Shown with one Booster Pack $4.94 per pack at the box price

Magic Origins Sealed · Booster display

Is Magic Origins - Booster Box Worth Opening?

36 packsMagic OriginsORI

TCGplayer market · Nov 9, 2026 $177.90

1-year range $150.56$177.90 At the 1-year high

Value gaugeCard value per dollar of box price SKIP

0.37×

EV $65.99, $111.91 less card value than the box costs.

TCGplayer, $177.90, lowest price (opens in a new tab) Mana Pool, $198.30 (opens in a new tab) Amazon, Check price (opens in a new tab) eBay, Check price (opens in a new tab)

Affiliate links. TCG Strat may earn a commission from TCGplayer, Mana Pool and eBay. As an Amazon Associate we may earn from qualifying purchases. Mana Pool observed Nov 9, 2026, before shipping.

Magic Origins - Booster Box Expected Value by Slot

Expected card value of one box at today’s market prices, built up slot by slot: $65.99, or 0.37× the $177.90 the box costs, drawn as the dashed line.

EV per pack $1.83 vs $4.94 paid per pack

Wildcard and foil, per pack $0.27 of the $1.83 in each pack

Break-even sell-through 269.6% of market value covers the box

Card value below price −$111.91 before fees and shipping

$0$50$100$150$200

$9.61 14.6%

$46.58 70.6%

$9.80 14.9%

$0.00 0.0%

$65.99 100%

−$111.91 card value below the box price

Box price$177.90

Wildcard / Treatment36 slots per box

Rare / Mythic36 slots per box

Commons & Uncommons432 slots per box

Lands36 slots per box

Box EVSum of every slot

Box price $177.90

Wildcard / Treatment$9.61 · 14.6%

Rare / Mythic$46.58 · 70.6%

Commons & Uncommons$9.80 · 14.9%

Lands$0.00 · 0.0%

Box EV$65.99

$111.91 under price

About Magic Origins - Booster Box

Magic Origins - Booster Box contains 36 packs. At $177.90 it trades near the top of its one-year range of $150.56 to $177.90.

What’s in the box

15 slots per pack that carry card value, averaged across pack configurations

Common 9 per pack

324 per box

Uncommon 3 per pack

108 per box

Rare or Mythic 1 per pack

36 per box

Wildcard 0.8 per pack

27.9 per box

Traditional Foil 0.2 per pack

8.1 per box

Land 1 per pack

36 per box

Common9 per pack

324per box

Uncommon3 per pack

108per box

Rare or Mythic1 per pack

36per box

Wildcard0.8 per pack

27.9per box

Traditional Foil0.2 per pack

8.1per box

Land1 per pack

36per box

Valued slots15 per pack · 540 per box

15 slots per pack carry card value. Counts are averaged across pack configurations, so some products show fractions.

Where your value comes from

The 540 cards that carry value, priced at market. The commons and uncommons in each pack are worth about $0.02 apiece.

Slot	Cards	EV per box	Per card	Share of box EV
Wildcard / TreatmentWildcard and traditional foil slots	36	$9.61	$0.27	14.6%
Rare / MythicOne per pack	36	$46.58	$1.29	70.6%
Commons & UncommonsTwelve per pack	432	$9.80	$0.02	14.9%
LandsBasic or showcase land	36	$0.00	$0.00	0.0%
Bonus sheetNo bonus sheet value in this product	0	$0.00	n/a	0.0%
Box total, 540 cards	540	$65.99	$0.12	100%

Wildcard / Treatment$9.61
14.6%
36 cards per box · $0.27 per card · Wildcard and traditional foil slots
Rare / Mythic$46.58
70.6%
36 cards per box · $1.29 per card · One per pack
Commons & Uncommons$9.80
14.9%
432 cards per box · $0.02 per card · Twelve per pack
Lands$0.00
0.0%
36 cards per box · $0.00 per card · Basic or showcase land
Bonus sheet$0.00
0.0%
0 cards per box · n/a per card · No bonus sheet value in this product
Box total, 540 cards$65.99

Outcome rangeOne box

Likely range for one box

The middle half of modeled outcomes for a single box at today’s market prices. EV is the average; this is the spread around it.

Mean$65.99Equals the box EV

Middle half spans$26.63High end minus low end

Modeled from pull rates and market prices. Selling fees and shipping are not included.

The bounds are estimated P25 and P75 values, normal-approximation estimates rather than percentiles measured from opened boxes.

How we price a box

Middle half of modeled outcomes

$52.67 to $79.30

Middle half, estimated 25th to 75th percentile
Mean
Box price

Best Pulls in Magic Origins - Booster Box

Elemental Bond is the best pull at $4.81. Pulls are expected copies per box; EV is pulls times market price.

