turns up about once in 60 packs.

Serra Ascendant — The three rares, $30.17, $12.37 and $11.33. Each turns up about once in 60 packs.

#1 Pyretic Ritual

M11 #153

Nonfoil

$6.52

EV $0.63 · 1 in 10 packs

#2 Serra Ascendant

M11 #28

Nonfoil

$30.17

EV $0.50 · 1 in 60 packs

#3 Liliana's Caress

M11 #103

Nonfoil

$7.55

EV $0.38 · 1 in 20 packs

#4 Relentless Rats

M11 #113

Nonfoil

$4.22

EV $0.21 · 1 in 20 packs

#5 Birds of Paradise

M11 #165

Nonfoil

$12.37

EV $0.20 · 1 in 60 packs

#6 Voltaic Key

M11 #219

Nonfoil

$3.91

EV $0.20 · 1 in 20 packs

#7 Temple Bell

M11 #217

Nonfoil

$11.33

EV $0.19 · 1 in 60 packs

#8 Silence

M11 #30

Nonfoil

$8.66

EV $0.14 · 1 in 60 packs

1
Pyretic Ritual
M11 #153Nonfoil
$6.52 market · 0.10 per pack · 1 in 10 packs
$0.6311.6% of EV
2
Serra Ascendant
M11 #28Nonfoil
$30.17 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.509.2% of EV
3
Liliana's Caress
M11 #103Nonfoil
$7.55 market · 0.05 per pack · 1 in 20 packs
$0.387.0% of EV
4
Relentless Rats
M11 #113Nonfoil
$4.22 market · 0.05 per pack · 1 in 20 packs
$0.213.9% of EV
5
Birds of Paradise
M11 #165Nonfoil
$12.37 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.203.7% of EV
6
Voltaic Key
M11 #219Nonfoil
$3.91 market · 0.05 per pack · 1 in 20 packs
$0.203.7% of EV
7
Temple Bell
M11 #217Nonfoil
$11.33 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.193.5% of EV
8
Silence
M11 #30Nonfoil
$8.66 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.142.6% of EV

These eight together$2.45, 45.0% of pack EV

All Magic 2011 prices

Magic 2011 (M11) - Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$5$10$15Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$14.36Crack EV$5.45Mana Pool$15.301Y high $14.561Y low $13.62

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 8, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 237 days.

Now: $14.36; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $14.56; 1.4% above today
1-year low: $13.62; Today is 5.4% higher

The Magic 2011 lineup

Every Magic 2011 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.38×

The Magic 2011 (M11) - Booster Pack sells for $14.36 and carries $5.45 in expected card value at market, a 0.38× ratio and $8.91 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.38×

Magic 2011 (M11) - Booster Pack FAQ