Magic 2015 Sealed · Booster pack

Is Magic 2015 (M15) - Booster Pack Worth Opening?

Magic 2015M15

TCGplayer market · Nov 8, 2026 $9.11

1-year range $6.97$9.11 At the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of pack price SKIP

0.34×

EV $3.12, $5.99 less card value than the pack costs.

TCGplayer, $9.11 (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $8.62, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

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Magic 2015 (M15) - Booster Pack Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one pack at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $3.12, or 0.34× the $9.11 the pack costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $3.12 vs $9.11 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.35 of the $3.12 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 292.1% of market value covers the pack

Card value below price −$5.99 before fees and shipping

$0$2$4$6$8$10

$0.35 11.2%

$2.53 81.0%

$0.24 7.8%

$0.00 0.0%

$3.12 100%

−$5.99 card value below the pack price

Pack price$9.11

Wildcard / Treatment1 slots per pack

Rare / Mythic1 slots per pack

Commons & Uncommons12 slots per pack

Lands1 slots per pack

Pack EVSum of every slot

Pack price $9.11

Wildcard / Treatment$0.35 · 11.2%

Rare / Mythic$2.53 · 81.0%

Commons & Uncommons$0.24 · 7.8%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Pack EV$3.12

$5.99 under price

About Magic 2015 (M15) - Booster Pack

At $9.11 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $6.97 to $9.11.

What’s in the pack

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

Uncommon 3 per pack

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

Land 1 per pack

Common9 per pack

Uncommon3 per pack

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

Wildcard0.8 per pack

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

Land1 per pack

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 15 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.02 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per pack	Per card	Share of pack EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	1	$0.35	$0.35	11.2%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	1	$2.53	$2.53	81.0%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	12	$0.24	$0.02	7.8%
LandsBasic or showcase land	1	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Pack total, 15 cards	15	$3.12	$0.21	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$0.35
11.2%
1 card per pack · $0.35 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$2.53
81.0%
1 card per pack · $2.53 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$0.24
7.8%
12 cards per pack · $0.02 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
1 card per pack · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per pack · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Pack total, 15 cards$3.12

Outcome rangeOne pack

Likely range for one pack

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single pack at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$3.12Equals the pack EV

Middle half spans$8.37High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened packs.

How we price a pack

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$0.00 to $8.37

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Pack price

Best Pulls in Magic 2015 (M15) - Booster Pack

Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth is the best pull at $52.63. Pulls are expected copies per pack; EV is pulls times market price.

All Magic 2015 prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Urborg, Tomb of YawgmothMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #248	Rare	$52.63	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.87	27.9%
2	Sliver HiveMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #247	Rare	$10.78	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.18	5.8%
3	The Chain VeilMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #215	Mythic	$19.87	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.16	5.1%
4	Sliver HivelordMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #211	Mythic	$17.90	0.01	1 in 121 packs	$0.15	4.8%
5	Chord of CallingMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #172	Rare	$7.04	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.12	3.8%
6	Polymorphist's JestMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #75	Rare	$6.54	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.11	3.5%
7	Waste NotMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #122	Rare	$6.39	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.11	3.5%
8	Life's LegacyMain set · Nonfoil · M15 #183	Rare	$5.32	0.02	1 in 60 packs	$0.09	2.9%
These eight together		$1.79, 57.4% of pack EV. The other $1.33 comes from the rest of the set.

#1 Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth

M15 #248

Nonfoil

$52.63

EV $0.87 · 1 in 60 packs

#2 Sliver Hive

M15 #247

Nonfoil

$10.78

EV $0.18 · 1 in 60 packs

#3 The Chain Veil

M15 #215

Nonfoil

$19.87

EV $0.16 · 1 in 121 packs

#4 Sliver Hivelord

M15 #211

Nonfoil

$17.90

EV $0.15 · 1 in 121 packs

#5 Chord of Calling

M15 #172

Nonfoil

$7.04

EV $0.12 · 1 in 60 packs

#6 Polymorphist's Jest

M15 #75

Nonfoil

$6.54

EV $0.11 · 1 in 60 packs

#7 Waste Not

M15 #122

Nonfoil

$6.39

EV $0.11 · 1 in 60 packs

#8 Life's Legacy

M15 #183

Nonfoil

$5.32

EV $0.09 · 1 in 60 packs

1
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
M15 #248Nonfoil
$52.63 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.8727.9% of EV
2
Sliver Hive
M15 #247Nonfoil
$10.78 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.185.8% of EV
3
The Chain Veil
M15 #215Nonfoil
$19.87 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.165.1% of EV
4
Sliver Hivelord
M15 #211Nonfoil
$17.90 market · 0.01 per pack · 1 in 121 packs
$0.154.8% of EV
5
Chord of Calling
M15 #172Nonfoil
$7.04 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.123.8% of EV
6
Polymorphist's Jest
M15 #75Nonfoil
$6.54 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.113.5% of EV
7
Waste Not
M15 #122Nonfoil
$6.39 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.113.5% of EV
8
Life's Legacy
M15 #183Nonfoil
$5.32 market · 0.02 per pack · 1 in 60 packs
$0.092.9% of EV

These eight together$1.79, 57.4% of pack EV

All Magic 2015 prices

Magic 2015 (M15) - Booster Pack Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed pack, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$-0$10$20Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovPack price$9.11Crack EV$3.12Mana Pool$8.621Y low $6.97

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 8, 2026

Crack EV has held below pack price for 237 days.

Now: $9.11; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $9.11; At the 1-year high
1-year low: $6.97; Today is 30.7% higher

The Magic 2015 lineup

Every Magic 2015 product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.34×

The Magic 2015 (M15) - Booster Pack sells for $9.11 and carries $3.12 in expected card value at market, a 0.34× ratio and $5.99 less than the pack costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This pack, 0.34×

Magic 2015 (M15) - Booster Pack FAQ