All Magic Origins prices

#	Card	Rarity	Market	Pulls	Odds	EV	Share of EV
1	Elemental BondMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #174	Uncommon	$4.81	1.35		$6.49	9.8%
2	Chandra's IgnitionMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #137	Rare	$8.23	0.57	1 in 2 boxes	$4.70	7.1%
3	Tainted RemedyMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #120	Rare	$8.05	0.57	1 in 2 boxes	$4.60	7.0%
4	Starfield of NyxMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #33	Mythic	$12.08	0.29	1 in 3 boxes	$3.45	5.2%
5	Sword of the AnimistMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #240	Rare	$5.52	0.57	1 in 2 boxes	$3.15	4.8%
6	Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath UnboundMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #60	Mythic	$11.03	0.29	1 in 3 boxes	$3.15	4.8%
7	Alhammarret's ArchiveMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #221	Mythic	$10.27	0.29	1 in 3 boxes	$2.93	4.4%
8	Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant NecromancerMain set · Nonfoil · ORI #106	Mythic	$7.93	0.29	1 in 3 boxes	$2.27	3.4%
These eight together		$30.74, 46.6% of box EV. The other $35.25 comes from the rest of the set.

Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound — The three mythics, $12.08, $11.03 and $10.27. Each turns up about once in three boxes.

Starfield of Nyx — The three mythics, $12.08, $11.03 and $10.27. Each turns up about once in three boxes.

#1 Elemental Bond

ORI #174

Nonfoil

$4.81

EV $6.49 · 1.35 per box

#2 Chandra's Ignition

ORI #137

Nonfoil

$8.23

EV $4.70 · 1 in 2 boxes

#3 Tainted Remedy

ORI #120

Nonfoil

$8.05

EV $4.60 · 1 in 2 boxes

#4 Starfield of Nyx

ORI #33

Nonfoil

$12.08

EV $3.45 · 1 in 3 boxes

#5 Sword of the Animist

ORI #240

Nonfoil

$5.52

EV $3.15 · 1 in 2 boxes

#6 Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound

ORI #60

Nonfoil

$11.03

EV $3.15 · 1 in 3 boxes

#7 Alhammarret's Archive

ORI #221

Nonfoil

$10.27

EV $2.93 · 1 in 3 boxes

#8 Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer

ORI #106

Nonfoil

$7.93

EV $2.27 · 1 in 3 boxes

1
Elemental Bond
ORI #174Nonfoil
$4.81 market · 1.35 per box
$6.499.8% of EV
2
Chandra's Ignition
ORI #137Nonfoil
$8.23 market · 0.57 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$4.707.1% of EV
3
Tainted Remedy
ORI #120Nonfoil
$8.05 market · 0.57 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$4.607.0% of EV
4
Starfield of Nyx
ORI #33Nonfoil
$12.08 market · 0.29 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$3.455.2% of EV
5
Sword of the Animist
ORI #240Nonfoil
$5.52 market · 0.57 per box · 1 in 2 boxes
$3.154.8% of EV
6
Jace, Vryn's Prodigy // Jace, Telepath Unbound
ORI #60Nonfoil
$11.03 market · 0.29 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$3.154.8% of EV
7
Alhammarret's Archive
ORI #221Nonfoil
$10.27 market · 0.29 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$2.934.4% of EV
8
Liliana, Heretical Healer // Liliana, Defiant Necromancer
ORI #106Nonfoil
$7.93 market · 0.29 per box · 1 in 3 boxes
$2.273.4% of EV

These eight together$30.74, 46.6% of box EV

All Magic Origins prices

Magic Origins - Booster Box Price History

TCGplayer market price for the sealed box, past 12 months, against its crack EV.

$100$200Nov 2025Feb 2026MayAugNovBox price$177.90Crack EV$65.99Mana Pool$198.301Y low $150.56

Mana Pool lowest listing · USD, before shipping · last observed Nov 9, 2026

Crack EV has held below box price for 228 days.

Now: $177.90; TCGplayer market
1-year high: $177.90; At the 1-year high
1-year low: $150.56; Today is 18.2% higher

The Magic Origins lineup

Every Magic Origins product we track, ranked by card value per dollar of sealed price.

Sealed screener

Crack or keep sealed

EV Notes

Verdict: Skip 0.37×

The Magic Origins - Booster Box sells for $177.90 and carries $65.99 in expected card value at market, a 0.37× ratio and $111.91 less than the box costs.

Five-tier verdictEV ratio

Crack 1.10× and up Open it.

Favored 1.00× to 1.10× Slight crack.

Neutral 0.90× to 1.00× Coin flip.

Hold 0.75× to 0.90× Keep it sealed.

Skip under 0.75× This box, 0.37×

Magic Origins - Booster Box FAQ